Ovandy Frias — OGILVIE

Ovandy FriasSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .247 / .260

PA4

HR0

K%38

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	116	25	5	1	1	13	62	4	13	1	216	316	302	618	86	453	47	10	289	82	-3	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	20	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	37	9	0	0	3	9	9	0	0	2	243	391	486	878	243	240	20	20	390	150	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	121	11	2	0	0	8	90	4	13	1	91	173	107	280	17	368	68	6	148	-14	-18	+2	—	—	+3	-1.3
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	40	7	0	0	2	6	13	0	0	2	175	283	325	608	150	190	28	13	280	76	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	121	11	2	0	0	8	90	4	13	1	91	173	107	280	17	355	68	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	116	25	5	1	1	13	62	4	13	1	216	316	302	618	86	453	47	10	289	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	40	7	0	0	2	6	13	0	0	2	175	283	325	608	150	200	28	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	37	9	0	0	3	9	9	0	0	2	243	391	486	878	243	240	20	20	390	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	120	11	2	0	0	8	90	4	13	1	92	173	108	281	17	368	68	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	40	7	0	0	2	6	13	0	0	2	175	283	325	608	150	190	28	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	133	120	11	2	0	0	8	90	4	13	1	92	173	108	281	17	368	68	6	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	46	40	7	0	0	2	6	13	0	0	2	175	283	325	608	150	190	28	13	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						289	50	0	235	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	106	96	19	3	1	2	8	39	1	2	0	198	267	312	579	115	291	37	8	247	53	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	36	33	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	182	250	303	553	121	292	36	8	242	53	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	33	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	182	250	303	553	121	263	36	8	242	26	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	18	0	18	54	235	0	18	0	181	249	302	551	121	262	36	8	242	26	-36	+4	+0	+7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	289	261	37	5	1	4	22	144	5	15	3	142	222	215	437	73	289	50	8	207	26	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	83	11	2	9	49	324	11	34	7	141	221	213	434	72	289	50	8	207	26	-36	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ovandy Frias (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	178/247/260	82	289	1	1	38%	7%	45	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/252/262	87	322	6	12	44%	6%	48	-2.5	190/262/285	95	361	7	9	46%	7%	57	-1.8	139/222/239	100	303	10	9	53%	6%	35	-0.7
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	47	-2.5	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	57	-1.8	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	32	-1.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	39→41	40→45	52→60	35	184/242/266	82	321	8	16	43%	7%	44	-2.8	197/254/290	93	307	8	29	36%	6%	54	-2.0	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	39	192/253/287	95	306	8	10	38%	7%	53	-2.1	170/242/280	110	278	11	11	40%	8%	48	-2.5	141/220/250	109	227	12	11	41%	8%	31	-1.9
✕Kadon Morton 2023 · A	22	40→36	42→45	50→55	37	181/256/285	104	333	10	11	45%	8%	54	-2.0	174/240/263	89	345	8	14	48%	7%	42	-2.9	113/179/169	56	249	5	22	53%	6%	-4	-2.9
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	49	-2.4	185/264/273	88	311	8	5	40%	8%	55	-1.9	163/244/248	85	289	9	3	43%	7%	40	-1.2
✕Cadyn Grenier 2019 · A	22	41→38	39→40	48→50	36	192/247/284	92	313	5	8	38%	6%	49	-2.4	192/264/291	99	321	8	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	178/263/269	91	283	7	11	36%	9%	51	-1.6
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	36→32	37→40	47→50	31	177/217/248	70	278	4	7	37%	3%	30	-3.8	212/252/296	84	302	6	10	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→28	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	59	-1.6	164/256/247	83	313	6	19	45%	9%	47	-2.6	125/229/196	72	258	5	26	48%	10%	23	-2.1
✕Sean McLain 2023 · A	22	42→34	40	51→50	40	201/272/293	92	308	8	13	35%	7%	62	-1.4	186/260/277	91	280	8	9	34%	7%	54	-2.0	169/248/255	86	251	8	11	34%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	32→37	40→45	48→30	34	164/217/255	91	263	8	4	40%	6%	32	-3.7	193/231/313	120	266	14	3	32%	4%	51	-2.3	193/233/284	91	269	10	0	31%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→42	39→50	50→55	32	187/219/274	87	291	6	12	37%	4%	36	-3.4	196/235/270	74	306	6	23	36%	4%	41	-3.0	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→35	39→50	49→30	41	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	197/250/365	168	291	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	177/231/332	154	254	22	1	39%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	47	-2.6	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	73	-0.6	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	87	+0.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	55	-1.9	177/255/277	100	266	8	5	34%	9%	52	-2.2	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	37	41→50	50	39	183/242/281	98	279	7	13	36%	7%	47	-2.5	183/249/280	97	308	9	14	40%	8%	51	-2.3	104/190/192	88	178	12	21	47%	9%	9	-1.5