Casey Schmitt — OGILVIE

Casey Schmitt3B San Francisco Giants

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs MLB HR -8%H -3% Svc 2.203S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION370 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9899vR 100

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .298 / .448

PA246

HR11

K%21

BB%4

BABIP280

ISO196

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

896.9%

xwOBA

780.341

POWER50

Barrel%

6510.4

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE40

Chase%

9020.3%

SPEED50

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 546 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

193

353

—

wRC+

110

104

◀L

wOBA

329

321

—

ISO

177

189

▶R

BABIP

305

281

◀L

23.8%

22.7%

▶R

BB%

7.3%

5.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.203 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.8	$13M	+$10M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.6	$11M	+$6M
2029	Arb-4	$7M	+1.3	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$36M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	280	262	52	10	1	6	11	65	5	2	2	198	245	313	558	115	238	23	4	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	280	251	62	14	1	8	22	44	5	2	2	247	320	406	727	159	269	16	8	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	526	485	111	19	2	15	31	159	7	3	2	229	285	369	654	140	306	30	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	526	468	137	25	2	21	48	120	7	3	2	293	367	489	856	197	352	23	9	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	494	457	109	27	1	8	23	113	6	5	2	239	284	354	638	116	296	23	5	278	71	-16	+0	-1	+5	+14	0.3
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	494	453	112	28	1	9	27	109	6	5	2	247	298	373	671	126	303	22	5	297	85	-8	+0	-1	+5	+14	1.1
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	448	410	100	16	2	17	24	103	5	11	2	244	294	417	711	173	278	23	5	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	448	399	107	20	2	19	35	95	5	11	2	268	335	471	806	203	299	21	8	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	365	326	79	16	0	13	30	86	5	0	0	242	316	411	727	169	287	24	8	316	100	+0	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.9
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	365	325	76	15	0	12	31	85	5	0	0	234	310	391	701	157	277	23	8	312	97	-1	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	SF	—	370	350	98	17	1	19	9	71	7	7	1	280	311	497	809	217	299	19	2	346	123	+10	+1	-0	-7	+10	1.5
YTD	27	MLB	SF	—	370	350	98	17	1	19	9	71	7	7	1	280	311	497	809	217	299	19	2	350	126	+11	+1	-0	-7	+10	1.6
ROS	27	MLB	SF	100%	246	229	58	12	0	11	11	52	4	4	1	253	298	448	747	196	275	21	4	324	106	+2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	27	MLB	SF	100%	247	230	55	11	0	10	11	52	4	4	1	239	286	417	703	178	270	21	4	304	91	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.4
FULL	27	MLB	SF	—	617	580	153	28	1	29	20	123	11	11	2	264	301	466	767	202	286	20	3	330	110	+7	+1	-2	-6	+17	1.9
TOT	27	MLB	SF	—	616	579	156	29	1	30	20	123	11	11	2	269	306	478	784	209	292	20	3	337	116	+11	+1	-2	-6	+17	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SF	98%	604	562	137	28	1	26	27	127	10	8	2	244	290	436	726	192	269	21	4	318	102	+1	+1	-5	+2	+17	1.7
2028	29	MLB	SF	98%	592	550	133	27	1	25	27	126	10	8	1	242	290	431	721	189	268	21	5	316	100	+0	+1	-5	+2	+17	1.5
2029	30	MLB	SF	98%	580	540	130	26	1	25	26	125	9	7	1	241	287	431	718	191	266	22	4	313	98	-1	+1	-6	+2	+16	1.3
2030	31	MLB	SF	98%	569	529	125	25	0	24	26	124	9	6	1	236	284	420	703	183	263	22	5	309	94	-4	+1	-6	+2	+16	0.9
2031	32	MLB	SF	98%	557	518	121	24	0	23	25	124	9	5	1	234	281	413	694	180	259	22	4	302	89	-7	+1	-7	+2	+16	0.5
2032	33	MLB	SF	98%	481	450	101	19	0	19	21	109	7	3	1	224	270	393	663	169	253	23	4	294	83	-9	+0	-7	+2	+14	-0.1
2033	34	MLB	SF	94%	407	380	82	15	0	15	18	95	6	2	0	216	262	374	636	158	246	23	4	283	75	-12	+0	-8	+1	+12	-0.6
2027	28	MLB	SF	98%	592	551	133	27	1	25	26	125	10	8	1	241	288	430	718	189	263	21	4	299	87	-9	+1	-4	+2	+17	0.7
2028	29	MLB	SF	98%	580	540	129	26	1	24	26	123	9	8	1	239	285	424	709	185	262	21	4	297	86	-9	+1	-5	+2	+16	0.5
2029	30	MLB	SF	98%	568	528	125	25	1	23	26	122	9	7	1	237	284	419	703	182	261	21	5	295	84	-11	+1	-6	+2	+16	0.3
2030	31	MLB	SF	98%	558	519	119	24	0	22	25	122	9	6	1	229	277	403	679	173	258	22	4	290	80	-12	+1	-6	+2	+16	-0.0
2031	32	MLB	SF	98%	546	507	115	23	0	21	25	121	9	5	1	227	275	396	672	170	254	22	5	284	75	-15	+1	-7	+2	+15	-0.4
2032	33	MLB	SF	98%	471	440	96	18	0	18	21	107	7	3	1	218	265	382	647	164	248	23	4	276	69	-16	+0	-7	+2	+13	-0.8
2033	34	MLB	SF	94%	381	355	76	14	0	14	17	89	6	2	0	214	262	372	634	158	241	23	4	266	62	-17	+0	-7	+1	+11	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4681	4342	1001	202	4	180	221	1034	74	45	8	231	279	403	683	173	260	22	5	290	80	-104	+6	-49	+22	+133	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	139	28	1	25	31	144	10	6	1	231	280	405	684	174	260	22	5	290	80	-15	+1	-7	+3	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6149	5698	1338	264	9	227	300	1408	92	64	16	235	284	404	688	169	271	23	5	301	88	-82	+6	-51	+25	+174	7.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	142	28	1	24	32	149	10	7	2	236	286	405	691	169	273	23	5	301	88	-9	+1	-5	+3	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	San Jose Giants	—	280	251	62	14	1	8	22	44	5	2	2	247	320	406	727	159	269	16	8	323	106	+2	-0	—	—	+8	1.0
2022	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	16	15	5	1	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	333	333	600	933	267	400	31	0	380	149	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	127	120	41	10	1	3	6	29	1	2	0	342	378	517	895	175	432	23	5	394	160	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	383	333	91	14	1	17	42	86	6	1	2	273	365	474	839	201	319	22	11	371	142	+18	-1	—	—	+11	2.9
2023	24	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	277	253	52	15	0	5	13	65	5	2	1	206	258	324	582	119	253	23	5	258	55	-14	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.2
2023	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	217	200	60	13	1	4	14	44	1	3	1	300	349	435	784	135	364	20	6	346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	113	107	27	4	1	6	4	25	1	0	0	252	286	477	762	224	273	22	4	330	110	+1	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	335	292	80	16	1	13	31	70	4	11	2	274	352	469	821	195	309	21	9	355	130	+11	+1	—	—	+9	2.3
2025	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	348	312	74	15	0	12	27	83	5	0	0	237	308	401	709	163	282	24	8	314	98	-1	+0	-3	+1	+10	0.8
2025	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	154	353	154	507		182	12	24	271	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	738	672	153	34	1	23	44	173	11	2	1	228	286	384	670	156	269	23	6	295	84	-13	+0	-5	+8	+21	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,402	217	53	240	285	420	+19	-12	13.8	13.2
	/162	664	27	7	240	285	420	+2.4	-1.5	1.7	pk7: 13
#4Brandon Drurylast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,110 PA	9	3,110	109	5	246	298	425	+4	+2	9.5	10.6
	/162	664	23	1	246	298	425	+0.8	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Schmitt (OGILVIE)	27	50	50	50	40	269/306/478	209	292	30	11	20%	3%	116	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB	27	47→52	56→55	50→55	44	247/306/434	187	286	25	11	24%	6%	108	+2.3	239/289/393	154	287	17	11	23%	5%	90	+1.0	233/279/375	142	278	15	11	22%	5%	79	+0.1
●Adam Jones 2013 · MLB	27	53→55	55→60	47→50	44	273/319/457	184	301	23	12	18%	5%	119	+3.1	270/308/459	189	300	25	10	19%	4%	116	+2.8	267/303/454	186	295	25	7	19%	3%	108	+2.5
✕Joe Mather 2009 · MLB	27	43→46	58→60	51→50	47	237/303/443	206	256	27	10	21%	7%	110	+2.4	216/274/356	140	262	15	11	23%	7%	74	-0.1	204/259/308	104	260	10	8	25%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Mike Brosseau 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	55	47→45	44	255/317/443	188	305	22	8	24%	6%	115	+2.8	227/303/389	162	293	21	7	29%	8%	95	+1.4	218/297/354	136	277	20	3	28%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Alexei Ramirez 2009 · MLB	27	53→59	55→50	46→55	45	277/310/458	181	282	24	14	13%	4%	116	+2.8	272/319/409	137	289	17	12	12%	6%	106	+2.2	268/320/394	126	287	15	11	12%	7%	99	+1.8
✕Rocco Baldelli 2009 · MLB	27	49→59	55	50→55	44	254/314/442	188	299	23	11	24%	6%	113	+2.6	235/290/391	156	292	20	8	26%	6%	90	+1.0	228/272/370	142	282	19	4	26%	4%	76	+0.0
●Scott Hairston 2007 · MLB	27	47→51	56→60	50	46	250/309/443	193	289	25	6	23%	7%	111	+2.5	249/309/449	200	283	24	7	21%	7%	113	+2.6	250/308/455	205	279	24	9	20%	7%	112	+1.6
●Jason LaRue 2001 · MLB	27	47→52	55	48→40	47	247/313/429	182	268	24	7	19%	6%	110	+2.4	241/313/409	168	304	19	5	26%	7%	105	+2.1	243/334/428	185	300	20	1	25%	8%	111	+1.8
✕Austin Hays 2022 · MLB	27	46→54	54→60	44→45	43	243/295/423	180	277	22	8	22%	5%	101	+1.8	250/304/409	159	301	17	5	22%	6%	101	+1.8	257/311/415	159	324	17	7	25%	6%	101	+1.3
●Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	56→60	44→30	46	243/308/431	189	288	25	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	244/314/463	219	292	30	5	27%	7%	120	+3.1	232/307/469	237	267	35	1	28%	7%	116	+2.1
✕Chris Aguila 2005 · MLB	26	46→54	57→55	51→50	46	244/300/447	203	282	26	9	24%	7%	108	+2.3	254/299/396	142	309	14	12	22%	6%	94	+1.3	222/284/393	171	285	22	8	29%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Chris Woodward 2003 · MLB	27	49→47	53→50	52→45	48	251/309/432	181	288	21	7	21%	7%	108	+2.3	253/309/390	137	305	12	4	20%	7%	97	+1.5	254/310/374	120	312	8	1	20%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Humberto Cota 2005 · MLB	26	46	58→50	50→30	43	247/303/448	201	297	27	7	27%	6%	111	+2.5	235/286/360	125	292	12	4	23%	6%	79	+0.3	269/337/401	132	320	15	0	20%	9%	111	+1.4
●Jake Fox 2009 · MLB	27	46→54	57→65	48→45	41	246/296/447	201	286	25	7	24%	5%	108	+2.3	248/307/450	202	283	25	4	22%	6%	113	+2.6	243/306/443	200	273	25	1	21%	6%	108	+1.3
●Raudy Read 2022 · AAA	28	43→47	57→55	47→45	37	233/277/426	193	288	26	6	30%	4%	94	+1.3	253/318/439	186	315	22	5	26%	8%	115	+2.7	262/336/466	204	319	24	0	25%	9%	127	+2.2
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2023 · MLB	27	46→56	53→55	48→45	45	239/295/414	175	284	20	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	244/302/363	119	303	12	5	22%	7%	87	+0.8	248/307/336	87	314	7	4	22%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Andrew Young 2021 · MLB	27	42→47	53→60	45→40	42	221/304/396	175	273	22	5	27%	6%	98	+1.6	209/290/388	179	319	21	6	39%	7%	90	+1.0	191/275/374	183	299	23	4	41%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Khalil Greene 2008 · MLB	28	48→54	55→60	51→45	46	250/302/446	196	277	22	6	19%	6%	109	+2.4	229/282/390	161	261	19	7	20%	6%	86	+0.8	211/266/348	136	243	17	6	21%	6%	65	-0.4
●Jonathan Schoop 2019 · MLB	27	49→57	56→60	42→45	41	257/297/445	188	291	25	2	22%	4%	108	+2.3	264/309/459	195	306	26	3	23%	5%	116	+2.8	274/321/464	190	318	25	1	22%	5%	120	+2.3
●Todd Frazier 2013 · MLB	27	46→51	54→60	51→50	43	237/293/421	184	290	21	12	26%	6%	99	+1.7	247/312/431	184	285	23	11	22%	8%	110	+2.4	243/310/454	211	268	30	14	22%	8%	112	+2.9