Brayan Romero — OGILVIE

Brayan Romero P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 158150vR 142

ERA6.58

FIP6.58

K%10.0%

BB%19.8%

K-BB%-9.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	3	20	96	13	12	1	23%	1.6	9.2%	15.6%	-6.4%	1.6%	4.43	5.18	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	3	20	96	13	12	1	23%	1.6	13.5%	12.5%	1.0%	1.0%	4.43	4.23	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	12.7%	7.7%	5.0%	1.9%	3.80	4.02	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	12.7%	7.7%	5.0%	1.9%	3.80	4.02	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	69	284	52	18	4	84%	3.6	18.3%	6.3%	12.0%	1.4%	3.80	3.13	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	10.7%	19.7%	-9.0%	0.7%	4.90	5.08	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	10.7%	19.7%	-9.0%	0.7%	4.90	5.08	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	75	351	52	58	2	84%	4.0	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	0.6%	4.90	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	WSH	1	1	5	21	2	4	1	100%	5.0	10.0%	19.8%	-9.8%	2.6%	6.58	6.58	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	12	12	69	290	37	51	8	100%	5.7	12.9%	17.6%	-4.7%	2.6%	6.18	6.07	-0.9
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	69	290	42	49	8	100%	6.2	14.7%	16.9%	-2.2%	2.7%	5.93	5.85	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	68	285	43	47	8	100%	6.1	15.1%	16.6%	-1.5%	2.7%	5.83	5.81	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	WSH	11	11	66	277	42	46	8	100%	6.0	15.2%	16.6%	-1.4%	2.8%	5.83	5.86	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	WSH	10	10	63	264	39	44	8	100%	6.3	14.9%	16.8%	-1.9%	3.0%	5.93	5.99	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	5	5	29	122	16	22	3	100%	5.8	12.9%	17.6%	-4.7%	2.6%	6.18	6.07	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	8	8	45	190	28	32	5	100%	5.6	14.7%	16.9%	-2.2%	2.7%	5.93	5.85	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	9	9	52	220	33	36	6	100%	5.8	15.1%	16.6%	-1.5%	2.7%	5.83	5.81	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	WSH	9	9	55	232	35	38	7	100%	6.1	15.2%	16.6%	-1.4%	2.8%	5.83	5.86	-0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	WSH	9	9	55	232	35	39	7	100%	6.1	14.9%	16.8%	-1.9%	3.0%	5.93	5.99	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	40	237	1000	147	168	28	100%	5.9	14.7%	16.8%	-2.1%	2.8%	5.92	5.52	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	124	142	24	100%	6.0	14.7%	16.8%	-2.1%	2.8%	5.92	5.52	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		51	35	164	731	83	106	9	69%	3.2	11.3%	14.5%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.38	4.68	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	43	200	890	100	129	11	69%	3.2	11.3%	14.5%	-3.2%	1.3%	4.38	4.68	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.58	10.0%	19.8%	2.6%	—	5.91	14.2%	-2.8%	205	-0.67	—	—	—
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	81
Mason Pelio R 2023 · 6.38 FIP	23	SP-	6.38	13.3%	17.4%	4.0%	.255	5.88	9.0%	-12.8%	26	-0.50	5.88	122	81
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	78
Johnny Hellweg R 2015 · 5.96 FIP	26	SP	5.96	9.9%	19.0%	2.4%	.269	4.06	15.2%	2.0%	48	-1.90	2.98	109	76
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	74
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	73
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	72
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	72
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	71
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	71
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	70
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	70
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	70
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	70
David Whitehead R 2016 · 6.00 FIP	24	SW	6.00	10.7%	19.2%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	217	69
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	69
Braden Webb R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	24	SP	5.44	15.0%	19.7%	2.0%	.239	5.15	25.2%	10.4%	49	-0.29	4.48	308	68
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	68
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	67
Jake Madden R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	21	SP	5.46	15.9%	15.2%	3.2%	.299	4.57	14.1%	-1.1%	44	-0.89	4.57	123	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	67	13.8%	17.4%	1.06	6.05
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91