Brayan Romero
P
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 165156vR 147
ERA6.55
FIP6.55
K%10.0%
BB%19.6%
K-BB%-9.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 13 | 3 | 20 | 96 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 23% | 1.6 | 9.2% | 15.6% | -6.4% | 1.8% | 4.43 | 5.28 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 13 | 3 | 20 | 96 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 23% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 12.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.43 | 4.23 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 16 | 69 | 284 | 52 | 18 | 4 | 84% | 3.6 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 3.80 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 16 | 69 | 284 | 52 | 18 | 4 | 84% | 3.6 | 18.3% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 3.80 | 3.13 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 16 | 75 | 351 | 52 | 58 | 2 | 84% | 4.0 | 10.7% | 19.7% | -9.0% | 0.7% | 4.90 | 5.06 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 16 | 75 | 351 | 52 | 58 | 2 | 84% | 4.0 | 14.8% | 16.5% | -1.7% | 0.6% | 4.90 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 28 | 56 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 10.0% | 19.6% | -9.6% | 2.6% | 6.55 | 6.55 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 37 | 50 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 12.9% | 17.4% | -4.5% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 6.04 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 42 | 48 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.7% | 16.8% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.91 | 5.83 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.9% | 17.4% | -4.5% | 2.6% | 6.16 | 6.04 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 28 | 32 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 14.7% | 16.8% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.91 | 5.83 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 12 | 74 | 313 | 44 | 53 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.0% | 17.0% | -3.0% | 2.7% | 6.01 | 5.53 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 119 | 143 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.0% | 17.0% | -3.0% | 2.7% | 6.01 | 5.53 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 35 | 164 | 731 | 83 | 106 | 9 | 69% | 3.2 | 11.3% | 14.5% | -3.2% | 1.3% | 4.38 | 4.68 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 43 | 200 | 890 | 100 | 129 | 11 | 69% | 3.2 | 11.3% | 14.5% | -3.2% | 1.3% | 4.38 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.55 | 10.0% | 19.6% | 2.6% | — | 5.94 | 13.8% | -3.3% | 136 | -0.61 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 83 |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 78 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2028 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 76 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2027 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 72 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 72 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 71 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 70 |
| Ted Stuka R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 70 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 70 |
| Ronny Lopez R 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.49 | 10.3% | 17.6% | 1.9% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 121 | 70 |
| Yorman Galindez R 2025 · 5.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.60 | 15.9% | 17.0% | 3.1% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 176 | 70 |
| David Whitehead R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.99 | 10.7% | 19.2% | 2.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 217 | 69 |
| Mason Pelio R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.74 | 9.0% | 21.8% | 1.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.74 | 122 | 69 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 69 |
| Noah Song R 2028 · 6.24 FIP | 26 | SP | 6.24 | 12.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% | .239 | 4.28 | 17.8% | 4.6% | 85 | -1.96 | 3.62 | 106 | 69 |
| Braden Webb R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.39 | 15.0% | 19.7% | 1.9% | .239 | 5.34 | 25.2% | 10.4% | 49 | -0.05 | 4.32 | 308 | 68 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2025 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.06 | 12.6% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 144 | 68 |
| Rhett Kouba R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.94 | 13.0% | 16.6% | 3.4% | .301 | 5.24 | 12.7% | -0.9% | 80 | -0.70 | 2.84 | 334 | 68 |
| Brendan Girton R 2026 · 6.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.62 | 16.5% | 17.6% | 4.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 150 | 67 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 12.5% | 17.9% | 1.02 | 6.21 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |