Morris Austin
P
Winston-Salem Dash
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%9.5%
IP61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.36 | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 36 | 1 | 70 | 310 | 79 | 46 | 2 | 18.9% | 17.5% | 0.7% | 4.26 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 43 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 17.2% | 13.9% | 1.1% | 3.97 | 4.01 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 54 | 30 | 7 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.59 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 66 | 275 | 61 | 33 | 7 | 22.4% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 55 | 29 | 7 | 21.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 53 | 28 | 7 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 51 | 27 | 7 | 21.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 46 | 26 | 7 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 20.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 19.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 5.08 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 19.3% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 1 | 135 | 584 | 112 | 95 | 5 | 19.2% | 16.2% | 0.9% | 4.07 | 4.00 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 1 | 200 | 865 | 166 | 141 | 7 | 19.2% | 16.2% | 0.9% | 4.07 | 4.00 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Morris Austin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.59 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 178 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 92 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 90 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 90 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 90 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 88 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 88 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.00 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.26 | 3.66 | 154 | 88 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 88 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 87 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 87 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 87 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 87 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 87 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 86 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 86 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 86 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.54 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 156 | 86 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 86 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .307 | 5.33 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 59 | +1.59 | 3.36 | 204 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.