Victor Garcia — OGILVIE

Victor Garcia P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 194 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%18.5%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	3	68	297	70	27	3	10%	2.2	16.5%	11.1%	5.4%	1.6%	4.66	3.98	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	3	68	297	70	27	3	10%	2.2	16.5%	11.1%	5.4%	1.6%	4.66	3.98	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	3	68	297	70	27	3	10%	2.2	23.6%	9.1%	14.5%	1.0%	4.66	2.80	—
2025	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	40	0	66	292	76	24	3	0%	1.7	19.3%	9.7%	9.6%	1.3%	3.39	3.41	—
2025	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	40	0	66	292	76	24	3	0%	1.7	19.3%	9.7%	9.6%	1.3%	3.39	3.41	—
2025	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	40	0	66	292	76	24	3	0%	1.7	26.0%	8.2%	17.8%	1.0%	3.39	2.48	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	25	0	39	178	55	24	8	0%	1.5	22.7%	15.6%	7.1%	6.3%	4.89	6.60	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	25	0	39	178	55	24	8	0%	1.5	22.7%	15.6%	7.1%	6.3%	4.89	6.60	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	LAA	3	0	3	12	4	2	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.40	—
2026	22	A RAW	LAA	22	0	36	166	51	22	8	0%	1.6	30.7%	13.3%	17.5%	4.8%	5.25	4.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAA	60	0	63	267	53	27	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.1%	9.7%	2.7%	4.62	4.55	0.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	65	274	56	26	7	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	2.7%	4.50	4.43	+0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	66	277	58	26	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.41	4.36	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	66	277	59	26	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.4%	12.0%	2.7%	4.36	4.33	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAA	62	0	65	273	58	26	7	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.4%	11.9%	2.7%	4.37	4.37	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	LAA	30	0	31	131	26	13	3	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.1%	9.7%	2.7%	4.62	4.55	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	43	0	45	190	39	18	5	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	2.7%	4.50	4.43	+0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	50	0	53	224	47	21	6	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.41	4.36	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAA	54	0	57	241	51	23	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.4%	12.0%	2.7%	4.36	4.33	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAA	55	0	58	245	52	23	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.4%	11.9%	2.7%	4.37	4.37	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		233	0	245	1035	216	99	28	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.5%	11.4%	2.7%	4.43	4.01	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	81	23	0%	1.1	20.9%	9.5%	11.4%	2.7%	4.43	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		96	3	173	767	146	89	20	3%	1.8	19.0%	11.6%	7.4%	2.6%	4.22	4.37	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	3	200	888	169	103	23	3%	1.8	19.0%	11.6%	7.4%	2.6%	4.22	4.37	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	18.5%	10.8%	2.7%	—	4.45	20.4%	10.7%	194	-0.30	—	—	—
Matt Frawley R 2018 · 4.35 FIP	22	SU	4.35	19.5%	10.0%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	2.25	139	91
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	91
Craig Missigman R 2016 · 4.01 FIP	22	SU	4.01	19.2%	11.4%	2.0%	.270	5.01	19.2%	10.4%	53	+1.00	4.01	124	91
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	90
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	90
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	90
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	89
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	89
Rob Huber R 2015 · 3.90 FIP	23	SU	3.90	18.3%	11.7%	1.6%	.304	4.73	15.7%	1.0%	64	+0.83	3.90	117	89
Seth McGarry R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	16.9%	12.3%	1.9%	.320	4.27	17.9%	6.4%	201	+0.00	3.39	261	89
Joel Cesar R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	22	SU	4.30	16.3%	12.0%	1.9%	.267	5.21	18.0%	9.9%	38	+0.91	4.30	127	89
David Garner R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	21.7%	10.0%	2.3%	.282	4.52	19.8%	5.2%	98	+0.71	3.81	154	89
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	89
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	88
Blaze Pontes R 2023 · 3.61 FIP	23	SU	3.61	18.2%	9.4%	1.6%	.330	4.79	11.3%	-0.9%	187	+1.18	3.37	248	88
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	88
Carlos Torres R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	22	SU	4.10	15.2%	9.0%	2.1%	.315	4.39	15.2%	8.6%	125	+0.29	3.71	187	88
Brian Glowicki R 2018 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	17.4%	8.8%	2.1%	.254	3.71	22.4%	14.4%	89	-0.20	2.31	189	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	63	20.5%	9.7%	1.04	4.49
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47