Isaac Coffey

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	AABOS	24	21	114	3.17	2.87	30.0%	10.3%	—	K 24.3% · BB 11.4% · FIP 3.67
2025	25	MIX2 levels	17	12	47	5.51	5.78	21.7%	14.0%	—	K 16.7% · BB 13.1% · FIP 6.67
2026	26	MIX2 levels	8	6	24	4.18	3.78	23.1%	8.3%	—	K 22.3% · BB 8.2% · FIP 3.82
2027PROJ	27	MLBBOS	3	3	20	4.90	4.90	20.9%	10.8%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBBOS	2	2	9	4.89	4.92	21.0%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsClay Condrey (age 27) · Ricky Castro (age 24) · Ramon Ramirez (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%20.9%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	2	0	2	8	0	2	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	10.80	6.27	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	2	0	2	8	0	2	0	0%	0.8	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	10.80	6.70	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	118	492	155	33	22	96%	5.1	24.8%	7.5%	17.4%	5.6%	3.37	5.00	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	118	492	155	33	22	96%	5.1	31.5%	6.7%	24.8%	4.5%	3.37	3.74	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	24	21	114	494	148	51	9	88%	4.7	24.3%	11.4%	12.9%	2.1%	3.17	3.67	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	24	21	114	494	148	51	9	88%	4.7	24.3%	11.4%	12.9%	2.1%	3.17	3.67	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	24	21	114	494	148	51	9	88%	4.7	30.0%	10.3%	19.6%	1.8%	3.17	2.87	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	12	47	221	48	31	10	71%	2.8	16.7%	13.1%	3.6%	6.0%	5.51	6.67	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	12	47	221	48	31	10	71%	2.8	16.7%	13.1%	3.6%	6.0%	5.51	6.67	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	12	47	221	48	31	10	71%	2.8	21.7%	14.0%	7.7%	4.5%	5.51	5.78	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	24	108	25	9	3	75%	3.0	22.3%	8.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.18	3.82	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	6	24	108	25	9	3	75%	3.0	22.3%	8.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.18	3.82	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	6	24	108	25	9	3	75%	3.0	23.1%	8.3%	14.8%	2.8%	4.18	3.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	BOS	3	3	20	84	18	9	3	100%	6.7	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.3%	4.90	4.90	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	3	3	20	84	18	9	3	100%	6.7	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.4%	4.89	4.92	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	2	2	9	38	8	4	1	100%	4.5	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.4%	4.89	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	4	1	100%	8.5	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.4%	4.89	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	188	94	24	100%	6.0	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.4%	4.89	4.54	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		74	61	304	1323	303	133	54	82%	4.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.73	4.69	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	40	200	870	199	87	36	82%	4.1	22.9%	10.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.73	4.69	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Isaac Coffey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	20.9%	10.8%	3.3%	—	4.92	21.0%	10.3%	20	+0.02	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	77
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	77
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	76
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	73
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	73
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	73
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	71
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	71
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	71
Connor Grey R 2021 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	22.1%	8.1%	2.8%	.286	4.37	16.2%	7.0%	104	+0.55	2.70	461	70
Luke Hudson R 2004 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP	3.82	18.6%	11.8%	1.5%	.237	4.59	14.2%	3.9%	187	+0.77	3.81	235	69
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	418	69
Matt Frisbee R 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP	4.42	18.3%	14.3%	1.9%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	463	69
Chase Whitley R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	27	SP-	4.10	19.5%	7.0%	3.2%	.217	3.22	18.0%	11.8%	81	-0.88	3.09	235	68
Cody Anderson R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	28	SP	4.33	18.9%	7.5%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	279	68
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	68
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	67
Jimmy Endersby R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	17.3%	8.0%	3.4%	.257	2.86	17.2%	12.8%	36	-1.68	2.86	357	67
Seth Shuman R 2024 · 5.47 FIP	26	SP	5.47	14.1%	8.0%	4.7%	.273	4.61	17.0%	11.3%	157	-0.86	3.16	357	67
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	66