Harrison Ruiz — OGILVIE

Harrison Ruiz P ACL Guardians

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 192 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%11.4%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%-2.0%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL4040

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	10	7	34	135	31	6	1	70%	3.4	15.6%	5.6%	10.1%	1.0%	1.85	3.04	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	10	7	34	135	31	6	1	70%	3.4	15.6%	5.6%	10.1%	1.0%	1.85	3.04	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	10	7	34	135	31	6	1	70%	3.4	23.0%	4.4%	18.5%	0.7%	1.85	2.19	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	3	3	6	29	7	5	1	100%	2.1	24.1%	17.2%	6.9%	3.4%	1.42	5.14	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	3	3	6	29	7	5	1	100%	2.1	24.1%	17.2%	6.9%	3.4%	1.42	5.14	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	3	3	6	29	7	5	1	100%	2.1	24.1%	17.2%	6.9%	3.4%	1.42	5.31	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	12	12	41	196	31	18	0	100%	3.4	10.8%	11.5%	-0.7%	0.0%	8.27	3.65	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	12	12	41	196	31	18	0	100%	3.4	10.8%	11.5%	-0.7%	0.0%	8.27	3.65	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	12	12	41	196	31	18	0	100%	3.4	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	0.0%	8.27	2.91	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	24	0	30	128	40	8	4	0%	1.2	22.1%	7.5%	14.6%	5.1%	3.90	4.96	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	24	0	30	128	40	8	4	0%	1.2	22.1%	7.5%	14.6%	5.1%	3.90	4.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	CLE	15	0	20	83	27	5	3	0%	1.4	32.5%	6.0%	26.5%	3.6%	3.10	3.10	—
2026	22	A RAW	CLE	9	0	10	45	13	3	1	0%	1.1	28.9%	6.7%	22.2%	2.2%	5.59	2.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	44	0	46	195	28	25	5	0%	1.1	14.3%	12.6%	1.8%	2.8%	5.49	5.40	-0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	45	0	48	201	32	24	6	0%	1.1	16.1%	12.1%	4.0%	2.8%	5.27	5.18	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	22	0	23	97	14	12	3	0%	1.0	14.3%	12.6%	1.8%	2.8%	5.49	5.40	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	31	0	33	139	22	17	4	0%	1.1	16.1%	12.1%	4.0%	2.8%	5.27	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	36	29	7	0%	1.1	15.4%	12.3%	3.1%	2.8%	5.36	4.89	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	129	104	25	0%	1.1	15.4%	12.3%	3.1%	2.8%	5.36	4.89	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		49	22	112	488	77	45	9	45%	2.3	15.9%	9.1%	6.7%	1.8%	4.76	3.91	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	39	200	874	139	80	16	45%	2.3	15.9%	9.1%	6.7%	1.8%	4.76	3.91	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Harrison Ruiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	11.4%	13.4%	2.8%	—	5.29	15.2%	2.9%	94	-0.48	—	—	—
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	86
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	85
Jack Sinclair R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	22	SW	4.96	10.9%	10.0%	2.8%	.324	3.70	21.6%	11.4%	171	-1.26	2.88	305	83
Raul Carrillo R 2015 · 5.26 FIP	23	SW	5.26	11.1%	11.2%	3.1%	.364	4.56	10.8%	1.4%	169	-0.70	4.40	348	83
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	82
Rogelio Martinez R 2015 · 5.25 FIP	23	SU	5.25	10.0%	9.7%	3.2%	.304	5.20	11.6%	4.4%	73	-0.05	5.20	152	81
Axel Rios R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	23	SW	4.70	13.1%	13.5%	1.8%	.333	4.06	15.2%	3.2%	97	-0.64	3.50	153	81
Ezequiel Ventura R 2023 · 5.62 FIP	21	SW	5.62	13.5%	11.7%	4.0%	.302	4.71	14.1%	5.7%	32	-0.91	3.77	151	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	79
Kelvin Vasquez R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	14.8%	13.8%	2.6%	.248	5.38	15.0%	-3.0%	103	+0.35	5.01	180	79
Brayan Romero R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SW	5.18	9.2%	15.6%	1.6%	.229	4.57	11.7%	-2.3%	144	-0.61	4.02	164	79
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	78
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	78
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	78
Tanner Dodson R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SW	5.04	13.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.433	4.48	17.7%	2.8%	91	-0.56	3.87	277	78
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	78
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	78
Deyvis Julian R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	11.2%	14.7%	1.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	116	78
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	14.0%	12.7%	1.09	5.50
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99