Ivan Melendez — OGILVIE

Ivan Melendez1B Reno Aces

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 245 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .263 / .339

PA200

HR6

K%36

BB%6

BABIP290

ISO137

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	90	16	3	1	2	7	27	9	0	0	178	302	300	602	122	230	25	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	87	18	3	1	3	10	20	9	0	0	207	349	368	717	161	234	19	9	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	523	478	85	18	2	22	25	246	17	5	2	178	244	362	606	184	296	47	5	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	523	462	122	27	3	32	41	173	17	5	2	264	346	543	889	279	346	33	8	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	411	78	8	1	13	22	166	9	3	1	190	247	309	556	119	280	38	5	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	399	95	10	1	22	34	133	9	3	1	238	312	434	746	195	299	30	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	380	343	65	8	1	11	25	124	8	2	0	190	261	315	576	125	255	33	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	380	333	89	12	1	19	35	93	8	2	0	267	351	480	832	213	311	24	9	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	ARI	—	50	46	8	1	0	1	2	21	1	0	0	174	224	261	485	87	280	42	4	223	29	-4	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
YTD	26	AAA	ARI	—	50	45	10	1	0	2	3	16	1	0	0	222	286	378	663	156	286	32	6	292	82	-1	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
ROS	26	AAA	ARI	10%	200	183	37	5	1	6	11	71	4	1	0	202	263	339	601	137	282	36	6	263	60	-9	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.7
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	10%	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	284	35	5	253	51	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
FULL	26	AAA	ARI	—	70	65	13	2	0	2	3	28	1	0	0	200	246	323	569	123	306	40	4	231	35	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
TOT	26	AAA	ARI	—	250	229	45	6	1	7	13	92	5	1	0	197	255	323	578	127	288	37	5	255	54	-13	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	ARI	31%	336	307	62	9	1	10	20	114	6	2	1	202	264	336	600	134	282	34	6	270	65	-13	+0	+0	-6	+10	-1.0
2028	28	MLB	ARI	42%	364	332	68	10	1	11	23	121	6	2	1	205	269	340	609	136	282	33	6	273	67	-14	+0	-1	-7	+10	-1.1
2027	27	MLB	ARI	31%	104	95	19	3	0	3	6	35	2	1	0	200	262	326	588	126	284	34	6	260	57	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	ARI	42%	153	139	28	4	0	5	10	51	3	1	0	201	270	338	608	137	284	33	7	263	60	-7	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	277	253	52	8	0	9	17	93	5	2	0	206	269	344	613	138	281	34	6	261	58	-13	+0	-0	-5	+8	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	122	19	0	21	40	218	12	5	0	205	270	343	613	138	281	34	6	261	58	-31	+1	-1	-12	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	2351	2144	411	61	8	75	133	869	59	15	5	192	258	333	591	141	277	37	6	259	56	-116	+1	-1	-42	+67	-9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	114	17	2	21	37	240	16	4	1	192	259	334	592	142	278	37	6	259	56	-32	+0	-0	-12	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	106	87	18	3	1	3	10	20	9	0	0	207	349	368	717	161	234	19	9	333	113	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	170	153	42	5	1	12	10	60	5	0	2	275	339	556	895	281	361	35	6	385	152	+10	-1	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	256	226	61	17	1	18	21	86	8	4	0	270	353	593	946	323	350	34	8	406	169	+20	+1	—	—	+7	2.9
2023	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	97	83	19	5	1	2	10	27	4	1	0	229	340	386	726	157	315	28	10	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	442	399	95	10	1	22	34	133	9	3	1	238	312	434	746	195	299	30	8	332	112	+6	+0	—	—	+13	1.9
2025	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	98	89	26	6	1	3	7	24	1	0	0	292	351	483	834	191	365	24	7	364	137	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	25	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	282	244	63	6	0	16	28	69	7	2	0	258	351	480	831	221	290	24	10	364	137	+12	+0	—	—	+8	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	282	8	2	205	265	339	-5	-2	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	20	4	205	265	339	-11.9	-3.5	-1.9	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Melendez (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	45	45	197/255/323	127	288	7	1	37%	5%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richie Shaffer 2017 · MLB	26	37→38	49→55	44→40	43	197/264/344	147	267	17	5	32%	8%	67	-0.5	177/244/305	128	291	15	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	150/221/272	122	254	16	3	46%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	37→44	49→50	45	37	198/240/347	150	265	17	6	32%	5%	57	-1.2	195/235/319	124	273	13	9	33%	4%	47	-1.9	170/202/275	105	236	11	10	33%	3%	20	-2.4
✕Brad Glenn 2013 · AA	26	38→46	53→55	45	37	207/254/378	170	277	22	6	34%	5%	72	-0.2	223/270/378	155	299	19	4	31%	6%	78	+0.2	223/270/372	148	296	18	2	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕D.J. Peterson 2018 · AAA	26	43→46	47→55	46→40	41	217/264/348	130	277	15	5	27%	5%	67	-0.5	208/251/339	131	283	15	6	31%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/324	140	253	18	2	34%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2012 · AA	26	37→44	53→55	48→50	35	198/251/365	167	287	21	9	38%	6%	67	-0.5	208/257/341	133	282	15	9	31%	5%	63	-0.8	203/246/309	106	263	11	7	27%	4%	45	-0.9
✕Heath Quinn 2021 · AA	26	45→47	47→50	46→40	41	215/283/353	138	326	15	5	37%	8%	77	+0.1	215/270/357	142	329	18	6	38%	6%	72	-0.2	186/234/341	156	272	25	0	41%	4%	50	-0.5
✕Brett Carroll 2009 · MLB	26	42→45	53→55	42→50	40	220/272/392	172	276	20	5	28%	5%	83	+0.6	215/282/365	150	268	17	7	26%	6%	80	+0.4	208/280/351	143	254	16	8	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Jon Griffin 2014 · AA	25	43→46	48→50	44→30	38	221/265/351	130	292	17	2	30%	5%	69	-0.4	210/259/351	141	296	18	4	34%	5%	67	-0.5	185/237/347	162	250	24	1	36%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Tristin English 2023 · AA	26	40→50	45→50	44→40	40	207/268/322	115	272	14	6	29%	6%	63	-0.8	216/273/346	130	280	15	4	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/273/352	133	276	16	2	26%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Trey Amburgey 2021 · AAA	26	43→44	49→50	50	38	222/260/368	146	276	17	9	26%	4%	71	-0.3	212/260/345	133	309	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	197/247/327	129	294	12	2	36%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Zander Wiel 2019 · AAA	26	42→46	45→50	49→45	40	212/262/337	125	281	12	7	29%	6%	63	-0.8	211/260/377	166	292	19	6	34%	5%	74	-0.1	196/241/395	199	267	25	2	36%	4%	69	-0.4
✕Kyle Garlick 2018 · AA	26	44→50	50→60	47→40	36	220/269/375	155	312	17	3	35%	5%	77	+0.1	205/251/372	167	304	21	4	38%	5%	69	-0.4	222/280/450	228	285	31	2	33%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Bryce Brentz 2015 · MLB	26	43→46	48→60	43→40	38	218/264/355	137	290	16	4	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/267/356	137	303	15	4	32%	6%	71	-0.3	205/266/389	185	277	25	1	35%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Hunter Cole 2019 · AAA	26	47→52	48→50	41→40	39	234/280/373	139	323	16	3	32%	6%	80	+0.4	238/291/379	141	343	16	7	33%	7%	86	+0.8	239/296/398	159	353	19	0	36%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Ricky Oropesa 2016 · AA	26	42→44	49→50	43→30	38	220/264/364	144	295	18	2	32%	5%	72	-0.2	214/265/352	138	299	17	5	33%	6%	69	-0.4	182/237/299	117	253	17	0	35%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Nellie Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	25	37→38	49→55	46→30	36	184/250/325	141	315	18	2	45%	8%	56	-1.3	199/256/359	160	345	21	5	45%	7%	68	-0.5	164/221/339	176	275	26	0	49%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Roberson 2009 · AAA	25	44→45	51→50	45→40	35	226/271/381	155	316	20	6	35%	5%	79	+0.3	217/267/348	131	305	15	6	32%	5%	69	-0.4	189/240/295	106	270	10	2	33%	5%	41	-1.3
●Kevin Cron 2019 · AAA	26	40→45	52→60	47→30	39	215/265/374	159	279	21	3	31%	6%	76	+0.0	227/300/444	217	279	30	5	30%	8%	109	+2.4	219/310/499	280	240	41	1	29%	10%	125	+2.6
✕Tyler Marincov 2018 · AA	26	40→43	46→50	44→50	38	203/256/331	129	292	14	9	35%	6%	60	-1.0	196/254/348	152	304	20	11	40%	6%	64	-0.8	164/221/308	144	244	22	14	42%	7%	38	-1.6