Ty Langenberg
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.0 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%16.1%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 142 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 3.35 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 3.37 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 108 | 456 | 116 | 30 | 8 | 95% | 5.1 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 1.7% | 3.67 | 3.38 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 108 | 456 | 116 | 30 | 8 | 95% | 5.1 | 25.4% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 1.8% | 3.67 | 2.75 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 21 | 105 | 465 | 98 | 47 | 4 | 95% | 4.8 | 16.2% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 4.87 | 3.84 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 21 | 105 | 465 | 98 | 47 | 4 | 95% | 4.8 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 0.9% | 4.87 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 21 | 14 | 74 | 327 | 70 | 29 | 8 | 67% | 3.5 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 46 | 34 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.1% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 16.1% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.94 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 142 | 615 | 116 | 63 | 15 | — | — | 18.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 4.61 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 16.1% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.94 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 75 | 318 | 55 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.4% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.80 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 75 | 318 | 58 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 4.73 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 74 | 313 | 58 | 34 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 56 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.76 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 53 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 65 | 273 | 49 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 4.81 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 4.74 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 47 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 47 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.02 | 5.11 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 56 | 335 | 1413 | 255 | 157 | 38 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.47 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 152 | 94 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 4.83 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 55 | 294 | 1282 | 227 | 124 | 22 | 80% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 4.49 | 3.79 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 37 | 200 | 871 | 154 | 84 | 15 | 80% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 4.49 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Langenberg (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 16.1% | 11.7% | 2.4% | — | 4.73 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 225 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 88 |
| David Lebron R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 85 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 85 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 85 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 85 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .248 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 123 | +1.30 | 4.30 | 232 | 84 |
| Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 83 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 83 |
| Brett Daniels R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .266 | 4.39 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 152 | +0.41 | 3.98 | 270 | 83 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 83 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 83 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 83 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 82 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 82 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 82 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 81 |
| Elliot Morris R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 81 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 72 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 1.02 | 4.83 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |