Jesus Alexander — OGILVIE

Jesus AlexanderC ACL Giants

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 214 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .275 / .316

PA8

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	76	13	4	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	171	259	263	522	92	211	21	8	245	52	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	197	176	67	17	3	5	19	28	0	1	0	381	441	597	1.038	216	428	14	10	448	190	+21	+0	—	—	+4	2.6
2025	19	ROK	ACL Giants	—	125	109	27	5	0	0	15	25	0	1	0	248	339	294	632	46	318	20	12	294	85	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	79	11	3	0	1	4	26	2	0	0	139	200	215	415	76	177	31	5	173	3	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	183	49	11	2	3	12	41	0	1	0	268	313	399	712	131	320	21	6	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	243	27	7	201	22	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	79	11	3	0	1	4	26	2	0	0	139	200	215	415	76	192	31	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	76	13	4	0	1	7	18	2	0	0	171	259	263	522	92	211	21	8	245	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	183	49	11	2	3	12	41	0	1	0	268	313	399	712	131	326	21	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	197	176	67	17	3	5	19	28	0	1	0	381	441	597	1.038	216	428	14	10	448	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	244	27	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	125	109	27	5	0	0	15	25	0	1	0	248	339	294	632	46	318	20	12	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	79	11	3	0	1	4	26	2	0	0	139	200	215	415	76	177	31	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	183	49	11	2	3	12	41	0	1	0	268	313	399	712	131	320	21	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	243	27	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	85	79	11	3	0	1	4	26	2	0	0	139	200	215	415	76	177	31	5	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	197	183	49	11	2	3	12	41	0	1	0	268	313	399	712	131	320	21	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	125	115	20	3	0	0	9	34	0	1	0	174	234	200	434	26	243	27	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	SF	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		288	25	12	269	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SF	34%	191	174	38	7	1	3	13	49	2	3	1	218	280	322	602	103	289	26	7	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	48%	319	290	67	13	2	6	23	80	3	5	2	231	294	352	646	121	290	25	7	286	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	SF	54%	406	370	85	16	3	8	29	100	4	7	2	230	293	354	647	124	291	25	7	290	82	-9	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	SF	55%	465	424	99	19	3	10	34	114	4	8	3	233	297	363	660	130	292	25	7	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	SF	56%	498	453	105	20	3	10	37	122	5	9	3	232	297	355	652	124	292	24	7	293	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	SF	56%	517	469	109	21	3	11	38	126	5	9	3	232	297	360	657	128	292	24	7	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	471	110	21	3	11	39	128	5	10	3	234	299	361	660	127	292	25	8	293	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	SF	55%	520	471	109	21	3	11	39	128	5	9	3	231	297	359	656	127	291	25	8	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	519	469	107	20	3	10	40	129	5	9	3	228	296	348	643	119	290	25	8	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	SF	57%	510	461	105	20	3	10	39	128	5	9	3	228	295	349	644	121	289	25	8	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	SF	60%	482	438	98	18	3	9	37	123	4	8	2	224	290	340	630	116	287	26	8	283	78	-13	+1	-3	+9	+10	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	SF	61%	451	410	89	16	2	8	34	116	4	7	2	217	283	324	608	107	283	26	8	278	74	-14	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	SF	62%	410	373	80	14	2	7	31	108	3	6	2	214	280	319	599	105	279	26	8	271	70	-15	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	SF	34%	66	60	13	3	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	217	288	317	605	100	284	26	8	267	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	48%	155	142	32	6	1	3	11	39	1	3	1	225	286	345	631	120	285	25	7	273	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	SF	54%	220	200	45	9	1	4	16	54	2	4	1	225	289	340	629	115	286	25	7	277	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	SF	55%	258	235	54	10	2	5	19	63	2	5	1	230	293	353	646	123	286	24	7	279	84	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	SF	56%	279	253	58	11	2	5	21	68	3	5	2	229	296	348	644	119	286	24	8	280	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	SF	56%	291	265	60	11	2	6	21	71	3	5	2	226	291	351	642	125	286	24	7	280	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	SF	55%	288	261	60	11	2	6	22	71	3	5	2	230	297	356	654	126	286	25	8	280	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	SF	55%	285	258	58	11	2	5	22	70	3	5	2	225	293	341	634	116	286	25	8	279	84	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	277	251	57	11	2	5	21	69	3	5	2	227	295	347	641	120	285	25	8	277	83	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	SF	57%	291	264	59	11	2	5	22	73	3	5	2	223	291	337	628	114	284	25	8	275	81	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	SF	60%	287	260	58	11	2	5	22	73	3	5	1	223	291	338	630	115	281	25	8	271	78	-8	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	SF	61%	276	251	54	10	1	5	21	71	2	4	1	215	281	323	604	108	278	26	8	266	74	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	SF	62%	256	233	49	9	1	4	19	67	2	4	1	210	276	309	585	99	274	26	7	259	70	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3229	2933	657	124	20	59	242	806	31	56	18	224	290	340	630	116	287	25	7	275	79	-74	+4	-9	+58	+70	5.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	132	25	4	12	49	162	6	11	4	224	289	341	630	117	287	25	8	275	79	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6223	5657	1282	243	36	118	459	1554	56	101	32	227	291	345	636	118	290	25	7	285	79	-133	+7	-15	+104	+126	9.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	133	25	4	12	48	162	6	11	3	225	290	342	632	117	288	25	7	285	79	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,333	65	57	228	290	348	+60	+32	7.5	6.5
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+6.4	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Alexander (OGILVIE)	20	47→52	35→40	44→49	49	217/275/316	99	288	1	1	26%	7%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	225/290/318	93	285	7	6	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/312/324	81	312	5	4	22%	8%	83	+0.1	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	45→50	41→45	46→55	51	216/301/314	97	294	9	7	28%	10%	77	-0.3	232/302/345	113	325	10	11	29%	9%	84	+0.2	233/308/347	114	330	9	15	29%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	47	38→40	50	45	220/287/305	85	312	4	6	29%	8%	70	-0.9	208/300/272	64	293	2	7	26%	11%	68	-1.0	180/294/274	94	254	7	9	29%	12%	66	-0.7
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	215/270/339	125	281	10	8	27%	7%	71	-0.8	232/297/337	105	300	8	4	23%	9%	80	-0.1	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	74	-0.5	199/293/310	111	279	10	5	29%	11%	74	-0.5	178/276/286	107	248	11	4	30%	11%	60	-0.8
✕John Drennen 2007 · A	20	47→56	43→45	45	44	229/290/340	111	297	10	8	26%	6%	78	-0.3	217/271/317	100	276	8	5	24%	6%	66	-1.1	243/293/365	122	288	8	1	18%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	229/273/319	90	284	5	5	21%	5%	67	-1.1	231/268/304	73	271	5	6	16%	4%	61	-1.5	233/267/296	63	268	5	5	15%	4%	58	-0.8
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	48→53	37→40	46→45	46	226/292/310	84	301	3	10	24%	7%	72	-0.7	241/292/328	87	298	5	8	20%	6%	76	-0.4	235/284/324	88	297	4	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	47→45	46	221/286/323	102	285	10	12	26%	8%	74	-0.6	228/311/363	135	276	12	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	222/308/359	137	264	13	9	20%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	72	-0.7	180/233/251	71	285	5	4	36%	5%	37	-3.3	143/191/216	73	246	8	0	44%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	45→55	39→45	46→55	47	211/305/306	95	281	6	9	25%	8%	78	-0.3	229/295/330	101	292	7	15	23%	5%	79	-0.2	253/307/362	109	339	8	26	26%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	82	-0.0	222/294/296	74	305	5	6	26%	7%	71	-0.8	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Adrian Cardenas 2008 · A	20	51→59	41→40	50	44	246/290/344	98	299	8	12	20%	6%	79	-0.2	259/306/352	93	311	6	10	18%	6%	86	+0.3	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	43→49	42→50	44→50	43	213/265/317	104	278	10	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	231/290/362	131	316	13	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps