Omar UrbinaC FCL Orioles
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION101 act + 67 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .267 / .277
PA67
HR1
K%30
BB%7
BABIP273
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.81.60.10.40.70.91.01.11.11.00.80.60.3+$57M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT43
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE54
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$4M+$4M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.8$2M+$1M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.6$1M+$0.5M
2037Arb-3$1.0M+0.3$0.5M+$0.2M
Totals $7M $18M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKDSL Orioles Black 156138 22201 11366 20 159252196447 36206 237 203 14
202418 ROKDSL Orioles Black 156132 32301 17246 20 242355288643 45287 1511 305 91
202519 ROKFCL Orioles 7465 13111 6221 00 200278292570 92273 308 241 43
202519 ROKFCL Orioles 7461 16211 10151 00 262375377752 115319 2014 336 115
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKBAL 10187 16300 10353 20 184290218508 34302 3510 235 38 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
YTD20 ROKBAL 10181 21400 16243 20 259400309709 49362 2416 336 115 +2 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.7
ROS20 ROKBAL 0% 6761 12201 5201 10 196267277545 82284 307 256 54 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS20 MLBBAL 0% 01 0000 000 00 288 247 47 +0 +0
FULL20 ROKBAL 10188 16300 10353 20 182290216506 34296 3510 235 38 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
TOT20 ROKBAL 168148 28501 15554 30 189281243524 54289 339 243 44 -11 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBBAL 34% 210188 40713 17593 31 213288309597 96285 288 266 62 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
202822 MLBBAL 48% 334299 641125 27925 62 214290314604 100287 288 274 68 -12 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.4
202923 MLBBAL 54% 416373 811427 341136 72 217293322615 105288 278 279 72 -13 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.7
203024 MLBBAL 55% 471422 921628 391277 92 218295322617 104289 278 283 74 -14 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203125 MLBBAL 56% 501448 981729 411357 93 219294326620 107289 278 284 75 -14 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.0
203226 MLBBAL 56% 518462 10217310 431398 103 221298335634 115289 278 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.1
203327 MLBBAL 55% 520463 10117210 441408 103 218297328625 110289 278 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.1
203428 MLBBAL 55% 520463 10117210 441418 103 218297328625 110288 278 283 75 -15 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.0
203529 MLBBAL 53% 517460 991729 441418 93 215295320614 104287 279 281 73 -16 +1 -1 +9 +15 0.8
203630 MLBBAL 53% 508453 971629 431407 92 214292318610 104286 288 278 71 -17 +1 -2 +9 +14 0.6
203731 MLBBAL 57% 480429 901528 411347 82 210289310599 100283 289 274 68 -17 +1 -3 +9 +14 0.3
203832 MLBBAL 59% 448401 831327 381276 72 207285302587 95280 288 269 64 -18 +1 -4 +8 +13 -0.0
202721 MLBBAL 34% 7265 13201 6201 10 200278277555 77289 288 259 56 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202822 MLBBAL 48% 162146 32513 13452 31 219292329621 110291 288 267 62 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202923 MLBBAL 54% 226203 45814 18613 41 222295330625 108292 278 272 67 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203024 MLBBAL 55% 261234 52915 21704 51 222297333631 111293 278 276 69 -9 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.4
203125 MLBBAL 56% 281252 561015 23764 51 222297329627 107293 278 277 70 -10 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203226 MLBBAL 56% 291261 581016 24784 51 222298337635 115293 278 277 70 -10 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203327 MLBBAL 55% 288258 571016 24784 51 221297337634 116293 278 277 70 -10 +1 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203428 MLBBAL 55% 285255 561015 24774 51 220297325622 106292 278 276 70 -10 +1 -0 +5 +8 0.4
203529 MLBBAL 53% 276247 54915 23754 51 219296324620 105291 278 274 68 -10 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.3
203630 MLBBAL 53% 267238 52915 23744 51 218298328626 109290 289 271 66 -10 +1 -1 +5 +8 0.2
203731 MLBBAL 57% 271242 52915 23754 51 215294322616 107288 288 267 63 -11 +1 -2 +5 +8 0.0
203832 MLBBAL 59% 265237 49814 22754 41 207285300585 93284 288 262 59 -12 +0 -2 +5 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 29452639 576991154 24480442 5211 218295326620 107291 278 272 67 -111 +6 -6 +53 +83 2.6
/ 162G 650582 12722212 541779 112 218294325619 107291 278 272 67 -24 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.6
Career 57405125 10951822598 477156688 10028 214292316608 103285 278 276 70 -196 +9 -10 +103 +163 6.8
/ 162G 650580 12421311 5417710 113 214292317609 103285 278 276 70 -22 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202418 ROKDSL Orioles Black 156132 32301 17246 20 242355288643 45287 1511 305 91 -2 +0 +4 0.3
202519 ROKFCL Orioles 7461 16211 10151 00 262375377752 115319 2014 336 115 +1 +0 +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,0385254216290321+54+284.54.1
/1626641112+11.9+6.11.0pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Omar Urbina (OGILVIE) 20 38→43 31→36 45→50 54 189/281/243 54289 13 33% 9% 44 -0.2
Yeldrys Molina
2009 · A
20 43 38→40 48→50 44 206/265/287 82281 49 27% 7% 51 -1.7 194/252/272 78285 48 31% 7% 42 -2.3 139/198/200602030929%6%-1-1.2
Jose Bellorin
2011 · A
20 42 39→40 47→50 42 203/257/285 81265 610 25% 6% 47 -1.9 223/280/308 85271 69 19% 6% 63 -0.8 239/295/3167827661015%6%69-0.2
Rayner Contreras
2007 · A
20 45 38→40 48→50 42 216/266/294 78291 56 27% 6% 53 -1.5 231/286/322 91300 610 24% 6% 69 -0.4 240/289/3197932051125%5%66-0.2
Luke Williams
2017 · A
20 46 36→45 50→60 47 215/283/280 65292 311 26% 8% 57 -1.2 193/244/262 69260 517 26% 6% 36 -2.7 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Christian Cairo
2021 · A
20 39→46 35→40 48→60 44 183/264/241 59277 29 32% 8% 40 -2.4 186/288/267 81287 615 33% 11% 59 -1.1 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Jenner Emeterio
2013 · A
20 45 38→30 48→60 46 214/278/297 83284 513 26% 8% 59 -1.1 217/304/278 61289 324 23% 10% 66 -0.6 216/317/2604428513422%12%65-0.3
Adrian Abreu
2011 · A
20 43 37→40 52→55 44 204/258/281 77261 310 22% 6% 46 -2.0 205/283/290 85253 715 20% 9% 61 -1.0 194/284/2748023182019%10%56-0.4
Luis Palacios
2009 · A
20 43 38→40 45→50 44 205/265/285 81267 67 25% 6% 51 -1.7 184/229/259 75281 55 35% 5% 28 -3.2 142/174/195542284438%3%-14-1.2
Juan De Los Santos
2014 · A
20 43 36→40 48→50 44 200/281/269 69285 39 29% 7% 55 -1.4 200/276/274 74279 47 28% 8% 54 -1.4 171/257/225542354426%8%32-1.2
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Dixon Mavares
2006 · A
20 46 35→30 48→50 43 215/277/280 64278 210 22% 6% 55 -1.4 217/290/280 63266 211 18% 7% 61 -1.0 219/298/2765826121215%7%61-0.3
Wilmer Dominguez
2011 · A
20 43 40→45 49→45 42 209/255/300 91272 75 26% 6% 50 -1.7 218/253/304 86275 85 23% 4% 50 -1.7 247/278/35911127314515%4%72-0.1
Adrian De Leon
2023 · A
19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
Yorberto Mejicano
2021 · A
20 46 37→45 53→45 46 215/277/285 71288 410 25% 8% 56 -1.3 227/280/341 114311 128 29% 6% 72 -0.2 210/262/31710728611930%5%55-0.6
Leo Jiménez
2021 · A
20 44→49 37→45 50→45 46 209/267/287 78267 46 23% 7% 52 -1.6 236/347/327 91303 78 22% 10% 99 +1.7 226/327/323972898822%9%87+0.4
Pablo Olivares
2018 · A
20 44→41 36→40 49→50 42 206/276/277 71285 310 27% 6% 55 -1.4 220/288/301 81285 613 24% 6% 66 -0.6 212/286/2897727261422%6%59-0.6
Daurys Mercedes
2010 · A
20 45 37→45 49→45 42 208/268/290 82302 37 30% 7% 53 -1.5 186/256/250 64315 27 38% 8% 39 -2.5 145/223/189442752644%8%7-1.4
Edward Duran
2023 · A
19 43→45 35→40 48→50 47 200/268/269 69262 27 23% 7% 49 -1.8 224/299/299 75294 48 23% 8% 69 -0.4 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
Gilberto Celestino
2019 · A
20 43→53 38→45 52→55 41 206/254/285 79277 512 27% 6% 46 -2.0 219/275/319 100284 88 25% 7% 64 -0.8 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
Gavin Cecchini
2014 · A
20 42→52 37→45 46→45 41 199/250/271 71282 47 29% 6% 40 -2.4 233/284/333 100284 75 19% 6% 71 -0.3 245/297/343982907517%7%76+0.0