Luiyin Alastre — OGILVIE

Luiyin AlastreSS Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 20 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .275 / .255

PA135

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$39M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	163	144	31	5	1	1	14	26	2	8	5	215	294	285	578	69	250	16	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	163	136	39	7	1	1	22	18	2	8	5	287	394	375	769	88	317	11	13	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	220	201	41	4	2	2	14	37	2	11	2	204	263	274	536	70	236	17	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	220	192	50	6	2	2	23	26	2	11	2	260	346	344	689	83	287	12	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	2 teams	—	372	342	67	8	3	1	22	104	6	11	7	196	257	246	502	50	276	28	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A+	2 teams	—	372	335	80	10	4	1	29	69	6	11	7	239	311	301	612	63	296	19	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	MIL	—	203	173	33	10	2	0	25	48	2	6	7	191	300	272	572	81	258	24	12	258	56	-10	-2	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
YTD	20	A+	MIL	—	203	162	35	11	2	0	36	35	2	6	7	216	365	309	674	93	269	17	18	315	99	-0	-2	+0	+2	+6	0.6
ROS	20	A+	MIL	0%	135	121	24	5	1	0	11	31	2	3	2	198	275	255	531	58	265	23	8	253	51	-7	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	20	MLB	MIL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						263	0	0	243	44	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	MIL	—	204	174	33	10	2	0	25	48	2	6	7	190	299	270	569	80	256	24	12	258	56	-10	-2	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
TOT	20	A+	MIL	—	338	294	57	15	3	0	36	79	4	9	9	194	290	265	555	71	260	23	11	256	54	-18	-2	+0	+4	+10	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIL	35%	431	386	81	16	3	4	37	95	5	8	6	210	287	298	585	88	266	22	9	270	65	-17	-1	+0	+5	+12	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	MIL	49%	502	447	97	18	4	7	44	108	6	9	7	217	296	322	618	105	269	22	9	283	75	-14	-1	+0	+5	+14	0.5
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	549	489	109	20	4	10	49	116	6	10	8	223	301	342	643	119	271	21	9	291	81	-12	-1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	578	514	116	22	4	11	52	121	7	11	8	226	305	348	654	123	272	21	9	296	85	-10	-1	+0	+6	+16	1.2
2031	25	MLB	MIL	60%	595	529	120	22	4	12	54	124	7	11	8	227	307	352	658	125	272	21	9	299	87	-9	-1	+0	+6	+17	1.4
2032	26	MLB	MIL	62%	603	536	122	23	4	12	55	126	7	11	8	228	308	353	660	125	272	21	9	299	87	-9	-1	+0	+6	+17	1.4
2033	27	MLB	MIL	63%	603	535	122	23	4	12	56	126	7	11	8	228	309	353	663	125	272	21	9	300	87	-9	-1	+0	+6	+17	1.4
2034	28	MLB	MIL	65%	599	531	120	22	4	12	56	126	7	11	8	226	308	350	658	124	272	21	9	299	87	-9	-1	-1	+6	+17	1.3
2035	29	MLB	MIL	65%	589	521	118	22	4	12	56	125	7	10	8	226	310	353	663	127	271	21	10	297	85	-10	-1	-1	+6	+17	1.1
2036	30	MLB	MIL	65%	579	512	114	21	4	11	55	124	7	10	7	223	307	344	650	121	270	21	9	294	84	-11	-1	-2	+6	+16	0.9
2037	31	MLB	MIL	65%	564	500	110	20	4	10	53	123	6	9	7	220	302	336	638	116	268	22	9	291	81	-12	-1	-3	+6	+16	0.6
2038	32	MLB	MIL	65%	546	484	105	19	3	10	51	121	6	8	6	217	299	331	630	114	265	22	9	285	77	-14	-1	-4	+6	+15	0.3
2039	33	MLB	MIL	65%	516	457	96	17	3	8	48	117	6	7	5	210	294	313	606	103	262	23	9	279	72	-17	-1	-4	+6	+15	-0.1
2027	21	MLB	MIL	35%	149	133	27	5	1	1	13	33	2	3	2	203	284	278	562	75	264	22	9	260	57	-7	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	22	MLB	MIL	49%	244	217	48	9	2	4	22	53	3	5	3	221	302	336	638	115	267	22	9	273	67	-9	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2029	23	MLB	MIL	54%	298	266	59	11	2	5	27	63	3	6	4	222	301	335	635	113	269	21	9	281	73	-9	-0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2030	24	MLB	MIL	55%	320	284	64	12	2	6	29	67	4	6	4	225	306	345	651	120	270	21	9	285	77	-8	-0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2031	25	MLB	MIL	60%	355	316	72	13	3	7	32	74	4	7	5	228	307	354	661	127	270	21	9	288	78	-9	-1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2032	26	MLB	MIL	62%	375	334	76	14	3	8	34	78	4	7	5	228	306	359	666	132	270	21	9	288	79	-9	-1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2033	27	MLB	MIL	63%	381	339	77	14	3	8	35	80	4	7	5	227	307	357	664	130	270	21	9	289	79	-9	-1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2034	28	MLB	MIL	65%	389	344	78	14	3	8	37	82	5	7	5	227	311	355	666	128	270	21	10	288	78	-9	-1	-0	+4	+11	0.5
2035	29	MLB	MIL	65%	383	340	76	14	3	7	36	81	4	7	5	224	305	344	649	121	269	21	9	286	77	-10	-1	-1	+4	+11	0.4
2036	30	MLB	MIL	65%	376	333	73	13	2	7	36	81	4	6	5	219	303	333	636	114	268	22	10	284	75	-10	-1	-1	+4	+11	0.2
2037	31	MLB	MIL	65%	367	325	71	13	2	7	35	80	4	6	4	218	302	335	638	117	266	22	10	280	73	-11	-0	-2	+4	+10	0.1
2038	32	MLB	MIL	65%	355	315	67	12	2	6	33	79	4	5	4	213	295	321	616	108	263	22	9	275	69	-13	-1	-2	+4	+10	-0.2
2039	33	MLB	MIL	65%	335	297	62	11	2	5	31	76	4	4	3	209	292	310	602	101	260	23	9	269	64	-14	-0	-3	+4	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4328	3844	850	155	30	79	400	927	49	76	54	221	303	339	641	118	269	21	9	282	74	-128	-6	-10	+46	+123	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	128	23	5	12	60	139	7	11	8	222	302	341	644	120	270	21	9	282	74	-19	-1	-1	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	8144	7249	1593	287	56	135	727	1750	96	159	110	220	299	331	630	111	269	21	9	286	77	-214	-12	-15	+87	+231	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	127	23	4	11	58	140	8	13	9	219	300	330	630	111	269	22	9	286	77	-17	-1	-1	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	163	136	39	7	1	1	22	18	2	8	5	287	394	375	769	88	317	11	13	348	124	+4	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	220	192	50	6	2	2	23	26	2	11	2	260	346	344	689	83	287	12	10	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	303	274	61	7	1	0	23	61	4	10	5	223	292	255	548	33	284	20	8	256	54	-16	+0	—	—	+9	-0.7
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	69	61	19	3	3	1	6	8	2	1	2	311	391	508	900	197	346	12	9	396	161	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,329	81	76	224	302	344	+46	+24	6.7	6.0
	/162	664	12	12	224	302	344	+7.1	+3.7	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luiyin Alastre (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	50	30	194/290/265	71	260	0	9	23%	11%	54	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2013 · A	20	42	34→30	49→50	45	195/244/241	46	244	2	16	20%	6%	30	-3.1	229/284/270	41	282	1	12	18%	7%	54	-1.4	225/283/242	17	274	0	12	16%	7%	44	-0.7
✕Ismael Dionicio 2011 · A	20	43	34→30	45→55	41	202/250/249	47	280	1	13	27%	6%	34	-2.8	225/278/276	51	304	1	18	24%	6%	53	-1.5	243/295/288	46	321	0	23	23%	6%	60	-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Gustavo Omana 2006 · A	20	43	36→30	44→45	41	204/256/271	67	272	2	4	25%	5%	43	-2.2	221/271/283	62	268	3	4	18%	5%	53	-1.5	231/280/279	48	271	3	2	15%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	37	-2.7	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	49	-1.8	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	56	-0.3
✕Hancer Vargas 2008 · A	19	46	33→30	46→50	44	217/264/255	38	274	2	11	21%	6%	41	-2.3	209/256/264	55	271	3	11	22%	5%	41	-2.3	198/239/231	32	242	0	15	17%	4%	24	-0.9
✕Pedro Flores 2016 · A	20	43	34→30	48→50	46	201/257/254	53	249	2	10	20%	6%	39	-2.5	216/286/271	55	254	2	10	14%	8%	56	-1.3	216/301/243	27	241	0	12	9%	10%	53	-0.8
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	69	-0.4	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Walter Ibarra 2008 · A	20	42→52	35→40	46→50	45	199/262/259	60	268	3	8	26%	7%	43	-2.2	219/256/289	70	278	3	11	21%	4%	47	-1.9	263/296/366	102	331	6	12	21%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Samuel Castro 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	48→50	40	212/266/282	70	294	3	9	28%	6%	50	-1.7	206/263/275	69	338	2	10	37%	6%	47	-1.9	192/250/250	58	324	1	12	38%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	55	-1.4	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	61	-1.0	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Omar Casamayor 2007 · A	20	47	35→40	46→55	48	220/283/278	59	268	2	6	18%	7%	57	-1.2	236/287/302	66	283	2	12	16%	5%	64	-0.8	242/288/300	58	293	2	14	17%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Herson Perez 2017 · A	20	42	36→30	48→55	42	195/256/262	66	287	3	13	31%	7%	41	-2.3	207/271/259	52	276	2	14	23%	7%	46	-2.0	232/287/258	26	287	0	20	18%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	38	-2.6	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	45	-2.1	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9