Alan Frias — OGILVIE

Alan FriasOF DSL Tampa Bay

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 206 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .258 / .264

PA56

HR1

K%38

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	91	78	6	1	0	1	9	55	4	4	0	77	209	128	337	51	227	60	10	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	91	73	12	2	1	2	14	37	4	4	0	164	330	301	631	137	294	41	15	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	89	75	8	1	1	1	10	52	4	0	0	107	247	187	434	80	318	58	11	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	89	69	13	2	1	2	16	34	4	0	0	188	371	333	704	145	333	38	18	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TB	—	56	50	8	1	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	160	250	240	490	80	289	38	9	243	44	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	117	104	20	3	1	2	10	42	2	1	0	192	276	298	574	106	291	36	9	256	54	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	194	275	306	581	111	295	35	8	245	45	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	194	275	306	581	111	286	35	8	245	45	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	113	16	0	16	49	228	16	0	0	193	274	303	576	109	284	35	8	245	45	-40	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	353	307	42	6	2	5	34	170	11	6	0	137	247	218	465	81	278	48	10	220	26	-29	+1	+0	-2	+10	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	77	11	4	9	63	313	20	11	0	136	247	218	465	81	278	48	10	220	26	-54	+2	+0	-4	+18	-3.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	91	73	12	2	1	2	14	37	4	4	0	164	330	301	631	137	294	41	15	301	88	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	89	69	13	2	1	2	16	34	4	0	0	188	371	333	704	145	333	38	18	334	113	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alan Frias (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	177/258/264	87	289	1	1	38%	8%	44	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	35	-2.8	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	40	-2.4	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	40	-2.4	195/273/291	96	312	7	14	36%	9%	57	-1.2	139/211/213	74	271	5	19	47%	8%	9	-1.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→50	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	31	-3.0	194/253/302	108	317	9	3	39%	7%	51	-1.7	172/240/299	127	285	15	1	43%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Brian Navarreto 2015 · A	20	34	41→45	48→30	36	176/226/276	100	264	9	5	36%	5%	33	-2.9	177/216/242	65	249	5	2	30%	4%	18	-3.9	210/259/348	138	256	18	1	26%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕William Lugo 2022 · A	20	35→37	42→45	46→45	40	174/250/271	96	279	10	7	39%	8%	43	-2.2	188/256/301	113	277	12	4	34%	7%	53	-1.5	172/248/281	109	249	11	4	34%	8%	42	-1.6
✕Joe Munoz 2014 · A	20	40→37	40→45	49→40	35	190/243/282	92	308	8	7	39%	6%	40	-2.4	196/256/300	104	300	10	5	36%	7%	52	-1.6	191/254/295	105	285	10	4	35%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Trenton Kemp 2016 · A	20	39	38→50	49→45	42	185/260/266	81	282	4	10	34%	8%	45	-2.1	197/254/326	129	337	12	8	42%	6%	57	-1.2	179/234/325	146	312	16	7	46%	6%	45	-0.8
✕Tyler Whitaker 2023 · A	20	32→27	41→40	50	28	154/208/246	92	309	10	11	51%	5%	17	-4.0	168/244/250	82	320	7	14	46%	7%	34	-2.8	148/235/233	85	272	6	18	44%	8%	26	-1.5
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Xavier Batista 2011 · A	19	35	39→50	46→45	33	170/221/254	84	300	7	4	44%	6%	24	-3.5	190/257/302	112	293	11	6	36%	7%	53	-1.5	171/252/309	138	236	17	7	34%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	36	42→50	51→40	34	172/236/275	102	313	9	4	45%	7%	37	-2.6	185/238/277	92	297	7	5	38%	6%	38	-2.6	150/191/229	78	223	6	2	34%	4%	3	-1.6
✕Hector Martinez 2018 · A	20	39	38→40	48→50	40	181/263/254	73	305	6	9	39%	8%	44	-2.1	184/259/262	78	348	6	8	44%	8%	43	-2.2	116/198/175	59	256	5	9	52%	8%	-5	-1.3
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2019 · A	20	36→43	42→45	47→45	32	178/234/282	104	296	9	6	41%	5%	38	-2.6	196/234/301	105	292	10	6	35%	4%	42	-2.3	170/209/278	108	270	12	5	41%	4%	24	-1.6
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Romulo Ruiz 2010 · A	20	32	42→40	47→30	36	169/217/266	97	253	11	5	37%	6%	26	-3.4	188/252/276	88	257	6	4	27%	8%	44	-2.1	185/257/272	88	244	5	1	25%	8%	42	-1.0