Junior Aybar

2B Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 145 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	107	.292/.406/.360	0	5	55	—	.219/.292/.271
2026	20	ABAL	211	.243/.312/.365	2	13	41	—	.186/.240/.263
2026	20	ROKBAL	65	.304/.391/.464	3	17	76	—	.220/.281/.322
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBAL	386	.183/.245/.268	5	10	45	-0.9
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBAL	112	.192/.255/.291	2	3	51	-0.4
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBBAL	198	.197/.260/.304	3	5	56	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed93

ISO45

wRC+37

wOBA31

BB%18

K%11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsJose Ramos (age 21) · Esteban González (age 21) · Loidel Chapelli (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 265 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .243 / .266

PA265

HR3

SB7

K%33

BB%7

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	126	106	23	6	1	0	19	37	0	0	5	217	336	292	628	75	333	29	15	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	85	21	3	2	1	16	23	0	18	0	247	366	365	731	118	323	23	16	332	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	107	89	26	4	1	0	17	24	0	5	6	292	406	360	765	67	400	22	16	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	211	189	46	11	3	2	17	72	2	13	6	243	312	365	678	122	376	34	8	301	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	65	56	17	0	0	3	7	11	1	17	1	304	391	464	855	161	326	17	11	377	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	126	111	14	3	1	0	14	43	0	0	5	126	224	171	395	45	209	34	11	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	90	12	2	1	0	11	29	0	18	0	133	228	178	406	44	192	28	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	107	96	21	3	1	0	10	35	0	5	6	219	292	271	563	52	337	33	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	211	194	36	8	2	1	12	98	2	13	6	186	240	263	503	77	351	46	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	65	59	13	0	0	2	4	16	1	17	1	220	281	322	603	102	261	25	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	126	111	14	3	1	0	14	43	0	0	5	126	224	171	395	45	206	34	11	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	126	106	23	6	1	0	19	37	0	0	5	217	336	292	628	75	333	29	15	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	90	12	2	1	0	11	29	0	18	0	133	228	178	406	44	194	28	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	85	21	3	2	1	16	23	0	18	0	247	366	365	731	118	323	23	16	332	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	107	96	21	3	1	0	10	35	0	5	6	219	292	271	563	52	344	33	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	107	89	26	4	1	0	17	24	0	5	6	292	406	360	765	67	400	22	16	352	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	276	253	50	8	2	4	16	114	3	30	7	198	254	292	546	95	333	41	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	276	245	63	11	3	5	24	83	3	30	7	257	331	388	719	131	362	30	9	319	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	126	111	14	3	1	0	14	43	0	0	5	126	224	171	395	45	209	34	11	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	90	12	2	1	0	11	29	0	18	0	133	228	178	406	44	192	28	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	107	96	21	3	1	0	10	35	0	5	6	219	292	271	563	52	337	33	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	276	255	50	8	2	4	16	114	3	30	7	196	254	290	544	94	330	41	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	102	90	12	2	1	0	11	29	0	18	0	133	228	178	406	44	192	28	11	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	107	96	21	3	1	0	10	35	0	5	6	219	292	271	563	52	337	33	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	276	255	50	8	2	4	16	114	3	30	7	196	254	290	544	94	330	41	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	386	354	65	12	2	5	26	128	3	10	3	183	245	268	513	85	268	33	7	234	45	-25	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	325	297	56	10	2	5	22	105	3	9	2	189	252	285	536	96	270	32	7	244	51	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	408	373	72	13	2	7	28	129	4	11	3	194	258	297	555	104	272	32	7	251	56	-21	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	462	422	83	15	3	8	33	143	4	13	3	198	262	307	569	109	274	31	7	257	60	-22	+1	+0	+2	+10	-0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	493	451	90	17	3	9	35	151	4	13	4	200	266	313	579	113	275	31	7	262	63	-22	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	509	462	93	17	3	10	37	153	5	14	4	203	268	318	586	115	276	30	7	265	65	-21	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	515	467	94	17	3	10	38	156	5	14	4	201	267	315	582	114	275	30	7	263	64	-22	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	112	102	21	4	1	2	8	36	1	3	1	192	255	291	545	99	274	32	7	248	51	-6	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	198	180	35	7	1	3	14	63	2	5	1	197	260	304	564	107	276	32	7	255	56	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	244	223	44	8	1	5	17	76	2	7	2	201	265	314	579	113	278	31	7	261	60	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	270	247	50	9	2	5	19	82	2	7	2	204	269	321	589	117	279	30	7	266	63	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	283	257	54	10	2	6	21	85	3	8	2	206	271	325	597	119	280	30	7	269	65	-12	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	305	277	57	11	2	6	22	92	3	8	2	205	270	323	593	118	279	30	7	267	64	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1412	1286	261	49	9	27	101	434	13	38	10	203	268	318	586	115	281	31	7	263	56	-65	+4	+0	+5	+31	-2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	120	23	4	12	46	200	6	17	5	203	267	316	583	113	282	31	7	263	56	-30	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3588	3265	629	113	23	56	262	1146	30	134	40	193	259	293	552	100	275	32	7	251	56	-144	+7	+0	+11	+65	-6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	113	20	4	10	47	208	5	24	7	191	256	289	545	98	274	32	7	251	56	-31	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.5	1,676	29	45	197	259	304	+6	+4	-2.6	-1.3
/162	664	12	18	+2.4	+1.6	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Aybar (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	34→39	60→65	51	181/243/266	85	268	3	7	33%	7%	45	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	39→33	43→45	51→50	42	193/261/303	109	286	10	12	34%	8%	60	-1.6	207/272/319	112	304	11	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Miles Gordon 2019 · A	21	41	41→40	55→50	42	202/256/309	106	275	7	14	28%	6%	58	-1.7	187/233/270	83	282	6	14	34%	5%	40	-3.0	154/194/218	63	239	4	16	36%	4%	12	-2.7
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→40	41→45	53→50	42	184/260/288	104	282	8	7	35%	8%	56	-1.9	184/272/282	98	313	8	10	39%	10%	60	-1.6	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6

Junior Aybar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps