Erick Lara — OGILVIE

Erick LaraSS FCL Rays

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .257 / .252

PA91

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	154	137	31	6	1	1	14	53	2	5	1	226	307	307	614	80	357	34	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	154	128	39	8	2	2	23	37	2	5	1	305	418	445	864	141	411	24	15	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	132	116	14	3	1	0	12	45	0	5	2	121	203	164	367	43	189	34	9	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	132	108	18	4	1	0	20	30	0	5	2	167	297	222	519	56	222	23	15	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	106	90	10	2	1	0	13	52	0	2	2	111	223	156	379	44	244	49	12	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	106	82	15	3	2	0	21	35	0	2	2	183	350	268	618	85	300	33	20	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TB	—	91	82	16	3	1	1	8	29	1	2	0	195	275	293	567	98	265	32	9	238	41	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	178	158	30	6	1	2	16	54	2	3	1	190	273	278	551	89	269	30	9	252	51	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	61	55	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	182	262	273	535	91	273	31	8	247	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	61	55	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	182	262	273	535	91	257	31	8	247	48	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	107	21	0	11	53	202	11	11	0	183	263	275	538	92	257	31	8	247	48	-38	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	661	583	101	20	5	4	63	233	5	17	6	173	260	245	505	72	274	35	10	228	33	-50	+1	+0	+7	+19	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	100	20	5	4	62	229	5	17	6	175	261	248	509	73	276	35	10	228	33	-50	+1	+0	+7	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	154	128	39	8	2	2	23	37	2	5	1	305	418	445	864	141	411	24	15	387	154	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	132	108	18	4	1	0	20	30	0	5	2	167	297	222	519	56	222	23	15	246	46	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	106	82	15	3	2	0	21	35	0	2	2	183	350	268	618	85	300	33	20	290	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Erick Lara (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	28→33	48→53	63	179/257/252	74	265	1	2	32%	9%	41	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A	20	32	38→30	49→50	42	161/225/240	79	224	6	8	30%	7%	23	-3.6	195/251/268	73	259	4	9	25%	6%	40	-2.4	190/244/248	58	247	2	11	22%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→39	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	41	-2.3	196/245/264	68	276	4	8	29%	5%	37	-2.6	187/239/249	62	261	3	7	28%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	39	35→40	46→55	38	186/250/240	55	271	3	11	31%	5%	34	-2.8	173/252/259	86	311	6	18	42%	8%	40	-2.4	145/233/240	96	278	8	23	46%	9%	25	-1.4
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jose Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	42	38→40	49→45	46	198/269/277	79	283	5	6	30%	8%	51	-1.7	192/249/276	84	294	7	8	35%	6%	42	-2.3	167/223/239	72	252	7	7	35%	5%	19	-2.2
✕Jordan Viars 2023 · A	20	39	39→40	52→45	41	191/262/272	80	279	8	7	32%	7%	47	-1.9	179/257/278	99	298	9	5	40%	7%	48	-1.9	155/238/255	100	269	11	4	43%	7%	31	-1.3
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	40	174/248/241	67	275	4	6	36%	7%	33	-2.9	194/254/283	89	295	8	4	34%	7%	46	-2.0	181/244/265	84	271	8	3	34%	7%	35	-1.0
✕Omar Martinez 2021 · A	20	43→38	39→45	48→40	47	206/280/291	85	290	7	5	30%	9%	59	-1.1	197/282/309	112	296	12	5	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/263/292	118	262	14	4	37%	10%	52	-1.0
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	40	-2.4	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	50	-1.7	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Ricardo Andujar 2013 · A	20	42→45	35→30	48→50	46	195/275/255	60	279	2	9	29%	8%	48	-1.9	209/276/266	57	275	1	11	22%	8%	50	-1.7	224/268/286	61	297	2	12	24%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	50	-1.7	201/269/258	57	287	2	12	28%	8%	46	-2.0	194/260/238	44	282	1	11	29%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	41→40	38→40	52→50	40	196/255/280	84	286	5	15	32%	6%	46	-2.0	205/245/272	67	306	3	11	32%	4%	38	-2.6	199/240/260	61	295	2	11	32%	4%	29	-1.6
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4