Chris Devenski
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 208 lbs
AAA
ERA4.66
FIP4.55
xFIP4.29
SIERA3.86
K%21.9%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%13.8%
IP22
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p2621.9%
K%
p4521.5%
xwOBA vs
p620.300
SL+2.2 (21%)
CH+1.7 (39%)
FB+0.6 (23%)
SI (1%)
CT-1.6 (18%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 24 | 17 | 120 | 501 | 104 | 33 | 12 | 16.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 3.01 | 4.08 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 48 | 5 | 108 | 408 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 25.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 2.16 | 2.10 | +3.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 0 | 81 | 316 | 100 | 23 | 11 | 31.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.68 | 3.26 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 55 | 3 | 52 | 221 | 61 | 13 | 11 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.50 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 61 | 1 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 21 | 13 | 24.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.83 | 4.27 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 14.73 | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 8.59 | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 3 | 34 | 141 | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.61 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 53 | 6 | 60 | 248 | 67 | 13 | 7 | 24.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 3.59 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 45 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 63 | 24 | 11 | 24.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 4.85 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | New York Mets | 48 | 2 | 54 | 219 | 46 | 13 | 8 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.98 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 4 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.35 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | PIT | 11 | — | 11 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.62 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 18 | 73 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 3.45 | 2.89 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 21 | — | 21 | 87 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 20.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 443 | 37 | 651 | 2673 | 629 | 180 | 89 | 23.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.62 | 3.80 | +11.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 11 | 200 | 821 | 193 | 55 | 27 | 23.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.62 | 3.80 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Devenski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | — | 4.78 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 21 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 82 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 81 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 80 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 75 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 75 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 74 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 74 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 73 |
| Casey Fien R 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.87 | 15.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 136 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 72 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 71 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.70 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 227 | 71 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.14 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 212 | 70 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.47 | 21.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 212 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.