Zane Petty

P Hill City Howlers

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ALynchburg Hil…	7	9	2.89	4.28	18.2%	20.5%	—	K 18.2% · BB 20.5% · FIP 4.16
2026	22	MIX2 levels	35	82	5.60	4.88	23.1%	14.5%	—	K 16.5% · BB 17.1% · FIP 6.56
2027PROJ	23	MLBCLE	49	51	5.76	5.76	18.5%	16.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCLE	30	32	5.45	5.34	19.9%	13.9%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCLE	49	51	5.19	5.08	20.7%	12.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrett Lockwood (age 24) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23) · Cole Hillier (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 126

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%18.5%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%2.4%

Proj IP51

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.16	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.16	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.28	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	82	359	83	52	12	0%	2.3	16.5%	17.1%	-0.5%	4.9%	5.60	6.56	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	82	359	83	52	12	0%	2.3	16.5%	17.1%	-0.5%	4.9%	5.60	6.56	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	82	359	83	52	12	0%	2.3	23.1%	14.5%	8.6%	3.3%	5.60	4.88	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CLE	49	0	51	215	40	35	7	0%	1.0	18.5%	16.0%	2.4%	3.3%	5.76	5.76	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	72	0	76	319	63	44	10	0%	1.0	19.9%	13.9%	6.0%	3.2%	5.45	5.34	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	73	0	76	323	67	40	10	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	3.2%	5.19	5.08	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	73	0	76	323	68	40	10	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.3%	8.7%	3.2%	5.07	5.01	-0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	72	0	75	318	67	39	10	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.2%	5.04	5.03	-0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	70	0	73	309	65	38	10	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	5.09	5.12	-0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	70	295	61	37	10	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.7%	8.1%	3.5%	5.18	5.25	-0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	62	0	66	277	56	36	10	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.0%	7.4%	3.7%	5.33	5.43	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	30	0	32	135	27	19	4	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.9%	6.0%	3.2%	5.45	5.34	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	49	0	51	215	45	27	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.5%	8.2%	3.2%	5.19	5.08	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	58	0	61	258	54	32	8	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.3%	8.7%	3.2%	5.07	5.01	-0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	61	0	64	270	57	33	9	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.2%	5.04	5.03	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	62	0	65	274	58	34	9	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	5.09	5.12	-0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	60	0	63	266	55	34	9	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.7%	8.1%	3.5%	5.18	5.25	-0.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57	0	60	253	52	33	9	0%	1.1	20.4%	13.0%	7.4%	3.7%	5.33	5.43	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		378	0	397	1675	348	212	56	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.6%	8.1%	3.3%	5.17	4.79	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	107	28	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.6%	8.1%	3.3%	5.17	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		42	0	91	403	67	70	18	0%	2.2	16.7%	17.4%	-0.7%	4.4%	5.32	6.30	-3.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	0	200	882	147	154	39	0%	2.2	16.7%	17.4%	-0.7%	4.4%	5.32	6.30	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zane Petty (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	18.5%	16.0%	3.3%	—	5.14	20.5%	7.6%	229	-0.62	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	91
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	90
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	88
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	86
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	84
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	84
Will McAffer R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	22	SU	4.68	20.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.270	5.96	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.28	4.68	133	84
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	84
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	84
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83
Bladimir Matos R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	23	SU	5.02	18.8%	13.7%	3.2%	.301	6.99	14.4%	-7.0%	13	+1.97	3.88	143	83
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	70	20.5%	13.0%	1.29	5.24
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*