Juan Cruz

1B Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 240 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202621AWSH342.293/.347/.505121075—.225/.271/.378
2027PROJMLE22MLBWSH452.211/.260/.34311968-0.6
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBWSH92.214/.265/.3502272-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
ISO85
wRC+77
wOBA75
Speed65
K%39
Whiff%38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsJohan Mieses (age 21) · Ivan Melendez (age 23) · Jose Vargas (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .258 / .340
PA210
HR5
K%28
BB%5
ISO132
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT29
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE42
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202621 AFredericksburg Nationals — 342311 9124312 22895 103 293347505852 212373 266 371 75 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202621 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 342320 721829 151215 103 225271378649 153324 354 279 75 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 342320 721829 151215 103 225271378649 153328 354 279 75 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWFredericksburg Nationals — 342311 9124312 22895 103 293347505852 212373 266 371 75 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 342319 721829 151215 103 226271379650 154324 354 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202621 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 342319 721829 151215 103 226271379650 154324 354 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEWSH 0% 452420 8917311 241265 92 211260343603 132271 285 268 68 -17 +1 +0 -8 +10 -0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEWSH 34% 269249 541027 15743 51 214266352617 138273 286 274 72 -9 +1 +0 -5 +6 -0.8
202823 MLB CTXWSH 34% 9286 18402 5251 20 214265350615 136272 275 273 72 -3 +0 +0 -2 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 9286 18402 5251 20 209261326586 116271 275 273 72 -3 +0 +0 -2 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650608 12728014 351777 140 209260324584 115271 275 273 72 -22 +3 +0 -12 +14 -1.7
Career— MLE — 821764 16736521 4125410 195 219267361629 143296 315 275 72 -17 +1 +0 -9 +10 -1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650605 13329417 322018 154 220268365634 145297 315 275 72 -23 +1 +0 -12 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 342 PAwOBA .362 → .279 (−84)K% 26.0% → 35.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.02%÷1.000×1.360——35.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.43%÷1.000×0.690——4.44%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.780——1.14%
Singles /BIP23.42%÷1.000×0.920×0.988—21.28%
Doubles /BIP10.81%÷1.000×0.830×0.988—8.86%
Triples /BIP1.35%÷1.000×0.910×0.988—1.21%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.000×0.800——4.32%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .362 → .279; ISO .212 → .157; BABIP .373 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).