Carlos Cordero — OGILVIE

Carlos CorderoSS FCL Braves

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .267 / .280

PA4

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	150	126	29	3	1	1	21	31	2	2	0	230	349	294	643	63	295	21	14	303	91	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	51	47	8	0	1	0	3	13	1	1	1	170	235	213	448	43	235	25	6	211	29	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	135	23	2	1	1	12	46	2	2	0	170	248	222	471	52	242	31	8	214	31	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	51	48	6	0	1	0	2	18	1	1	1	125	176	167	343	42	180	35	4	138	-20	-7	-0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	135	23	2	1	1	12	46	2	2	0	170	248	222	471	52	247	31	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	150	126	29	3	1	1	21	31	2	2	0	230	349	294	643	63	295	21	14	303	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	51	48	6	0	1	0	2	18	1	1	1	125	176	167	343	42	200	35	4	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	51	47	8	0	1	0	3	13	1	1	1	170	235	213	448	43	235	25	6	211	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	135	23	2	1	1	12	46	2	2	0	170	248	222	471	52	242	31	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	51	48	6	0	1	0	2	18	1	1	1	125	176	167	343	42	180	35	4	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	135	23	2	1	1	12	46	2	2	0	170	248	222	471	52	242	31	8	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	51	48	6	0	1	0	2	18	1	1	1	125	176	167	343	42	180	35	4	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		287	25	0	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	116	106	22	3	1	1	8	33	1	1	0	208	270	283	553	75	289	28	7	264	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	261	237	51	8	2	4	19	72	3	3	1	215	282	316	598	101	290	28	7	273	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	365	331	72	11	3	6	27	99	4	4	1	218	285	323	608	106	291	27	7	278	75	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	436	395	88	14	3	8	33	117	5	5	2	223	291	334	625	111	292	27	8	282	77	-12	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	478	434	96	15	3	9	36	129	5	5	2	221	288	332	620	111	292	27	8	284	78	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	502	453	102	16	4	10	38	135	6	6	2	225	294	344	638	119	292	27	8	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	514	464	104	16	4	10	39	139	6	6	2	224	293	341	633	116	292	27	8	285	79	-13	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	516	465	104	16	4	10	40	140	6	6	2	224	294	340	633	116	292	27	8	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	511	460	102	16	3	10	40	139	6	5	2	222	292	335	627	113	291	27	8	283	78	-14	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	503	454	99	15	3	10	39	139	5	5	1	218	287	330	618	112	290	28	8	280	76	-14	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	216	275	324	599	108	289	28	8	257	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	126	115	25	4	1	2	9	35	1	1	0	217	280	322	602	104	290	28	7	265	71	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	198	179	38	6	1	3	15	54	2	2	1	212	281	307	588	95	291	27	8	270	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	242	219	50	8	2	5	18	65	3	3	1	228	296	352	647	123	292	27	7	274	77	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	268	243	54	8	2	5	20	72	3	3	1	222	289	333	623	111	292	27	7	276	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	282	256	58	9	2	6	21	76	3	3	1	227	293	348	641	121	292	27	7	277	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	284	257	58	9	2	6	22	77	3	3	1	226	294	346	641	121	292	27	8	277	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	283	256	57	9	2	6	22	77	3	3	1	223	292	344	636	121	292	27	8	277	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	273	247	54	8	2	5	21	75	3	3	1	219	288	328	616	109	291	27	8	275	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	265	239	53	8	2	5	21	73	3	2	1	222	293	335	628	113	290	28	8	272	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2261	2048	455	70	16	44	172	615	24	23	8	222	290	336	627	114	294	27	8	274	74	-61	+1	-2	+24	+49	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	131	20	5	13	49	177	7	7	2	222	290	340	629	117	294	27	8	274	74	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4407	3986	870	132	32	79	333	1207	50	49	16	218	287	327	614	109	290	27	8	278	74	-115	+3	-4	+45	+91	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	128	19	5	12	49	178	7	7	2	218	286	328	614	111	289	27	8	278	74	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,306	44	25	222	287	336	+25	+18	2.7	2.6
/162	664	13	7	+7.1	+5.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Cordero (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	204/267/280	76	287	0	1	29%	7%	57	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	41	195/245/269	75	266	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	236/283/325	89	313	8	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	247/301/337	90	312	4	24	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Riley Unroe 2016 · A	20	43→48	36→45	44→55	44	205/262/267	62	280	4	8	27%	7%	51	-2.2	194/260/260	66	281	4	12	30%	8%	49	-2.4	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	46	-2.6	201/260/300	99	294	8	6	32%	7%	58	-1.7	200/255/329	129	272	11	4	29%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jose Marquez 2018 · A	20	41	37→50	44→50	40	195/244/271	76	263	4	4	27%	5%	45	-2.7	217/261/322	105	296	8	7	28%	5%	63	-1.3	200/247/320	120	277	13	10	32%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Jean Batista 2012 · A	20	43	40→55	50→45	36	208/238/300	92	279	7	8	28%	4%	49	-2.4	219/244/339	120	282	10	7	26%	3%	61	-1.5	224/238/371	147	277	12	6	24%	1%	63	-0.4
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2021 · A	20	43→52	35→45	48→40	49	196/281/253	57	286	2	4	30%	10%	57	-1.8	211/287/313	102	309	9	3	32%	9%	72	-0.7	200/281/304	104	289	10	2	32%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Sergio Alcántara 2016 · A	20	39→49	34→45	46→50	46	184/254/235	51	259	2	6	28%	8%	41	-3.0	225/272/284	59	291	2	8	22%	6%	58	-1.7	210/288/320	110	286	12	4	29%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Sandy León 2009 · A	20	39→49	34→45	44→30	45	184/250/233	49	251	2	5	26%	7%	39	-3.1	203/259/270	67	286	3	4	28%	7%	51	-2.3	237/298/344	107	301	10	0	24%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕John Tolisano 2009 · A	20	38→46	42→45	50	44	189/251/293	104	258	9	6	30%	8%	53	-2.1	196/258/314	118	267	12	6	29%	8%	61	-1.5	202/268/330	129	264	12	12	27%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Walter Ibarra 2008 · A	20	42→52	35→40	46→50	45	199/262/259	60	268	3	8	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/257/288	69	277	3	11	21%	4%	53	-2.1	258/292/356	97	325	5	12	21%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Alan Schoenberger 2009 · A	20	39	36→45	46→45	43	184/249/253	69	277	2	6	32%	8%	44	-2.8	194/248/278	84	295	5	7	34%	6%	49	-2.4	184/232/270	86	270	6	5	33%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	42	182/261/255	73	288	2	10	34%	8%	49	-2.4	199/251/276	77	302	6	10	34%	6%	49	-2.4	187/239/252	64	286	4	11	34%	5%	36	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps