Grenyerbert Velasquez3B DSL Cubs Blue
Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .275 / .290
PA71
HR1
K%29
BB%8
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.60.70.7+$21M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 10092 18400 6330 22 196245239484 43295 336 214 22
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 10088 22500 10230 22 250327307633 57328 2310 288 78
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 144120 17212 20503 122 142280225505 83217 3514 241 43
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 144110 23322 30333 122 209392327719 118276 2321 339 118
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBCHC 7164 14211 6211 10 219296328624 109287 308 261 58 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBCHC 34% 121109 23412 10341 20 211283321604 110289 288 272 67 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.0
202822 MLBCHC 48% 267240 53925 22743 51 221294338632 117290 288 280 73 -8 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.1
202923 MLBCHC 54% 371333 741337 311024 61 222296342639 120292 278 286 77 -10 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.3
203024 MLBCHC 55% 442397 881539 371205 82 222296343639 121293 278 289 80 -10 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.5
203125 MLBCHC 56% 485436 9717310 411325 82 222297344641 122293 278 291 81 -10 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
203226 MLBCHC 56% 510457 10217411 431395 92 223297350647 127293 278 293 82 -10 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.7
203327 MLBCHC 55% 521465 10518412 451426 92 226302359661 133292 279 293 82 -11 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.7
202721 MLBCHC 34% 4239 8101 3120 10 205262308570 103290 297 266 62 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202822 MLBCHC 48% 129116 25412 11361 20 216289319608 103292 289 274 68 -5 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.0
202923 MLBCHC 54% 201180 40714 17552 41 222296339635 117293 278 279 72 -6 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.0
203024 MLBCHC 55% 245219 49825 21673 41 224300347647 123294 279 283 75 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.1
203125 MLBCHC 56% 272244 55926 23743 51 225300352652 127294 278 285 76 -7 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.2
203226 MLBCHC 56% 287258 581026 24783 51 225298349647 124294 278 286 77 -7 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.2
203327 MLBCHC 55% 288258 581026 25793 51 225301349650 124294 279 286 77 -7 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 14641314 293491030 12440115 265 223297344641 121296 278 283 75 -42 +3 +0 +5 +41 0.8
/ 162G 650583 13022413 551787 122 223298341639 118296 278 283 75 -19 +2 +0 +2 +18 0.4
Career 30322713 5911012259 26184733 6214 218294337631 119292 289 283 75 -85 +7 +0 +11 +86 1.9
/ 162G 650582 12822513 561827 133 220297342639 122294 289 283 75 -18 +1 +0 +2 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 10088 22500 10230 22 250327307633 57328 2310 288 78 -2 -0 +3 -0.0
202418 ROKDSL Cubs Blue 144110 23322 30333 122 209392327719 118276 2321 339 118 +3 +2 +4 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,5353127222293344+5+21.51.6
/1626641412+2.4+1.10.7pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Grenyerbert Velasquez (OGILVIE) 20 203/275/290 87287 11 29% 8% 58 -0.1
Angel Martínez
2022 · A
20 41→47 41→50 49→50 44 202/257/305 102265 810 26% 7% 53 -1.5 223/285/351 128285 1210 25% 7% 77 +0.1 226/291/358132282131024%7%79+0.2
Dalton Pompey
2013 · A
20 40→50 40→45 55 44 196/264/288 92278 816 31% 8% 52 -1.6 236/297/340 104317 624 26% 7% 79 +0.3 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→55 39 184/247/283 100276 69 34% 6% 43 -2.2 200/271/309 109281 913 30% 8% 60 -1.0 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A
20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Junior Valera
2013 · A
20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
Rosell Herrera
2013 · A
20 40→50 37→45 48→55 40 193/243/266 73268 59 29% 6% 37 -2.7 229/276/310 81309 710 26% 6% 62 -0.9 247/301/3379031542422%7%76+0.1
Jean Batista
2012 · A
20 43 40→55 50→45 36 208/238/300 92279 78 28% 4% 42 -2.3 219/243/339 120283 107 26% 3% 55 -1.4 223/237/36914627612624%1%58-0.3
Michael Hermosillo
2015 · A
20 42→46 39→55 51→55 43 200/270/292 92292 611 32% 8% 56 -1.3 215/291/294 79285 617 24% 8% 66 -0.6 226/298/350124305122028%7%81+0.3
Alejandro Flores
2016 · A
20 37 39→50 45→40 43 182/248/265 83263 75 32% 8% 39 -2.5 203/261/310 107295 96 32% 7% 56 -1.3 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
John Tolisano
2009 · A
20 38→47 42→50 50 44 189/251/293 104258 96 30% 8% 47 -1.9 196/258/316 120267 126 30% 8% 56 -1.3 204/271/341137267141228%8%65-0.4
Hoy Park
2016 · A
20 40→49 41→45 47→55 46 196/269/296 99264 811 28% 8% 56 -1.3 205/280/294 89283 516 27% 8% 59 -1.1 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Riley Unroe
2016 · A
20 42→48 36→50 44→55 43 202/257/261 60279 48 28% 7% 41 -2.3 188/253/253 65276 412 31% 8% 38 -2.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
Karexon Sanchez
2008 · A
20 42→48 40→45 50 44 204/268/288 84276 814 28% 7% 53 -1.5 209/274/318 109301 1011 32% 7% 64 -0.8 222/301/333110309101129%8%76+0.0
Josh Johnson
2006 · A
20 43→49 39→45 48→50 50 203/280/297 94266 59 24% 9% 61 -1.0 218/304/287 69285 310 22% 11% 69 -0.4 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
Eddys Leonard
2021 · A
20 42→47 40→55 45→50 44 202/274/296 94295 78 32% 8% 59 -1.1 228/295/379 151303 175 29% 7% 89 +1.0 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Thomas Milone
2015 · A
20 41→44 36→45 51→55 38 194/246/266 72293 310 33% 6% 37 -2.6 192/245/252 60278 313 30% 6% 33 -2.9 243/298/36912534081729%6%82+0.3
Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A
20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
Jose Ramos
2021 · A
20 43→42 38→50 48→45 41 206/270/283 78285 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 214/277/356 142321 164 36% 7% 76 +0.0 203/271/34914630418437%7%69-0.3