Yordin Chalas

P Hillsboro Hops

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #808

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	41	0	51	4.09	2.96	32.1%	10.7%	—	K 24.3% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.25
2025	21	MIX2 levels	26	17	71	6.06	3.52	20.6%	11.5%	—	K 16.4% · BB 11.7% · FIP 3.67
2026	22	MIX2 levels	10	0	11	2.45	4.83	20.5%	18.2%	—	K 20.5% · BB 18.2% · FIP 4.92
2027PROJ	23	MLBARI	59	0	62	4.92	4.92	19.4%	12.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBARI	27	0	28	4.77	4.71	20.6%	11.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBARI	42	0	44	4.65	4.59	21.2%	10.9%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJhonny Polanco (age 23) · Alec Barger (age 23) · James McDonald (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%19.4%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CMD3040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	20	0	24	106	27	9	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	2.9%	3.33	4.56	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	20	0	24	106	27	9	2	0%	1.2	25.5%	8.5%	17.0%	1.9%	3.33	3.06	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	24.3%	12.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.09	4.25	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	24.3%	12.5%	11.9%	3.0%	4.09	4.25	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	51	224	72	24	5	0%	1.2	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	2.2%	4.09	2.96	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	16.4%	11.7%	4.7%	0.9%	6.06	3.67	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	16.4%	11.7%	4.7%	0.9%	6.06	3.67	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	71	330	68	38	4	65%	2.7	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	1.2%	6.06	3.52	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	11	44	9	8	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	18.2%	2.3%	2.3%	2.45	4.92	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	11	44	9	8	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	18.2%	2.3%	2.3%	2.45	4.92	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	11	44	9	8	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	18.2%	2.3%	2.3%	2.45	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ARI	59	0	62	262	51	32	7	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.3%	7.1%	2.8%	4.92	4.92	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	278	57	32	8	0%	1.0	20.6%	11.4%	9.1%	2.8%	4.77	4.71	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	67	281	60	31	8	0%	1.1	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	2.8%	4.65	4.59	-0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	67	281	60	30	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.55	0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	66	277	60	30	8	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	269	58	29	8	0%	1.0	21.4%	11.0%	10.4%	2.9%	4.64	4.67	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	27	0	28	118	24	14	3	0%	1.0	20.6%	11.4%	9.1%	2.8%	4.77	4.71	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	42	0	44	186	39	20	5	0%	1.0	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	2.8%	4.65	4.59	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	53	224	48	24	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.55	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	51	26	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	2.8%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	54	0	57	241	52	26	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	11.0%	10.4%	2.9%	4.64	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		227	0	238	1004	214	110	28	0%	1.0	21.3%	10.9%	10.4%	2.8%	4.63	4.23	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	92	24	0%	1.1	21.3%	10.9%	10.4%	2.8%	4.63	4.23	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		97	17	157	704	136	86	14	18%	1.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	1.9%	4.75	4.07	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	22	200	895	173	109	17	18%	1.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	1.9%	4.75	4.07	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yordin Chalas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	19.4%	12.3%	2.8%	—	4.62	21.1%	10.1%	199	-0.30	—	—	—
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	91
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	90
James McDonald R 2009 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.3%	10.4%	2.1%	.283	4.16	20.4%	11.3%	414	+0.20	2.99	506	89
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	89
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	88
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	88
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	87
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	87
Shane Broyles R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	21.9%	11.5%	2.2%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.16	3.34	218	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	86
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	86
Colby Blueberg R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.7%	11.0%	2.6%	.310	3.80	21.6%	10.6%	110	-0.62	2.36	229	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	86
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	86
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	65	21.0%	11.2%	1.09	4.69
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*