Breyias Dean

3B FCL Marlins

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKMIA	137	.220/.294/.382	4	2	13	—	.126/.184/.220
2026	20	ROKMIA	169	.258/.399/.417	4	7	62	—	.189/.288/.301
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIA	279	.190/.264/.283	4	5	56	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	75	.189/.264/.286	1	1	62	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIA	158	.194/.269/.298	3	3	66	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO69

Chase%66

wRC+61

BB%58

wOBA50

Z-Con%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJohan Mieses (age 21) · Misael Urbina (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .262 / .280

PA141

HR2

K%30

BB%8

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	200	159	35	9	1	3	22	59	17	4	3	220	374	346	720	126	323	30	11	336	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	170	132	34	6	0	2	24	49	12	9	1	258	414	348	763	91	390	29	14	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	137	123	27	6	1	4	10	42	3	2	2	220	294	382	676	163	295	31	7	301	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	169	132	34	7	1	4	28	42	3	7	2	258	399	417	815	159	326	25	17	358	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	200	166	24	5	1	2	15	73	17	4	3	145	283	223	506	78	217	36	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	170	140	22	3	0	1	17	59	12	9	1	157	302	200	502	43	240	35	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	137	127	16	3	0	3	6	61	3	2	2	126	184	220	404	94	217	45	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	169	143	27	5	1	3	17	61	3	7	2	189	288	301	589	112	255	36	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	200	166	24	5	1	2	15	73	17	4	3	145	283	223	506	78	237	36	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	200	159	35	9	1	3	22	59	17	4	3	220	374	346	720	126	323	30	11	336	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	170	140	22	3	0	1	17	59	12	9	1	157	302	200	502	43	259	35	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	170	132	34	6	0	2	24	49	12	9	1	258	414	348	763	91	390	29	14	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	137	127	16	3	0	3	6	61	3	2	2	126	184	220	404	94	203	45	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	137	123	27	6	1	4	10	42	3	2	2	220	294	382	676	163	295	31	7	301	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	169	143	27	5	1	3	17	61	3	7	2	189	288	301	589	112	282	36	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	169	132	34	7	1	4	28	42	3	7	2	258	399	417	815	159	326	25	17	358	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	200	166	24	5	1	2	15	73	17	4	3	145	283	223	506	78	217	36	8	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	170	139	22	3	0	1	17	59	12	9	1	158	302	201	503	43	240	35	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	137	127	16	3	0	3	6	61	3	2	2	126	184	220	404	94	217	45	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	169	147	27	5	1	3	17	61	3	7	2	184	288	293	581	109	255	36	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	170	139	22	3	0	1	17	59	12	9	1	158	302	201	503	43	240	35	10	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	137	127	16	3	0	3	6	61	3	2	2	126	184	220	404	94	217	45	4	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	169	147	27	5	1	3	17	61	3	7	2	184	288	293	581	109	255	36	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	279	252	49	9	2	4	21	83	4	5	1	190	264	283	547	93	262	30	8	251	56	-15	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	217	195	39	7	1	4	17	63	3	4	1	195	270	299	569	103	265	29	8	259	62	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	326	292	58	10	2	6	26	93	5	6	2	200	275	311	586	111	267	29	8	266	66	-13	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	403	362	73	13	2	8	32	114	6	8	2	204	278	321	599	117	270	28	8	272	70	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	447	402	83	15	2	10	36	125	6	9	3	207	281	328	609	121	271	28	8	276	73	-15	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	473	426	90	16	3	11	38	131	6	9	3	209	283	333	616	124	272	28	8	278	74	-14	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	484	436	91	16	3	11	39	135	6	9	3	207	282	330	612	122	271	28	8	277	73	-15	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	75	68	12	2	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	189	264	286	550	97	257	29	8	252	62	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	158	143	28	5	1	3	12	45	2	3	1	194	269	298	566	104	259	28	8	259	66	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	212	190	37	6	1	4	17	60	3	4	1	197	272	307	579	110	261	28	8	264	70	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	245	220	43	7	1	5	20	68	3	5	1	200	275	313	589	114	262	28	8	267	73	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	263	236	48	8	1	6	21	73	4	5	2	202	277	318	595	116	263	28	8	270	74	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	266	239	48	8	1	6	21	74	4	5	2	201	276	315	591	115	262	28	8	269	73	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1219	1096	216	36	5	25	97	342	17	23	7	197	273	307	580	110	260	28	8	265	63	-42	+2	+0	+4	+26	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	115	19	3	13	52	182	9	12	4	197	273	307	579	110	260	28	8	265	63	-22	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3167	2816	547	97	16	61	254	957	69	69	23	194	277	305	582	111	267	30	8	262	63	-89	+3	+0	+9	+54	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	113	20	3	13	52	196	14	14	5	196	278	308	586	112	267	30	8	262	63	-23	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.0	1,360	28	26	205	276	321	+5	+2	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	14	13	+2.4	+1.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Clyde Beck'26-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	12	9	204*	292*	307*	+10	-6	-2.3	-2.3
/162	664	5	3	+3.7	-2.4	-0.9	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Breyias Dean (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	41→46	48→53	53	188/262/280	92	262	2	2	30%	8%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→32	41→40	49→50	45	190/258/293	104	259	8	12	29%	8%	57	-1.8	179/258/267	88	262	6	9	31%	9%	51	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	43→25	40→55	47→45	44	206/283/296	90	283	7	7	28%	7%	67	-1.1	185/280/351	166	286	19	5	39%	9%	80	-0.2	159/268/326	167	242	20	5	41%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	46→36	39→45	52→50	40	220/273/303	84	295	6	11	27%	5%	63	-1.3	194/250/257	63	268	2	10	27%	6%	45	-2.7	169/228/214	45	235	0	12	26%	6%	26	-3.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2024 · A	21	39→29	40→45	48→45	46	187/286/283	96	259	7	6	28%	8%	67	-1.1	184/278/286	102	279	10	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	163/265/259	96	246	11	3	35%	10%	51	-1.2
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	39→26	40→45	50	39	190/272/284	94	273	6	12	31%	5%	61	-1.5	170/238/291	121	318	15	12	49%	5%	49	-2.4	137/207/253	116	269	16	13	53%	5%	27	-1.7

Breyias Dean

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps