Xavier Guillen — OGILVIE

Xavier GuillenIF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 167 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .271 / .288

PA85

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	138	39	4	5	1	17	41	3	12	5	283	373	406	779	123	392	26	11	350	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	134	37	7	5	3	27	42	7	17	5	276	423	470	893	194	382	25	16	398	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	58	52	10	0	0	0	4	23	1	3	1	192	263	192	455		345	40	7	217	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	55	42	12	1	2	0	11	13	1	5	1	286	444	405	849	119	400	24	20	383	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	144	25	2	3	0	11	50	3	12	5	174	247	229	476	56	256	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	143	23	4	3	1	18	53	7	17	5	161	286	252	537	91	241	31	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	58	53	7	0	0	0	3	31	1	3	1	132	193	132	325		318	53	5	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	55	46	9	1	1	0	7	19	1	5	1	196	315	261	576	65	302	35	13	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	144	25	2	3	0	11	50	3	12	5	174	247	229	476	56	263	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	138	39	4	5	1	17	41	3	12	5	283	373	406	779	123	392	26	11	350	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	143	23	4	3	1	18	53	7	17	5	161	286	252	537	91	247	31	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	134	37	7	5	3	27	42	7	17	5	276	423	470	893	194	382	25	16	398	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	113	99	16	1	1	0	10	50	2	8	2	162	252	192	444	30	320	44	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	113	94	22	1	2	0	15	36	2	8	2	234	351	287	639	53	373	32	13	298	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	159	144	25	2	3	0	11	50	3	12	5	174	247	229	476	56	256	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	142	23	4	3	1	18	53	7	17	5	162	286	254	539	92	241	31	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	113	100	16	1	1	0	10	50	2	8	2	160	252	190	442	30	310	44	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	169	142	23	4	3	1	18	53	7	17	5	162	286	254	539	92	241	31	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	113	100	16	1	1	0	10	50	2	8	2	160	252	190	442	30	310	44	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	0%	223	201	39	6	2	2	17	69	3	5	1	199	273	291	563	91	287	31	8	258	60	-10	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	34%	148	133	27	4	2	2	12	45	2	3	1	204	278	305	583	101	289	30	8	265	66	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	34%	51	46	10	1	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	207	280	307	587	100	293	31	8	267	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	51	46	10	1	1	1	4	16	1	1	0	217	294	348	642	130	310	31	8	267	48	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	128	13	13	13	51	204	13	13	0	218	295	352	647	133	312	31	8	267	48	-27	+3	+0	+0	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	674	596	106	13	10	4	58	224	15	42	13	178	268	253	521	76	275	33	9	240	48	-10	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	103	13	10	4	56	216	14	41	13	179	268	257	526	78	277	33	9	240	48	-28	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Guillen (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	198/271/288	90	287	1	2	31%	8%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Eduardo Lopez 2024 · A	22	41	40	50	42	196/263/286	90	295	8	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	189/252/307	118	273	12	10	33%	7%	57	-1.8	151/219/283	132	204	15	8	33%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2024 · A	22	40→34	44→45	48→50	42	197/268/314	117	296	11	13	35%	8%	65	-1.2	196/253/295	99	282	9	11	32%	6%	55	-2.0	185/239/274	90	262	7	11	31%	6%	42	-1.6
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	41→45	52→40	41	198/252/295	98	278	9	9	31%	6%	54	-2.0	210/271/325	115	299	9	5	31%	7%	68	-1.0	202/267/333	131	282	11	2	30%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Kay-Lan Nicasia 2024 · A	22	37	41→40	53→55	41	178/255/278	100	300	8	17	40%	9%	52	-2.2	166/251/267	101	307	9	19	44%	9%	49	-2.4	117/220/216	99	221	9	21	47%	10%	25	-1.3
✕Robert Moore 2024 · A	22	41→44	40→45	48→50	44	198/265/297	99	262	7	16	26%	7%	60	-1.6	204/268/313	109	256	10	14	23%	7%	65	-1.2	196/264/316	120	235	12	13	22%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Nelson Medina 2023 · A	22	41	40→45	53→50	47	195/282/289	95	292	6	13	32%	10%	65	-1.2	176/236/261	85	335	6	13	46%	7%	40	-3.0	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2021 · A	22	44→41	40	54→55	42	213/266/303	91	286	7	18	27%	6%	61	-1.5	206/252/283	77	276	4	18	25%	5%	51	-2.3	198/241/265	66	263	2	22	24%	5%	39	-1.2
✕Hansel Moreno 2019 · A	22	42→33	41→40	51→50	35	202/246/303	101	302	8	16	35%	5%	53	-2.1	195/242/289	94	290	9	15	34%	6%	49	-2.4	171/218/249	78	243	10	18	33%	6%	29	-2.6
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→39	39→40	55	41	183/248/269	86	293	6	18	37%	8%	47	-2.6	196/257/270	74	292	4	18	31%	8%	50	-2.3	198/244/283	85	286	6	20	32%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Roberto Caro 2017 · A	23	42→40	36→40	53→60	42	193/258/262	69	292	2	13	32%	7%	49	-2.4	210/278/287	77	312	3	23	31%	8%	62	-1.4	208/281/283	76	299	2	32	29%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Eric Cole 2019 · A	22	45→39	37→45	54→45	45	214/266/292	79	272	4	8	22%	6%	58	-1.7	201/262/305	104	247	9	6	22%	7%	60	-1.6	188/254/298	110	224	11	6	21%	8%	55	-1.6
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	223/273/313	90	321	0	8	28%	6%	63	-0.7