Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Guardians Blue | 10 | 7 | 34 | 135 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 70% | 3.4 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 1.0% | 1.85 | 3.02 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Guardians Blue | 10 | 7 | 34 | 135 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 70% | 3.4 | 23.0% | 4.4% | 18.5% | 0.7% | 1.85 | 2.19 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 3 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 24.1% | 17.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.42 | 5.14 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 3 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.1 | 24.1% | 17.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.42 | 5.31 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 12 | 12 | 41 | 196 | 31 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 3.4 | 10.8% | 11.5% | -0.7% | 0.0% | 8.27 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | 12 | 12 | 41 | 196 | 31 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 8.27 | 2.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 14 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 3.44 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 22 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.4% | 13.6% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 5.78 | 5.78 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.4% | 13.6% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 5.78 | 5.78 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 63 | 265 | 46 | 31 | 8 | — | — | 17.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.10 | 5.65 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.3% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.41 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 32 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.3% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 212 | 0 | 222 | 938 | 159 | 112 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.15 | 4.74 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 101 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.15 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 22 | 100 | 437 | 65 | 41 | 7 | 56% | 2.6 | 15.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 4.77 | 3.85 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 44 | 200 | 874 | 131 | 82 | 13 | 56% | 2.6 | 15.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 4.77 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Harrison Ruiz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.78 | 11.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | — | 5.22 | 15.9% | 3.6% | 142 | -0.56 | — | — | — |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 89 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 82 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.94 | 10.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .324 | 3.62 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 171 | -1.32 | 2.82 | 285 | 80 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2026 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 79 |
| Zach Mort R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .240 | 5.35 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 176 | +0.21 | 5.14 | 237 | 79 |
| Tanner Dodson R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.16 | 13.6% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .433 | 4.52 | 17.7% | 2.8% | 91 | -0.64 | 3.93 | 277 | 78 |
| Chance Huff R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 78 |
| Deyvis Julian R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.74 | 11.2% | 14.7% | 1.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 116 | 77 |
| Jheyson Caraballo R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.25 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 101 | 77 |
| Juan Perez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.63 | 10.8% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 113 | 77 |
| Kendy Richard R 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 77 |
| Carlos Romero R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.22 | 13.1% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.55 | 21.7% | 7.4% | 188 | -0.67 | 3.49 | 370 | 77 |
| Griffin Kilander R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.83 | 15.5% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .264 | 4.24 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.59 | 4.24 | 115 | 76 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 76 |
| Ted Stuka R 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 76 |
| Josh White R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.45 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .244 | 3.02 | 28.9% | 17.7% | 167 | -2.43 | 1.95 | 232 | 76 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 76 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 76 |
| Xavier Altamirano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.69 | 11.3% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.38 | 14.7% | 7.7% | 388 | -0.31 | 3.84 | 451 | 76 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.31 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 112 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 47 | 16.0% | 12.2% | 1.09 | 5.26 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |