Chris Devenski
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 208 lbs
AAA
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION13 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.58
K%21.3%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p2621.9%
K%
p4521.5%
xwOBA vs
p620.300
SL+2.2 (21%)
CH+1.7 (39%)
FB+0.6 (23%)
SI (1%)
CT-1.6 (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 24 | 17 | 120 | 501 | 104 | 33 | 12 | 71% | 5.0 | 16.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 3.01 | 4.01 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 24 | 17 | 120 | 501 | 104 | 33 | 12 | 71% | 5.0 | 20.8% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 2.4% | 3.01 | 3.49 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 48 | 5 | 108 | 408 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 10% | 2.3 | 25.5% | 4.9% | 20.6% | 0.9% | 2.16 | 2.08 | +4.2 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 48 | 5 | 108 | 408 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 10% | 2.3 | 25.5% | 4.9% | 20.6% | 1.0% | 2.16 | 2.21 | +4.0 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 0 | 81 | 316 | 100 | 23 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 7.3% | 24.4% | 3.3% | 2.68 | 3.15 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 0 | 81 | 316 | 100 | 23 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.6% | 7.3% | 24.4% | 3.5% | 2.68 | 3.25 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 3 | 52 | 221 | 61 | 13 | 11 | 5% | 0.9 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 19.9% | 4.3% | 4.50 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 3 | 52 | 221 | 61 | 13 | 11 | 5% | 0.9 | 27.6% | 5.9% | 21.7% | 5.0% | 4.50 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 61 | 1 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 21 | 13 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 4.83 | 4.21 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 61 | 1 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 21 | 13 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 4.83 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 14.73 | 5.51 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 14.73 | 6.37 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.59 | 5.75 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.59 | 6.10 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 3 | 34 | 141 | 35 | 6 | 7 | 10% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 4.8% | 18.0% | 5.4% | 5.61 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 3 | 34 | 141 | 35 | 6 | 7 | 10% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 4.3% | 20.6% | 5.0% | 5.61 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 53 | 6 | 60 | 248 | 67 | 13 | 7 | 11% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 5.8% | 18.5% | 3.7% | 3.88 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 4 levels | 53 | 6 | 60 | 248 | 67 | 13 | 7 | 11% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 5.2% | 21.8% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 3.03 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 63 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 4.85 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 63 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 4.6% | 4.85 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 54 | 219 | 46 | 13 | 8 | 4% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 2.98 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 54 | 219 | 46 | 13 | 8 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 5.9% | 15.1% | 3.7% | 2.98 | 4.04 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 10 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 10% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | PIT | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | PIT | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 35 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 50 | 206 | 51 | 14 | 7 | — | — | 24.8% | 6.9% | 17.9% | 3.6% | 3.90 | 3.38 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 35 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 39 | 165 | 51 | 14 | 7 | — | — | 31.0% | 8.6% | 22.4% | 4.5% | 4.97 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 44 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | PIT | 43 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 5.13 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 44 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.79 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | PIT | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 5.13 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 446 | 8 | 552 | 2274 | 545 | 159 | 82 | 2% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 3.93 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 3 | 200 | 824 | 197 | 58 | 30 | 2% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 7.0% | 17.0% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 449 | 38 | 658 | 2698 | 639 | 180 | 89 | 8% | 1.5 | 23.7% | 6.7% | 17.0% | 3.3% | 3.61 | 3.75 | +12.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 12 | 200 | 820 | 194 | 55 | 27 | 8% | 1.5 | 23.7% | 6.7% | 17.0% | 3.3% | 3.61 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Devenski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | — | 5.14 | 19.8% | 11.0% | 96 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 80 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 78 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 77 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 76 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 76 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 75 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 74 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 74 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 73 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 72 |
| Casey Fien R 2024 · 5.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.11 | 15.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 136 | 71 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 71 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 70 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.21 | 21.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 212 | 70 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 1.50 | 4.83 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |