Joenelly Van Der Linden

Joenelly Van Der LindenSS DSL Pirates Gold

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 142 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .265 / .259

PA4

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	65	11	1	0	0	11	24	2	2	3	169	308	185	492	15	268	30	14	243	51	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	40	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	1	1	200	304	200	504		250	17	8	240	48	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	69	8	1	0	0	7	35	2	2	3	116	218	130	348	14	215	44	9	163	-4	-10	-1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	41	7	0	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	171	261	171	432		200	23	6	178	7	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	69	8	1	0	0	7	35	2	2	3	116	218	130	348	14	235	44	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	65	11	1	0	0	11	24	2	2	3	169	308	185	492	15	268	30	14	243	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	41	7	0	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	171	261	171	432		233	23	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	40	8	0	0	0	4	8	2	1	1	200	304	200	504		250	17	8	240	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	71	8	1	0	0	7	35	2	2	3	113	218	127	345	14	215	44	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	43	7	0	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	163	261	163	424		200	23	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	80	71	8	1	0	0	7	35	2	2	3	113	218	127	345	14	215	44	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	48	43	7	0	0	0	3	11	2	1	1	163	261	163	424		200	23	6	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		289	25	0	245	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	116	105	22	3	1	1	8	34	2	1	0	210	278	286	564	76	290	29	7	256	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	261	236	49	7	1	3	19	75	4	3	1	208	278	284	562	76	291	29	7	265	65	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	365	330	71	11	2	5	27	104	5	4	1	215	285	306	591	91	292	28	7	270	69	-13	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	436	394	85	13	2	7	33	123	6	5	2	216	286	312	599	96	293	28	8	274	71	-15	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	478	432	94	14	3	8	36	135	7	6	2	218	288	319	608	102	293	28	8	275	72	-16	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	502	452	99	15	3	9	38	142	7	6	2	219	290	325	615	106	293	28	8	276	73	-16	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	514	462	101	15	3	9	40	146	7	6	2	219	291	323	613	104	293	28	8	277	73	-16	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	516	464	101	15	3	9	40	147	7	6	2	218	290	321	611	103	293	28	8	276	73	-17	+0	-1	+6	+11	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	511	459	100	15	3	9	40	146	7	6	2	218	291	322	613	105	292	29	8	274	72	-17	+0	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	40	36	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	0	0	194	275	222	497	28	288	30	8	244	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	126	114	25	4	1	2	9	36	2	2	0	219	288	325	613	105	289	29	7	251	65	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	198	178	38	6	1	3	15	56	3	2	1	213	286	309	595	96	290	28	8	257	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	242	219	47	7	1	4	18	68	3	3	1	215	283	311	594	96	291	28	7	260	71	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	268	242	52	8	1	4	20	76	4	3	1	215	286	306	591	91	291	28	7	262	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	282	255	55	8	2	5	21	80	4	3	1	216	286	322	607	106	291	28	7	262	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	284	256	56	8	2	5	22	80	4	3	1	219	291	324	615	105	291	28	8	263	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	283	255	53	8	1	4	22	81	4	3	1	208	281	294	575	86	291	29	8	262	73	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	273	246	52	8	1	4	21	78	4	3	1	211	284	301	585	89	290	29	8	260	72	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1996	1801	385	58	10	31	151	567	29	22	7	214	285	309	594	95	292	28	8	260	69	-68	+2	-1	+21	+43	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	125	19	3	10	49	185	9	7	2	213	284	307	591	94	292	28	8	260	69	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3831	3448	738	109	21	60	291	1099	56	46	18	214	286	310	596	96	294	29	8	270	69	-127	+3	-2	+40	+80	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	125	18	4	10	49	186	10	8	3	214	286	309	595	96	293	29	8	270	69	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,040	33	25	216	285	315	+22	+18	1.0	1.1
/162	664	11	8	+7.1	+5.9	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joenelly Van Der Linden (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	198/265/259	62	289	0	1	31%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	43	191/262/259	68	272	4	4	30%	7%	50	-2.3	182/239/268	86	269	8	4	34%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→41	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	59	-1.7	214/277/357	143	320	16	4	36%	7%	78	-0.3	203/271/348	146	303	18	4	37%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Jase Bowen 2021 · A	20	41→40	36→50	50→55	39	192/247/263	71	293	3	8	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/249/299	109	289	12	14	37%	5%	55	-2.0	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	39	-3.1	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	52	-2.2	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→50	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	52	-2.2	204/247/318	114	284	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	38→42	37→45	47→45	37	184/233/259	75	278	4	7	34%	5%	38	-3.2	213/258/302	89	294	7	8	29%	5%	57	-1.8	218/255/332	114	290	9	5	28%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	57	-1.8	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	11	-1.2
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	37	-3.3	209/269/298	89	302	7	12	31%	7%	61	-1.5	221/283/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	44→46	38→45	50→55	41	211/261/290	79	291	5	9	28%	6%	56	-1.9	222/265/337	115	305	11	22	30%	5%	68	-1.0	221/263/341	120	290	13	24	28%	5%	66	-1.0
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	59	-1.7	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	75	-0.5	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	75	-0.1
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	40	-3.1	206/263/285	79	260	5	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	227/270/319	92	275	7	1	19%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	68	-1.0	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jose D. Hernandez 2023 · A	20	41	37→45	45	47	192/274/268	76	273	4	8	29%	9%	57	-1.8	210/282/330	120	280	11	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	180/269/313	133	235	15	7	29%	9%	64	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps