Morris Austin
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%21.1%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.3% | 26.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.36 | 3.66 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.3% | 26.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.36 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 36 | 1 | 70 | 310 | 79 | 46 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 4.26 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 36 | 1 | 70 | 310 | 79 | 46 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 25.5% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 0.6% | 4.26 | 3.19 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 3.97 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 0.8% | 3.97 | 3.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 27 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 50 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 4.81 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.60 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 82 | 354 | 88 | 44 | 10 | — | — | 24.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.82 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 40 | 0 | 42 | 178 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 60 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.33 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 98 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 1 | 169 | 741 | 144 | 118 | 11 | 1% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 1 | 200 | 875 | 170 | 139 | 13 | 1% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 4.36 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Morris Austin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.69 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 122 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 92 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 90 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 90 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 88 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 87 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 86 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 86 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 156 | 85 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 85 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 85 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 85 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 85 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 85 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 85 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.68 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .307 | 5.19 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 59 | +1.51 | 3.33 | 204 | 85 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 84 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 41 | 21.3% | 11.5% | 1.07 | 4.64 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |