Kai Roberts — OGILVIE

Kai RobertsOF San Antonio Missions

Age 25 L/R 6'4" / 205 lbs AA HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION214 act + 142 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .268 / .261

PA142

HR2

SB10

K%37

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO79

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	103	27	4	1	1	10	36	1	14	0	262	333	350	683	87	382	31	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	100	34	6	2	1	13	27	1	14	0	340	421	470	891	130	446	23	11	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	364	310	56	4	1	4	38	141	7	35	7	181	285	239	523	58	310	39	10	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	364	295	67	6	1	5	53	102	7	35	7	227	358	305	663	78	325	28	15	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	214	184	33	5	0	3	15	94	7	29	2	179	267	255	522	76	345	44	7	228	33	-16	+5	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
YTD	25	AA	SD	—	214	177	36	6	0	3	22	73	7	29	2	203	316	288	604	85	327	34	10	275	69	-8	+5	+0	-1	+6	0.2
ROS	25	AA	SD	2%	142	126	23	4	0	2	12	53	3	10	1	182	268	261	529	79	288	37	8	244	45	-9	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	SD	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						284	33	0	225	31	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	SD	—	217	187	33	5	0	3	15	95	7	29	2	176	263	251	514	75	337	44	7	228	33	-17	+5	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
TOT	25	AA	SD	—	356	310	56	9	0	5	27	147	10	39	3	180	267	258	525	77	319	41	8	234	37	-25	+7	+0	-2	+10	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	349	309	58	10	1	5	30	125	7	16	2	188	275	275	550	87	290	36	9	254	53	-19	+2	+0	-2	+10	-0.9
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	378	335	64	11	1	6	33	131	7	15	2	191	277	284	561	93	290	35	9	260	57	-18	+2	+0	-2	+11	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	SD	31%	108	96	18	3	0	2	9	39	2	5	1	188	271	281	552	94	286	36	8	238	40	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	SD	42%	159	141	26	5	0	2	14	55	3	6	1	184	272	262	535	78	286	35	9	243	44	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	270	240	44	8	0	4	23	95	5	11	2	183	269	267	535	83	280	35	9	241	42	-18	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	106	19	0	10	55	229	12	26	5	183	268	268	536	85	279	35	8	241	42	-42	+3	+0	-4	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	1350	1183	228	33	4	18	123	486	25	90	12	193	282	273	555	80	304	36	9	256	54	-71	+13	+0	-8	+38	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	110	16	2	9	59	234	12	43	6	193	282	275	558	82	304	36	9	256	54	-34	+6	+0	-4	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	100	34	6	2	1	13	27	1	14	0	340	421	470	891	130	446	23	11	388	155	+7	+3	—	—	+3	1.4
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	342	280	59	3	1	4	47	97	7	30	7	211	338	271	610	61	302	28	14	286	77	-9	+3	—	—	+10	0.4
2025	24	ROK	ACL Padres	—	22	15	8	3	0	1	6	5	0	5	0	533	667	933	1.600	400	778	23	27	625	336	+6	+1	—	—	+1	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	274	4	12	191	274	281	-2	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	10	28	191	274	281	-4.0	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kai Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	30	25	60	55	180/267/258	77	319	5	39	41%	8%	37	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	45→32	39→40	56→55	49	206/295/297	91	307	5	21	32%	10%	68	-0.5	183/270/263	80	289	5	20	35%	9%	49	-1.8	158/249/226	68	254	5	20	36%	9%	29	-1.4
✕Aaron Knapp 2019 · A	24	44→37	36→30	53→55	49	201/287/263	62	301	3	20	31%	10%	56	-1.3	206/278/292	86	317	7	17	34%	9%	59	-1.1	188/256/270	82	295	8	19	37%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Jacob Hannemann 2016 · AA	25	42→41	40→45	57→60	38	202/248/295	93	289	6	19	31%	5%	46	-2.0	204/255/314	110	273	9	25	28%	5%	55	-1.4	195/247/304	109	252	10	31	26%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→42	42→45	55→50	48	190/278/297	107	285	9	19	34%	10%	61	-1.0	196/278/323	127	324	12	14	39%	10%	67	-0.5	170/264/317	147	295	14	11	43%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	41→40	50	44	195/260/293	98	266	8	19	29%	7%	52	-1.6	202/266/316	114	300	10	15	34%	7%	60	-1.0	141/207/294	152	225	17	13	44%	8%	26	-0.6
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	49	-1.8	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	47	-1.9	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	24	-0.8
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	37	39→45	61→55	35	181/228/275	94	281	5	18	36%	5%	32	-3.0	201/244/290	89	293	5	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	208/231/276	68	278	4	26	26%	2%	29	-0.8
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A	25	43→41	40	56→55	45	203/276/302	99	303	7	17	33%	9%	60	-1.0	202/273/294	92	291	7	20	30%	8%	57	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Kevin Merrell 2021 · AA	25	40→35	37→40	53→55	36	194/231/266	72	275	4	16	30%	4%	30	-3.1	213/266/333	120	277	14	13	28%	6%	65	-0.7	203/260/324	121	252	18	13	27%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	53→55	43	198/261/314	116	274	11	17	31%	7%	57	-1.2	200/261/298	98	280	8	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/243/270	88	251	7	25	29%	6%	35	-2.1
✕Jason Christian 2012 · AA	25	43	40	54→55	38	208/251/296	88	297	7	16	32%	6%	47	-1.9	204/259/279	75	296	4	10	30%	6%	46	-2.0	187/256/216	29	259	0	5	25%	7%	27	-1.1
✕Nick Heath 2018 · A	24	45→35	36→40	55→65	38	211/256/273	61	315	4	28	33%	6%	43	-2.2	206/266/292	86	340	7	40	38%	7%	53	-1.5	192/261/288	96	325	8	48	40%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Jeff Gelalich 2016 · A	25	43→42	36→40	52→55	41	195/267/263	68	318	4	15	37%	8%	47	-1.9	200/260/275	75	355	5	16	42%	6%	46	-2.0	192/245/260	68	346	4	19	43%	5%	33	-1.2
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	41→36	37→40	47→55	40	192/262/263	71	298	5	14	35%	7%	45	-2.1	200/268/284	84	309	6	17	34%	8%	53	-1.5	188/260/270	82	291	7	24	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	36	41→45	53→50	44	181/245/281	100	235	8	18	26%	7%	42	-2.3	206/271/305	99	295	7	14	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/281/311	97	327	6	13	34%	7%	63	-0.5