Alexander Garcia

3B DSL Padres Gold

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #979MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	102	.247/.426/.455	2	2	60	—	.159/.317/.280
2025	19	ROKDSL Padres Go…	84	.154/.329/.200	0	4	0	—	.099/.220/.141
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBSD	194	.199/.282/.286	2	6	63	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBSD	39	.200/.283/.294	0	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBSD	121	.204/.286/.306	2	4	72	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed93

BB%88

Z-Con%61

Whiff%47

Chase%44

K%32

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 21) · Ricardo Méndez (age 21) · Hoy Park (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .284

PA54

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	169	41	7	0	2	18	50	3	6	2	243	326	320	646	77	322	26	9	293	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	77	19	8	1	2	16	28	8	2	0	247	426	455	880	208	354	27	16	395	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	65	10	1	1	0	17	21	0	4	0	154	329	200	529	46	217	25	20	262	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	174	27	4	0	1	13	61	3	6	2	155	226	195	422	40	215	31	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	82	13	5	1	1	11	35	8	2	0	159	317	280	597	122	228	34	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	71	7	1	1	0	11	26	0	4	0	99	220	141	360	42	129	31	13	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	174	27	4	0	1	13	61	3	6	2	155	226	195	422	40	224	31	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	169	41	7	0	2	18	50	3	6	2	243	326	320	646	77	322	26	9	293	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	82	13	5	1	1	11	35	8	2	0	159	317	280	597	122	255	34	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	77	19	8	1	2	16	28	8	2	0	247	426	455	880	208	354	27	16	395	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	71	7	1	1	0	11	26	0	4	0	99	220	141	360	42	149	31	13	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	65	10	1	1	0	17	21	0	4	0	154	329	200	529	46	217	25	20	262	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	176	27	4	0	1	13	61	3	6	2	153	226	193	419	40	215	31	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	82	13	5	1	1	11	35	8	2	0	159	317	280	597	122	228	34	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	73	7	1	1	0	11	26	0	4	0	96	220	137	356	41	129	31	13	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	82	13	5	1	1	11	35	8	2	0	159	317	280	597	122	228	34	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	73	7	1	1	0	11	26	0	4	0	96	220	137	356	41	129	31	13	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	194	172	35	7	2	2	17	58	3	6	1	199	282	286	568	88	286	30	9	261	63	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	114	101	20	4	1	1	10	34	2	4	1	203	286	300	586	97	287	30	9	268	68	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	48%	249	222	45	9	2	3	21	72	4	9	2	207	289	312	601	104	288	29	8	274	72	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	53%	348	309	65	13	3	5	30	100	6	13	3	211	293	322	614	111	290	29	9	280	75	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	55%	408	364	77	15	3	7	35	116	6	15	4	214	295	330	625	116	290	28	9	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	446	397	86	17	4	8	39	125	7	16	4	216	296	336	633	121	290	28	9	287	80	-11	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	465	415	89	17	4	8	40	131	7	17	5	214	295	334	629	119	289	28	9	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	472	421	89	17	4	8	41	134	7	17	5	212	293	329	622	116	288	28	9	282	77	-13	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	470	419	88	17	3	8	41	135	7	16	5	210	290	322	612	112	286	29	9	278	74	-14	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	200	283	294	577	94	281	28	8	265	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	48%	121	108	22	4	1	2	10	35	2	4	1	204	286	306	592	102	283	29	8	271	72	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	53%	183	162	34	6	2	3	16	52	3	7	2	207	289	317	606	109	284	28	9	276	75	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	55%	223	198	42	8	2	4	19	63	4	8	2	210	292	325	616	115	284	28	9	280	78	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	248	221	48	9	2	5	21	69	4	9	2	212	293	331	625	119	284	28	8	283	80	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	256	228	49	9	2	5	22	72	4	9	3	211	292	329	621	118	283	28	9	282	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	258	230	49	9	2	5	22	73	4	9	3	209	290	324	614	115	282	28	9	279	77	-7	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	251	223	47	9	2	4	22	72	4	9	3	206	287	317	604	111	280	29	9	275	74	-8	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1579	1405	297	55	13	28	135	447	26	56	16	211	292	329	621	117	287	28	9	278	71	-44	+5	-1	+6	+34	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	123	23	5	12	56	184	11	23	7	213	295	332	627	119	288	28	9	278	71	-18	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3406	3023	615	121	26	50	297	985	58	121	31	203	287	310	597	107	281	29	9	272	71	-85	+10	-2	+11	+66	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	118	23	5	10	57	188	11	23	6	205	288	314	602	109	282	29	9	272	71	-18	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,633	26	58	213	290	327	+6	+2	1.0	1.0
/162	664	11	24	+2.4	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Garcia (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	197/279/284	87	286	0	2	30%	9%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Esteban González 2024 · A	21	43→45	41→45	56→55	41	205/280/306	101	298	7	18	31%	7%	68	-1.0	211/269/331	120	298	10	24	31%	6%	70	-0.9	203/264/330	127	285	12	27	31%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/275/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	196/259/288	92	324	7	29	39%	7%	56	-1.9	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	45→46	36→45	50→55	40	210/259/278	68	290	3	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	203/258/277	74	294	3	12	30%	6%	52	-2.2	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jean Ramirez 2022 · A	21	42→49	37→40	51→65	45	195/276/272	76	295	4	19	32%	9%	59	-1.7	213/276/293	80	301	7	27	29%	7%	63	-1.4	209/271/274	65	290	6	31	28%	7%	53	-1.0
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	45	203/278/285	82	314	6	13	35%	9%	62	-1.4	236/309/338	102	350	7	13	31%	9%	85	+0.2	244/311/361	117	341	8	12	28%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	41→45	35→40	53→55	44	191/255/252	61	281	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	220/280/300	80	293	8	18	26%	7%	65	-1.2	220/282/295	75	288	8	21	25%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Junior Franco 2024 · A	21	42→43	43→45	50→55	38	208/258/315	107	302	10	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	220/274/324	104	286	10	19	25%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/332	105	286	10	21	23%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	39→43	38→50	44→45	55	184/287/262	78	251	5	9	26%	12%	61	-1.5	200/279/332	132	299	14	7	35%	9%	74	-0.6	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2

Alexander Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps