Jesus Alexander — OGILVIE

Jesus AlexanderC ACL Giants

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 214 lbs ROK BB -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.0 · 2032

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .291 / .345

PA105

HR2

K%26

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

47↗52

PWR

35↗40

SPD

44↗49

EYE

44↗49

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.0	$29M	+$28M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.0	$30M	+$29M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.8	$29M	+$24M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.5	$27M	+$19M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.1	$23M	+$13M
Totals		$27M		$167M	+$140M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	85	79	11	3	0	1	4	26	2	0	0	.139	.200	.215	.415	.076	.192	31	5	.176	-7	-10	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.6
2024	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	197	183	49	11	2	3	12	42	0	1	0	.268	.313	.399	.712	.131	.329	21	6	.308	94	-1	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2025	19	ROK	ACL Giants	125	116	20	3	0	0	8	34	0	1	0	.172	.226	.198	.424	.026	.241	27	6	.199	11	-13	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	SF	105	95	22	4	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	.232	.298	.358	.656	.126	.290	26	8	.288	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	SF	191	171	41	8	1	5	16	47	2	4	1	.240	.312	.386	.698	.146	.291	25	8	.303	90	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
2028	22	MLB 28%	SF	319	285	68	13	2	8	28	76	3	6	1	.239	.313	.382	.696	.144	.292	24	9	.311	96	-1	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.4
2029	23	MLB 48%	SF	406	362	86	16	2	11	37	94	4	8	2	.238	.315	.384	.699	.146	.292	23	9	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+7	+12	2.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	SF	465	413	101	19	3	13	44	106	5	9	2	.245	.325	.400	.724	.155	.293	23	9	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.5
2031	25	MLB 80%	SF	498	442	108	20	3	15	48	113	5	9	2	.244	.325	.405	.730	.161	.293	23	10	.324	106	+4	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.8
2032	26	MLB 94%	SF	517	456	112	21	3	15	51	117	5	10	2	.246	.328	.404	.732	.158	.294	23	10	.326	108	+4	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2033	27	MLB	SF	520	458	112	21	3	15	52	119	5	10	2	.245	.328	.402	.730	.157	.294	23	10	.326	108	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2034	28	MLB	SF	520	458	112	21	3	15	52	120	5	9	1	.245	.328	.402	.730	.157	.294	23	10	.325	107	+4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.9
2035	29	MLB	SF	519	457	110	20	3	15	52	121	5	9	1	.241	.325	.396	.721	.155	.293	23	10	.323	105	+3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2036	30	MLB	SF	510	449	108	20	3	14	51	120	5	8	1	.241	.325	.392	.717	.151	.292	24	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-2	+9	+14	2.5
2037	31	MLB	SF	482	426	99	18	2	13	48	116	5	7	0	.232	.317	.376	.693	.143	.290	24	10	.316	100	+0	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.1
2038	32	MLB	SF	451	399	93	17	2	12	45	111	4	6	0	.233	.317	.376	.693	.143	.289	25	10	.311	97	-2	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.7
2039	33	MLB	SF	410	362	82	15	2	10	41	104	4	5	0	.227	.312	.362	.674	.135	.288	25	10	.306	92	-4	+1	-4	+7	+12	1.2
2040	34	MLB	SF	356	315	72	13	2	9	35	93	3	5	0	.229	.312	.368	.680	.140	.286	26	10	.300	87	-5	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.8
2041	35	MLB	SF	298	264	57	10	1	7	29	81	3	4	0	.216	.301	.341	.642	.125	.284	27	10	.292	82	-6	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.3
2042	36	MLB	SF	239	212	45	8	1	5	23	67	2	4	0	.212	.295	.330	.626	.118	.282	28	10	.283	75	-7	+1	-6	+4	+7	-0.1
2043	37	MLB	SF	181	161	33	6	1	3	17	53	1	3	0	.205	.285	.311	.595	.106	.278	29	9	.274	68	-7	+1	-7	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7394	6563	1541	287	40	191	701	1787	69	120	15	.235	.315	.378	.693	.143	.292	24	9	.310	96	-37	+18	-38	+132	+209	29.0
/ 162G	—			650	577	136	25	4	17	62	157	6	11	1	.236	.316	.381	.698	.146	.293	24	10	.310	96	-3	+2	-3	+12	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	85	76	13	4	0	1	7	18	2	0	.171	.259	.263	.522	.092	.211	21	8	.245	46	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	197	176	67	17	3	5	19	28	0	1	.381	.441	.597	1.038	.216	.428	14	10	.448	201	+23	+0	—	—	+6	2.9
2025	19	ROK	ACL Giants	125	109	27	5	0	0	15	25	0	1	.248	.339	.294	.632	.046	.318	20	12	.294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Alexander (OGILVIE)	20	47→52	35→40	44→49	49	.224/.291/.345	.121	.290	2	2	26%	8%	79	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→49	45	49→50	47	.245/.300/.368	.123	.296	13	11	22%	7%	87	+0.8	.232/.316/.354	.122	.279	10	13	20%	9%	91	+1.1	.227/.316/.346	.119	.270	10	12	19%	10%	86	+0.7
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	51→58	41→45	47→50	51	.245/.310/.342	.096	.296	8	15	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.303/.332	.097	.280	8	11	18%	9%	79	+0.3	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	51	40→45	50	56	.242/.330/.341	.100	.294	6	9	19%	11%	93	+1.3	.219/.290/.298	.079	.284	3	7	22%	8%	65	-0.7	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	42→55	51→50	41	.244/.289/.355	.111	.326	9	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.259/.300/.414	.155	.299	17	12	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	42→55	54→60	45	.242/.287/.364	.122	.283	8	14	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.247/.293/.363	.116	.305	9	25	21%	5%	83	+0.6	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Hank Conger 2008 · A	20	47→55	46→50	48→45	43	.235/.276/.367	.131	.277	13	9	21%	5%	77	+0.1	.246/.289/.382	.136	.290	15	5	20%	6%	86	+0.8	.248/.300/.378	.130	.288	14	2	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	49→53	46→55	53→45	45	.236/.300/.372	.137	.327	13	8	31%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.308/.410	.159	.313	18	5	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.253/.314/.408	.154	.307	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→55	40	50→40	47	.224/.290/.318	.093	.286	7	6	23%	8%	70	-0.3	.241/.308/.323	.082	.307	6	4	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.246/.316/.311	.065	.316	4	2	22%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→47	41→45	46→55	51	.216/.301/.314	.097	.294	9	7	28%	10%	74	-0.1	.227/.294/.343	.116	.313	11	10	29%	8%	79	+0.3	.228/.299/.352	.124	.336	11	21	33%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	.216/.273/.341	.124	.279	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.232/.297/.343	.111	.298	9	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→40	49→40	52	.249/.317/.367	.118	.295	12	4	20%	9%	94	+1.3	.228/.288/.319	.091	.284	7	2	21%	8%	69	-0.4	.273/.337/.381	.107	.337	11	2	21%	8%	103	+1.1
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	49→57	41→40	50	44	.239/.281/.337	.098	.287	8	13	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.254/.300/.347	.093	.306	6	10	18%	6%	81	+0.4	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	49	42→45	49→50	48	.238/.307/.349	.111	.292	9	12	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.225/.272/.314	.089	.289	5	7	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.225/.269/.312	.087	.288	4	6	22%	5%	55	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)