David Guzman

OF FCL Blue Jays

Age 21 L/L 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKTOR	115	.223/.354/.277	0	0	33	—	.168/.257/.208
2026	20	ROKTOR	103	.250/.417/.388	3	5	66	—	.170/.291/.250
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTOR	213	.214/.288/.301	2	3	68	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTOR	59	.219/.293/.316	1	1	73	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%89

BB%82

wRC+72

Whiff%66

wOBA62

ISO60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTravis Swaggerty (age 21) · Alexander Ovalles (age 21) · Gabriel Moncada (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .286 / .299

PA89

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	195	57	11	1	2	27	25	9	8	2	292	403	390	792	97	327	11	12	365	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	94	21	5	0	0	18	20	1	0	0	223	354	277	631	53	276	17	16	297	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	80	20	2	0	3	21	13	2	5	1	250	417	388	805	138	266	13	20	374	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	203	40	7	1	1	19	30	9	8	2	197	294	256	551	59	218	13	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	101	17	4	0	0	11	29	1	0	0	168	257	208	465	40	224	25	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	88	15	1	0	2	13	19	2	5	1	170	291	250	541	80	202	18	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	203	40	7	1	1	19	30	9	8	2	197	294	256	551	59	227	13	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	195	57	11	1	2	27	25	9	8	2	292	403	390	792	97	327	11	12	365	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	101	17	4	0	0	11	29	1	0	0	168	257	208	465	40	230	25	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	94	21	5	0	0	18	20	1	0	0	223	354	277	631	53	276	17	16	297	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	88	15	1	0	2	13	19	2	5	1	170	291	250	541	80	194	18	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	80	20	2	0	3	21	13	2	5	1	250	417	388	805	138	266	13	20	374	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	231	201	40	7	1	1	19	30	9	8	2	199	294	259	553	60	218	13	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	102	17	4	0	0	11	29	1	0	0	167	257	206	463	39	224	25	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	87	15	1	0	2	13	19	2	5	1	172	291	253	544	80	202	18	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	115	102	17	4	0	0	11	29	1	0	0	167	257	206	463	39	224	25	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	103	87	15	1	0	2	13	19	2	5	1	172	291	253	544	80	202	18	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	213	191	40	7	1	2	18	55	2	3	1	214	288	301	589	87	284	26	8	269	68	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	172	154	34	6	1	2	14	44	2	2	1	218	292	315	607	97	286	26	8	276	73	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	59	53	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	219	293	316	609	97	287	25	8	277	73	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	59	53	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	226	305	321	626	94	297	25	8	277	58	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	132	22	0	11	55	165	11	11	0	226	305	320	625	94	297	25	8	277	58	-21	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	710	627	123	21	2	6	64	145	15	16	4	196	286	265	551	69	244	20	9	254	58	-9	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	112	19	2	5	59	133	14	15	4	195	286	261	548	66	244	20	9	254	58	-22	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Guzman (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	212/286/299	86	284	1	1	26%	8%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Alexander Ovalles 2022 · A	21	45→41	43→50	45→50	45	221/286/331	110	288	10	6	26%	7%	75	-0.5	214/279/336	122	291	13	10	29%	7%	74	-0.5	204/271/332	129	273	15	11	30%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	42→41	41→45	43→40	46	202/284/303	100	289	8	5	31%	9%	69	-0.9	190/262/290	100	292	9	3	35%	8%	57	-1.8	172/243/262	90	267	8	1	36%	8%	42	-1.5
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	43→37	37→45	47→50	42	199/261/272	74	301	4	8	33%	8%	52	-2.2	202/251/297	95	324	8	10	37%	6%	54	-2.0	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→50	48→45	42	174/249/268	95	270	5	6	35%	8%	47	-2.5	202/266/320	118	277	11	6	30%	7%	66	-1.1	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	39→43	38→50	44→45	55	184/287/262	78	251	5	9	26%	12%	61	-1.5	200/279/332	132	299	14	7	35%	9%	74	-0.6	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Jake Fox 2024 · A	21	45→44	41→40	51→50	48	214/291/317	103	293	7	11	28%	9%	74	-0.5	206/285/303	97	281	6	12	26%	10%	69	-0.9	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Wilmer Oberto 2014 · A	21	40	42→45	46→45	45	199/268/302	103	246	9	5	23%	6%	63	-1.4	204/256/307	103	295	9	4	32%	6%	58	-1.7	169/212/272	104	257	9	0	37%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Ademar Rifaela 2016 · A	21	42→45	42→50	41→45	44	206/268/307	102	274	9	5	28%	7%	63	-1.3	215/261/345	130	307	14	5	33%	5%	70	-0.9	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Michael Swinson 2011 · A	21	41	41→40	52→50	43	201/265/299	98	278	8	12	29%	7%	60	-1.6	201/265/274	73	267	4	10	24%	8%	54	-2.0	196/267/258	62	261	2	10	23%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Grant Lavigne 2021 · A	21	42→50	39→45	42→45	44	201/273/280	79	292	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.6	213/292/316	103	323	9	5	34%	9%	74	-0.5	208/293/328	119	302	12	5	32%	9%	76	-0.4
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Frankie Tostado 2019 · A	21	44→42	40→50	50→40	42	212/250/305	93	254	7	5	20%	4%	55	-2.0	215/253/336	121	279	13	2	27%	4%	63	-1.3	224/264/351	127	277	15	3	25%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→40	41→45	53→50	42	184/260/288	104	282	8	7	35%	8%	56	-1.9	184/272/282	98	313	8	10	39%	10%	60	-1.6	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6