Carlos Concepcion

OF ACL Giants

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 189 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Giants Or…	196	.282/.384/.497	6	1	51	—	.178/.268/.302
2026	20	ROKSF	169	.238/.315/.364	4	1	11	—	.141/.202/.205
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSF	279	.189/.252/.284	4	4	51	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSF	75	.192/.256/.292	1	1	57	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO55

Z-Con%30

wRC+19

Whiff%18

wOBA16

Chase%11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEthan Workinger (age 21) · Darwin Rivera (age 21) · Omar Estévez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .250 / .281

PA141

HR2

K%33

BB%6

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	133	117	34	5	0	4	13	29	2	3	3	291	371	436	807	145	353	22	10	360	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	199	164	40	9	1	3	23	61	9	7	4	244	367	366	733	122	359	31	12	334	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	163	46	9	4	6	21	53	6	1	0	282	384	497	881	215	364	27	11	378	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Giants	—	169	151	36	7	0	4	13	65	4	1	1	238	315	364	680	126	390	38	8	307	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	133	121	23	3	0	2	9	35	2	3	3	190	258	264	522	74	236	26	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	199	170	25	5	1	1	17	76	9	7	4	147	260	206	466	59	232	38	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	169	30	6	3	3	15	66	6	1	0	178	268	302	570	124	231	34	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	169	156	22	4	0	2	8	94	4	1	1	141	202	205	408	64	318	56	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	133	121	23	3	0	2	9	35	2	3	3	190	258	264	522	74	247	26	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	133	117	34	5	0	4	13	29	2	3	3	291	371	436	807	145	353	22	10	360	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	199	170	25	5	1	1	17	76	9	7	4	147	260	206	466	59	250	38	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	199	164	40	9	1	3	23	61	9	7	4	244	367	366	733	122	359	31	12	334	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	169	30	6	3	3	15	66	6	1	0	178	268	302	570	124	255	34	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	163	46	9	4	6	21	53	6	1	0	282	384	497	881	215	364	27	11	378	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	169	156	22	4	0	2	8	94	4	1	1	141	202	205	408	64	333	56	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	169	151	36	7	0	4	13	65	4	1	1	238	315	364	680	126	390	38	8	307	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	133	121	23	3	0	2	9	35	2	3	3	190	258	264	522	74	236	26	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	199	171	25	5	1	1	17	76	9	7	4	146	260	205	465	58	232	38	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	173	30	6	3	3	15	66	6	1	0	173	268	295	563	121	231	34	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	169	155	22	4	0	2	8	94	4	1	1	142	202	206	409	65	318	56	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	199	171	25	5	1	1	17	76	9	7	4	146	260	205	465	58	232	38	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	196	173	30	6	3	3	15	66	6	1	0	173	268	295	563	121	231	34	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	169	155	22	4	0	2	8	94	4	1	1	142	202	206	409	65	318	56	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SF	0%	279	255	49	9	2	4	18	93	4	4	1	189	252	284	536	94	276	33	6	244	51	-16	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	34%	217	198	39	7	1	4	14	71	3	3	1	195	259	299	558	104	278	33	6	253	57	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	34%	75	69	12	2	0	1	5	24	1	1	0	192	256	292	547	100	274	32	7	249	57	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	75	69	12	2	0	1	5	24	1	1	0	174	240	246	486	72	250	32	7	249	40	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	104	17	0	9	43	208	9	9	0	174	240	247	487	74	249	32	7	249	40	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1055	943	163	29	6	14	72	389	26	17	10	173	251	261	512	88	270	37	7	228	40	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	101	18	4	9	44	240	16	10	6	174	251	265	516	91	271	37	7	228	40	-35	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	216	3	3	192	252	290	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	10	9	-4.0	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Concepcion (OGILVIE)	21	40	45	40	40	188/250/281	93	276	2	2	33%	6%	51	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→41	42→45	45	39	187/239/300	113	260	9	5	31%	6%	51	-2.3	205/255/326	121	270	13	6	28%	6%	63	-1.4	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Darwin Rivera 2013 · A	21	42	40	37→30	38	206/249/294	88	289	8	2	31%	5%	53	-2.1	199/249/282	83	281	6	4	30%	5%	49	-2.4	155/200/218	63	212	5	0	29%	4%	14	-1.4
✕Omar Estévez 2019 · A	21	43	42→45	42→40	37	210/253/317	107	293	10	3	31%	5%	59	-1.6	215/266/322	107	302	10	3	30%	6%	65	-1.2	201/256/294	92	277	9	1	29%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Duanel Jones 2014 · A	21	39→42	39→45	39→40	38	192/241/277	85	275	7	3	32%	6%	45	-2.7	206/249/312	106	283	12	4	30%	5%	57	-1.8	204/246/315	111	272	14	3	30%	5%	55	-1.6
✕Yerlin Confidan 2024 · A	21	38→44	42→45	42→50	38	186/242/296	111	285	9	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	201/264/304	103	303	8	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	202/268/305	103	295	9	10	32%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Kevin Made 2024 · A	21	41→38	41→45	44→50	43	201/259/301	99	267	7	5	27%	6%	58	-1.7	203/265/276	73	275	5	10	26%	7%	55	-2.0	197/260/254	57	268	4	12	26%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Patrick Romeri 2022 · A	21	42	44→45	43→50	41	199/271/312	113	318	11	6	38%	8%	66	-1.1	206/263/322	116	335	11	8	39%	7%	64	-1.3	198/252/323	124	308	12	10	38%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jonathan Meyer 2012 · A	21	43→45	41→45	35→40	41	210/263/301	91	296	9	3	31%	6%	59	-1.6	213/255/302	89	281	9	3	26%	5%	57	-1.8	194/238/271	77	249	8	2	25%	5%	41	-1.9
✕Jhon Torres 2022 · A	22	42→41	40→45	41→45	37	202/255/297	95	294	6	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	207/259/308	101	308	9	6	34%	6%	60	-1.6	173/214/265	92	264	12	0	38%	5%	30	-0.7
✕Joe Munoz 2015 · A	21	40→39	43→45	46→40	37	197/252/303	106	299	10	4	36%	6%	56	-1.9	204/268/312	108	308	10	5	34%	7%	64	-1.3	191/257/291	100	288	9	5	35%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Robby Hefflinger 2011 · A	21	41→39	42→50	39→40	34	199/238/302	103	312	10	4	39%	5%	50	-2.3	197/241/325	128	305	14	4	38%	5%	57	-1.8	188/234/333	144	278	17	3	38%	5%	55	-1.7
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Narbe Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	37→45	45	41	201/278/275	74	300	5	7	32%	7%	60	-1.6	203/255/288	85	280	7	6	28%	5%	54	-2.0	201/251/290	89	279	8	6	30%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Kenny Peoples-Walls 2015 · A	21	41	39→45	44→50	31	200/230/278	77	292	7	8	34%	3%	41	-3.0	205/244/307	102	293	11	7	33%	4%	54	-2.0	177/217/295	118	238	17	2	34%	4%	38	-0.9
✕Nick Basto 2015 · A	21	42→49	39→45	38→30	35	206/243/288	82	284	7	3	30%	4%	49	-2.4	201/249/306	105	285	10	2	32%	5%	55	-1.9	206/263/314	107	284	11	0	30%	6%	61	-1.1
✕J.V. Martinez 2019 · A	20	40→36	41→45	43→30	39	198/258/298	100	278	9	3	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/258/298	102	278	9	2	31%	6%	57	-1.8	185/246/288	103	261	9	1	31%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Gabriel Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	47→42	40	44→40	40	224/274/316	92	314	8	5	30%	6%	67	-1.1	206/275/298	92	318	8	6	35%	7%	64	-1.3	177/270/258	82	285	7	3	37%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2015 · A	22	40→43	40→45	41→40	36	200/235/287	88	284	7	3	32%	4%	45	-2.7	208/243/314	106	274	11	3	28%	4%	55	-2.0	207/242/318	111	265	13	2	27%	4%	53	-1.7
✕Luis Verdugo 2022 · A	21	37→47	40	48→45	34	183/222/273	90	278	7	6	36%	4%	38	-3.2	208/261/298	90	274	6	5	25%	6%	58	-1.7	211/265/294	82	268	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2

Carlos Concepcion

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps