Moises Amezquita

P ACL Royals

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	11	20	4.58	2.74	22.5%	12.4%	—	K 15.3% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.77
2025	21	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	12	27	2.63	3.21	25.7%	14.2%	—	K 17.5% · BB 17.7% · FIP 4.64
2026	22	MIX2 levels	30	49	3.14	3.41	19.5%	11.2%	—	K 13.8% · BB 13.7% · FIP 4.36
2027PROJ	23	MLBKC	22	23	5.24	5.24	18.6%	13.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBKC	18	19	5.01	4.92	19.9%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Trevor Seidenberger (age 23) · Austin Hamilton (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 133

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%18.6%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	9	4	23	100	22	8	5	44%	2.6	15.0%	10.0%	5.0%	6.7%	3.52	6.77	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	9	4	23	100	22	8	5	44%	2.6	22.0%	8.0%	14.0%	5.0%	3.52	5.06	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	15.3%	15.4%	-0.2%	0.0%	4.58	3.77	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	15.3%	15.4%	-0.2%	0.0%	4.58	3.77	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	11	0	20	89	20	11	0	0%	1.8	22.5%	12.4%	10.1%	0.0%	4.58	2.74	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	17.5%	17.7%	-0.2%	1.4%	2.63	4.64	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	17.5%	17.7%	-0.2%	1.4%	2.63	4.64	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	12	0	27	113	29	16	1	0%	2.3	25.7%	14.2%	11.5%	0.9%	2.63	3.21	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	49	205	40	23	2	0%	1.6	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	1.3%	3.14	4.36	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	49	205	40	23	2	0%	1.6	13.8%	13.7%	0.1%	1.3%	3.14	4.36	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	49	205	40	23	2	0%	1.6	19.5%	11.2%	8.3%	1.0%	3.14	3.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	KC	22	0	23	97	18	13	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.8%	4.7%	2.9%	5.24	5.24	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	43	0	45	190	38	23	5	0%	1.0	19.9%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	5.01	4.92	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	18	0	19	80	16	10	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	5.01	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	0	19	81	16	10	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	5.01	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	104	21	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	5.01	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		62	4	119	507	77	72	11	6%	1.9	15.1%	14.2%	1.0%	2.1%	3.34	4.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	7	200	854	129	121	18	6%	1.9	15.1%	14.2%	1.0%	2.1%	3.34	4.80	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Moises Amezquita (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	18.6%	13.8%	2.9%	—	4.92	19.9%	7.7%	45	-0.32	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	90
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	88
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	88
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	85
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	84
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Josh Mitchell L 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	14.6%	11.9%	2.8%	.325	2.90	19.0%	11.1%	44	-2.00	2.90	100	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Felix Carvallo L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	22	SU	4.60	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	132	82
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	82
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	82
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	82
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	81
Jason Kershner L 2002 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	16.8%	12.1%	2.8%	.233	4.04	14.5%	8.1%	76	-0.72	3.87	100	81
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	81
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	80
Jordan Mills L 2015 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	13.9%	12.7%	1.4%	.323	2.72	18.6%	10.0%	114	-1.56	2.64	210	80
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	19.5%	12.8%	1.11	5.09
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19