Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 6 | 5 | 17 | 70 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 83% | 2.8 | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.65 | 4.95 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 6 | 5 | 17 | 70 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 83% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 2.65 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 4 | 4 | 15 | 62 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 17.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 2.93 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 4 | 4 | 15 | 62 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.8 | 25.8% | 8.1% | 17.7% | 1.6% | 2.93 | 2.84 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 3 | 35 | 155 | 25 | 30 | 5 | 25% | 2.9 | 11.0% | 24.2% | -13.2% | 7.3% | 4.11 | 9.24 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 3 | 35 | 155 | 25 | 30 | 5 | 25% | 2.9 | 16.1% | 19.4% | -3.2% | 3.2% | 4.11 | 6.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | TB | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.15 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 12 | 67 | 287 | 35 | 49 | 15 | 55% | 3.1 | 12.1% | 17.0% | -4.9% | 5.1% | 3.48 | 7.03 | -1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 36 | 200 | 852 | 103 | 145 | 43 | 55% | 3.1 | 12.1% | 17.0% | -4.9% | 5.1% | 3.48 | 7.03 | -3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Baldemix Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% | — | 4.53 | 22.7% | 12.8% | 20 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 84 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 82 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 82 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 80 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 80 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 78 |
| Blair Henley R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 77 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 76 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 76 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 76 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 75 |
| Clay Chandler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 75 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 75 |