Kai Roberts — OGILVIE

Kai RobertsCF San Antonio Missions

Age 25 L/R 6'4" / 205 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION331 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP287

ISO67

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	100	34	6	2	1	13	27	1	14	0	340	421	470	891	130	446	23	11	388	149	+7	+3	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	342	280	59	3	1	4	47	97	7	30	7	211	338	271	610	61	302	28	14	286	80	-8	+3	—	—	+7	0.2
2025	24	ROK	ACL Padres	—	22	15	8	3	0	1	6	5	0	5	0	533	667	933	1.600	400	778	23	27	625	309	+5	+1	—	—	+0	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	104	28	4	1	1	9	36	1	14	0	269	333	356	689	87	388	31	8	313	98	-0	+3	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	342	293	51	2	1	3	34	132	7	30	7	174	275	218	494	44	281	39	10	228	40	-24	+3	—	—	+7	-1.4
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	22	17	7	2	0	1	4	7	0	5	0	412	524	706	1.230	294	576	32	18	473	206	+3	+1	—	—	+0	0.4
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	104	28	4	1	1	9	36	1	14	0	269	333	356	689	87	391	31	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	100	34	6	2	1	13	27	1	14	0	340	421	470	891	130	446	23	11	388	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	310	58	5	1	4	38	139	7	35	7	187	290	248	539	61	318	38	10	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	364	295	67	6	1	5	53	102	7	35	7	227	358	305	663	78	325	28	15	307	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	106	28	4	1	1	9	36	1	14	0	264	333	349	682	85	388	31	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	316	58	5	1	4	38	139	7	35	7	184	290	244	534	60	299	38	10	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	106	28	4	1	1	9	36	1	14	0	264	333	349	682	85	388	31	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	364	316	58	5	1	4	38	139	7	35	7	184	290	244	534	60	299	38	10	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	SD	—	331	290	53	5	1	4	22	137	7	43	3	183	257	248	505	66	325	41	7	223	37	-25	+7	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	SD	—	331	280	56	6	1	5	32	112	7	43	3	200	298	282	580	82	309	34	10	263	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	SD	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		289	40	10	232	43	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	SD	—	341	299	54	5	1	4	23	141	7	44	3	181	255	244	499	64	321	41	7	223	37	-25	+8	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	31%	349	312	57	7	1	5	28	130	6	20	2	183	263	260	523	77	290	37	8	244	52	-20	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	378	338	63	8	1	6	31	137	6	18	2	186	267	269	536	83	290	36	8	251	56	-20	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	31%	108	96	17	2	0	2	9	40	2	6	1	177	262	260	522	83	288	37	8	232	52	-6	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	159	143	27	3	1	3	13	58	2	8	1	189	266	287	553	98	287	36	8	238	56	-8	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	267	239	44	5	1	5	22	98	4	14	2	184	264	276	540	92	283	37	8	236	57	-15	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	106	12	2	12	54	239	10	34	5	182	264	271	535	89	280	37	8	236	57	-36	+5	+0	+2	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1218	1073	207	24	4	16	107	446	20	88	11	193	278	267	546	75	308	37	9	252	57	-41	+6	+0	+3	+16	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	111	13	2	9	57	238	11	47	6	194	280	271	550	77	308	37	9	252	57	-36	+5	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	274	4	14	187	264	270	-2	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	10	34	-3.8	+0.0	-1.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kai Roberts (OGILVIE)	25	30	25	60	55	173/253/238	64	289	4	28	39%	8%	43	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Aaron Knapp 2019 · A	24	44→37	36→30	54→55	48	200/285/264	64	300	3	20	32%	10%	60	-1.6	201/274/277	76	309	5	17	33%	9%	59	-1.7	177/247/240	63	280	5	19	36%	8%	38	-1.9
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	44→33	39→40	56→55	48	204/291/294	90	301	5	21	31%	10%	70	-0.9	186/272/268	82	284	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	164/254/234	71	252	5	20	34%	9%	40	-1.3
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	39→38	38→30	59→60	36	181/244/257	76	317	6	31	42%	7%	42	-2.9	193/263/293	100	317	10	25	39%	8%	58	-1.7	105/204/196	90	163	13	37	43%	11%	13	-1.1
✕Nick Heath 2018 · A	24	45→40	36→40	55→65	38	212/256/271	59	316	3	28	33%	6%	49	-2.4	212/273/294	82	343	6	40	36%	8%	61	-1.5	202/271/293	91	335	7	48	38%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	38	181/259/279	98	296	8	22	39%	7%	55	-2.0	191/267/280	89	341	8	15	43%	7%	57	-1.8	129/224/173	43	295	6	12	53%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	40	50	45	192/259/283	92	259	7	19	28%	8%	55	-2.0	199/263/303	104	295	9	15	33%	7%	60	-1.6	132/195/249	117	217	11	13	43%	7%	19	-0.8
✕Keenyn Walker 2016 · AA	25	40→49	35→30	56→60	38	184/243/237	53	301	3	31	38%	7%	37	-3.3	209/269/290	81	324	5	23	34%	7%	59	-1.6	208/273/292	83	329	4	25	35%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	61→55	35	185/232/279	94	288	5	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	203/247/293	90	294	6	17	31%	5%	51	-2.3	211/234/280	69	277	5	26	26%	2%	39	-0.8
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	55	39	210/261/304	93	304	7	24	32%	6%	59	-1.7	219/278/323	104	314	10	15	31%	6%	70	-0.8	202/263/278	76	292	9	13	32%	6%	52	-0.5
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→28	40	54→55	41	172/263/265	93	309	7	18	42%	9%	53	-2.1	179/260/262	83	375	6	20	48%	9%	51	-2.3	94/200/138	45	245	2	38	56%	10%	0	-1.6
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	195/244/261	67	264	5	32	28%	6%	43	-2.8	190/255/265	75	270	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/211/155	36	182	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	43→45	56→60	39	179/264/291	112	308	11	24	42%	8%	59	-1.6	189/271/295	106	286	9	29	35%	8%	63	-1.4	174/260/274	100	254	9	34	33%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	36	41→45	54→65	34	178/234/269	92	299	8	24	42%	6%	42	-2.9	218/296/329	111	329	12	25	34%	9%	79	-0.2	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Aaron Whitefield 2022 · AA	25	44→48	38→40	56→60	39	209/262/288	78	312	6	29	33%	6%	56	-1.9	215/272/326	111	324	10	30	34%	7%	69	-0.9	201/261/321	120	306	11	40	36%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Duke Ellis 2022 · A	24	37→47	38→40	55→80	36	182/235/256	75	279	7	24	36%	6%	39	-3.1	211/272/295	84	323	7	43	34%	7%	62	-1.4	232/283/327	96	324	8	91	29%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	40→38	41→45	54→55	43	195/279/294	99	285	9	20	32%	8%	65	-1.2	194/281/318	124	323	13	15	41%	8%	72	-0.7	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Jeff Gelalich 2016 · A	25	43→44	37→40	52→55	40	197/267/268	70	319	4	15	37%	8%	54	-2.0	201/261/275	74	353	4	16	41%	6%	53	-2.1	194/248/260	66	346	3	19	42%	5%	42	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps