Aiven Cabral
P
Augusta GreenJackets
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.9%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 15 | 8 | 77 | 296 | 64 | 18 | 5 | 53% | 5.1 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 1.88 | 3.84 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 100 | 394 | 87 | 27 | 8 | — | — | 21.9% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 2.45 | 3.95 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 24 | 102 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 11.9 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.80 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 21 | 21 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 67 | 17 | 100% | 9.6 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 8 | 77 | 296 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 53% | 5.1 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 1.88 | 3.84 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 21 | 200 | 772 | 125 | 55 | 17 | 53% | 5.1 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 1.88 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aiven Cabral (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.18 | 23.7% | 15.0% | 24 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Travis Herrin R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.21 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | .315 | 5.04 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 106 | +0.83 | 4.21 | 236 | 78 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 78 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 77 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2029 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 77 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 77 |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 77 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 76 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2029 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 75 |
| Brett Gillis R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 75 |
| Jharel Cotton R 2027 · 3.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.27 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .289 | 5.09 | 22.1% | 14.5% | 315 | +1.82 | 3.24 | 560 | 74 |
| Garrett Hill R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.39 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .390 | 3.22 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 200 | -0.17 | 3.13 | 539 | 74 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 73 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 73 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 72 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 72 |
| Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 71 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 71 |
| Cole Peschl R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.36 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 1.4% | .304 | 5.18 | 15.1% | 6.3% | 46 | +1.82 | 3.36 | 115 | 71 |
| Nick Belzer R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.55 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.32 | 4.23 | 112 | 71 |
| Geno Encina R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 71 |