Jarold MontealtoSS DSL Blue Jays
Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .265 / .269
PA66
HR1
K%31
BB%8
ISO74
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.50.60.40.3+$18M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$1.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2035Arb-1$0.6M+0.3$0.6M+$0.4M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Blue Jays 8272 14121 8312 10 194293306598 111325 3810 251 50
202317 ROKDSL Blue Jays 8268 19221 12222 10 279402412814 132400 2715 371 142
202418 ROKDSL Blue Jays 124108 16100 11501 11 148233157391 9258 409 181 -3
202418 ROKDSL Blue Jays 124101 18100 18331 11 178308188496 10250 2715 242 43
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBTOR 6660 13211 5211 10 217288333621 117288 328 247 48 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBTOR 34% 120109 21311 9371 10 193261266527 73290 318 260 57 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202822 MLBTOR 48% 265239 51824 21793 31 213285314599 100291 308 269 64 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.0
202923 MLBTOR 54% 369333 711136 291084 41 213284318602 105292 298 275 68 -13 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203024 MLBTOR 55% 440397 851338 351285 52 214286322608 108293 298 279 71 -14 +0 +0 +5 +12 0.3
203125 MLBTOR 56% 482435 941449 391405 52 216288329617 113294 298 281 73 -15 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.4
203226 MLBTOR 56% 507455 9915410 411476 52 218291334625 116294 298 282 74 -15 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.5
203327 MLBTOR 55% 518465 10115410 421506 62 217290331622 114293 298 282 74 -15 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.6
203428 MLBTOR 59% 521467 10115410 431526 52 216291330620 113293 298 281 73 -16 +0 -1 +6 +15 0.4
203529 MLBTOR 56% 516462 10015410 431516 52 216292331623 115292 298 279 72 -16 +0 -1 +6 +15 0.3
202721 MLBTOR 34% 4138 8101 3120 00 211268316584 105292 297 253 52 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202822 MLBTOR 48% 128116 25412 10381 10 216283319602 103293 308 262 59 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
202923 MLBTOR 54% 200180 39623 16582 21 217288322610 106294 298 268 63 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.1
203024 MLBTOR 55% 244219 48725 20713 31 219293338631 119295 298 272 66 -9 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203125 MLBTOR 56% 270243 53825 22783 31 218291329620 111295 298 274 68 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203226 MLBTOR 56% 285257 56826 23823 31 218290335624 117295 298 275 69 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203327 MLBTOR 55% 287259 56826 23833 31 216288332620 116295 298 275 69 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203428 MLBTOR 59% 307276 60926 25893 31 217289330619 112295 298 274 68 -11 +0 -0 +3 +9 0.1
203529 MLBTOR 56% 288259 56826 24853 31 216290332622 116294 308 273 67 -11 +0 -1 +3 +8 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 20501847 401591540 16659621 217 217289330619 113296 298 272 66 -78 +1 -1 +22 +58 0.2
/ 162G 650586 12819513 531897 72 218291334626 116297 298 272 66 -25 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.1
Career 40103602 7661133270 326119446 4215 213286320606 107295 308 274 68 -144 +2 -2 +43 +114 1.3
/ 162G 650584 12318511 531947 72 211284315599 104292 308 274 68 -23 +1 -0 +7 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Blue Jays 8268 19221 12222 10 279402412814 132400 2715 371 142 +4 +0 +2 0.7
202418 ROKDSL Blue Jays 124101 18100 18331 11 178308188496 10250 2715 242 43 -8 -0 +4 -0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,1174022216285328+23+181.41.5
/162664127+7.1+5.60.4pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jarold Montealto (OGILVIE) 20 196/265/269 73288 11 31% 8% 48 -0.2
Alejandro Flores
2016 · A
20 37 39→50 45→40 43 182/248/265 83263 75 32% 8% 39 -2.5 203/261/310 107295 96 32% 7% 56 -1.3 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
Alan Schoenberger
2009 · A
20 39 36→45 46→45 43 184/249/253 69277 26 32% 8% 37 -2.7 196/250/284 88297 67 34% 6% 44 -2.1 188/236/280922757533%5%34-1.4
Rosell Herrera
2013 · A
20 40→50 37→45 48→55 40 193/243/266 73268 59 29% 6% 37 -2.7 229/276/310 81309 710 26% 6% 62 -0.9 247/301/3379031542422%7%76+0.1
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→55 39 184/247/283 100276 69 34% 6% 43 -2.2 200/271/309 109281 913 30% 8% 60 -1.0 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Junior Valera
2013 · A
20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
Jose Marquez
2018 · A
20 41 37→50 44→50 40 195/244/271 76263 44 27% 5% 38 -2.6 217/261/322 105295 87 28% 5% 59 -1.1 199/246/317119277121032%5%48-0.6
Raymel Flores
2015 · A
20 39 36→45 49→50 42 182/261/255 73288 210 34% 8% 43 -2.2 200/253/278 78302 610 33% 6% 43 -2.2 189/241/2546528741134%5%29-1.2
Angel Martínez
2022 · A
20 41→47 41→50 49→50 44 202/257/305 102265 810 26% 7% 53 -1.5 223/285/351 128285 1210 25% 7% 77 +0.1 226/291/358132282131024%7%79+0.2
Luis Suisbel
2023 · A
20 36→45 40→50 46→45 35 170/259/256 86291 76 40% 6% 44 -2.1 203/280/342 139312 175 38% 7% 74 -0.1 188/262/32914128319439%7%62-0.7
Robel García
2013 · A
20 36→37 40→50 48→40 40 177/241/272 95268 76 35% 7% 38 -2.6 189/257/279 90284 66 33% 8% 46 -2.0 192/262/38319227227239%8%75+0.0
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A
20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
Sergio Alcántara
2016 · A
20 39→49 34→45 46→50 46 184/253/234 51259 26 28% 8% 33 -2.9 224/270/284 60290 28 22% 6% 52 -1.6 205/281/31210728211430%9%63-0.5
John Tolisano
2009 · A
20 38→47 42→50 50 44 189/251/293 104258 96 30% 8% 47 -1.9 196/258/316 120267 126 30% 8% 56 -1.3 204/271/341137267141228%8%65-0.4
Griff Erickson
2008 · A
20 43→50 36→45 45→40 41 195/271/260 65313 36 36% 8% 48 -1.9 207/270/299 92271 73 25% 7% 56 -1.3 213/289/34212926414224%9%75-0.0
Christian Cairo
2021 · A
20 39→46 35→40 48→60 44 183/264/241 59277 29 32% 8% 40 -2.4 186/288/267 81287 615 33% 11% 59 -1.1 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Samuel Castro
2018 · A
20 45 36→40 48→50 40 212/266/282 70294 39 28% 6% 50 -1.7 206/263/275 69338 210 37% 6% 47 -1.9 192/250/2505832411238%5%32-1.0
Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A
20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
Jean Batista
2012 · A
20 43 40→55 50→45 36 208/238/300 92279 78 28% 4% 42 -2.3 219/243/339 120283 107 26% 3% 55 -1.4 223/237/36914627612624%1%58-0.3
Jan Vázquez
2011 · A
20 41 35→40 46→45 38 189/255/252 63296 25 34% 6% 39 -2.5 197/253/266 69289 56 32% 5% 41 -2.3 211/289/296862827726%7%61-0.3