Anderson Suriel — OGILVIE

Anderson SurielRF Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 L/L 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .245 / .289

PA9

HR0

K%32

BB%6

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	194	176	52	15	5	0	14	19	3	11	7	295	358	438	795	142	329	10	7	352	124	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	36	31	8	0	0	0	4	5	1	2	1	258	361	258	619		308	14	11	299	89	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	120	107	26	4	1	2	10	30	2	2	4	243	319	355	674	112	316	25	8	305	92	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	57	49	12	3	0	1	4	17	4	0	1	245	351	367	718	122	355	30	7	332	111	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	143	125	43	12	3	8	13	30	3	8	5	344	415	680	1.095	336	398	21	9	463	200	+17	-0	—	—	+3	2.0
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	98	13	6	0	0	7	31	4	2	1	133	220	194	414	61	194	28	6	201	22	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	194	183	39	10	3	0	7	29	3	11	7	213	254	301	554	87	255	15	4	250	55	-10	-1	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	36	33	7	0	0	0	2	7	1	2	1	212	278	212	490		254	19	6	218	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	120	111	19	3	1	1	6	43	2	2	4	171	227	243	470	72	250	36	5	207	26	-11	-1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	57	50	9	2	0	1	3	25	4	0	1	180	281	280	561	100	325	44	5	245	52	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	143	130	31	9	2	6	9	44	3	8	5	238	303	477	780	238	294	31	6	323	105	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	101	9	4	0	0	4	46	4	2	1	89	156	129	285	40	169	42	4	137	-21	-16	+0	—	—	+2	-1.4
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	194	183	39	10	3	0	7	29	3	11	7	213	254	301	554	87	252	15	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	194	176	52	15	5	0	14	19	3	11	7	295	358	438	795	142	329	10	7	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	36	33	7	0	0	0	2	7	1	2	1	212	278	212	490		269	19	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	36	31	8	0	0	0	4	5	1	2	1	258	361	258	619		308	14	11	299	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	120	111	19	3	1	1	6	43	2	2	4	171	227	243	470	72	265	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	120	107	26	4	1	2	10	30	2	2	4	243	319	355	674	112	316	25	8	305	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	181	40	11	2	7	11	68	7	8	6	221	291	420	711	199	308	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	200	174	55	15	3	9	17	47	7	8	6	316	397	592	989	276	387	24	8	426	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	101	9	4	0	0	4	46	4	2	1	89	156	129	285	40	164	42	4	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	98	13	6	0	0	7	31	4	2	1	133	220	194	414	61	194	28	6	201	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	194	182	39	10	3	0	7	29	3	11	7	214	254	302	556	88	255	15	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	36	33	7	0	0	0	2	7	1	2	1	212	278	212	490		254	19	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	120	111	19	3	1	1	6	43	2	2	4	171	227	243	470	72	250	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	180	40	11	2	7	11	68	7	8	6	222	291	422	714	200	303	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	100	9	4	0	0	4	46	4	2	1	90	156	130	286	40	169	42	4	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	120	111	19	3	1	1	6	43	2	2	4	171	227	243	470	72	250	36	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	180	40	11	2	7	11	68	7	8	6	222	291	422	714	200	303	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	109	100	9	4	0	0	4	46	4	2	1	90	156	130	286	40	169	42	4	137	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	33	11	244	51	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	191	175	35	7	1	4	11	58	3	4	1	200	259	320	579	120	267	30	6	256	60	-9	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.7
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	57	53	10	2	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	189	246	283	529	94	269	30	5	245	60	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	53	10	2	0	1	3	17	1	1	0	189	246	283	529	94	257	30	5	245	50	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	114	23	0	11	34	194	11	11	0	189	245	281	526	93	258	30	5	245	50	-31	+2	+0	-7	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	859	792	150	35	7	12	42	254	20	29	20	189	248	297	545	107	260	30	5	241	50	-10	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	113	26	5	9	32	192	15	22	15	189	248	294	542	105	259	30	5	241	50	-32	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Suriel (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	43→48	48→53	44	186/245/289	103	262	2	2	32%	6%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	39→50	51→55	42	207/267/295	88	301	7	9	32%	8%	60	-1.6	197/263/307	110	285	9	16	32%	7%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	54	-2.0	198/249/317	119	281	14	3	34%	5%	59	-1.7	186/239/304	118	261	16	0	34%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43→41	43→45	53→55	41	211/260/321	109	279	10	14	28%	6%	63	-1.4	215/272/326	111	306	10	21	31%	7%	69	-0.9	206/274/320	114	295	13	23	33%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	37→31	40→50	49→50	36	182/234/272	91	293	8	13	39%	6%	42	-2.9	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/254/349	137	373	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→36	44→45	51→50	39	200/248/314	115	280	11	10	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/243/294	100	292	8	9	34%	6%	51	-2.3	160/203/246	86	252	4	8	37%	4%	22	-1.9
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	45→50	48→30	37	183/244/304	121	276	13	3	37%	6%	54	-2.0	193/252/293	100	308	9	4	38%	6%	54	-2.0	163/225/235	72	274	5	0	40%	6%	31	-1.6
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	43	-2.8	205/255/294	89	300	5	5	31%	6%	55	-2.0	210/261/310	100	314	5	1	33%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	39→37	44→50	50	37	197/235/315	118	254	11	8	27%	4%	52	-2.2	205/265/355	150	282	18	8	33%	6%	74	-0.6	181/249/342	161	241	21	6	34%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	42→32	44→45	47→50	40	208/266/323	115	299	12	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	195/267/305	110	290	11	11	34%	8%	63	-1.4	174/256/276	103	258	11	11	35%	9%	51	-1.4
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	260	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	202/266/319	117	280	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	154/224/207	53	220	4	5	30%	8%	23	-0.9
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	195/250/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	55	-1.9	178/230/283	105	303	12	3	43%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39→38	42→50	46→55	38	194/256/302	108	290	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	185/249/303	118	274	11	13	35%	6%	56	-1.9	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Tyler Miller 2023 · A	23	36→28	44→45	53→50	34	187/238/294	107	291	13	13	40%	5%	49	-2.4	195/239/300	105	274	11	11	32%	5%	50	-2.3	188/231/292	103	252	9	9	29%	5%	44	-1.6
✕Daniel Cabrera 2022 · AA	23	39→42	45	48→45	38	201/244/327	126	274	13	8	31%	5%	59	-1.7	210/268/309	99	272	8	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	209/275/295	86	265	6	7	22%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Cody Rogers 2012 · A	23	39→41	44→45	56→50	41	195/256/313	117	263	11	16	29%	6%	60	-1.6	203/262/296	93	297	7	16	32%	6%	58	-1.7	193/253/268	75	294	4	19	34%	6%	47	-1.8
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	37→33	47→50	48→50	38	192/250/330	138	280	15	6	36%	6%	62	-1.4	189/245/304	115	321	12	8	42%	6%	54	-2.0	164/220/265	100	296	10	9	46%	5%	34	-2.7
✕Chris Grayson 2013 · A	23	40→38	43→45	56→50	42	200/263/314	115	273	9	20	29%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/295	98	268	7	15	28%	7%	58	-1.7	187/254/275	87	252	6	15	27%	7%	49	-1.6