Justin Militello
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%21.8%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 5 | 32 | 170 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 42% | 2.6 | 9.6% | 19.9% | -10.3% | 1.1% | 10.23 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 5 | 32 | 170 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 42% | 2.6 | 14.1% | 15.9% | -1.8% | 1.2% | 10.23 | 4.96 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 44 | 28 | 2 | 47% | 2.9 | 16.5% | 17.9% | -1.4% | 2.1% | 5.86 | 5.11 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 44 | 28 | 2 | 47% | 2.9 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 5.86 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 18 | 0 | 25 | 126 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 13.5% | 18.7% | -5.2% | 3.1% | 8.53 | 6.03 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.61 | 4.61 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 49 | 224 | 44 | 31 | 6 | — | — | 19.8% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 6.65 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 84 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 12 | 100 | 486 | 65 | 91 | 10 | 27% | 2.2 | 13.3% | 18.8% | -5.5% | 2.0% | 7.92 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 24 | 200 | 972 | 129 | 183 | 19 | 27% | 2.2 | 13.3% | 18.8% | -5.5% | 2.0% | 7.92 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Militello (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 21.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.40 | 22.7% | 12.5% | 24 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 86 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 85 |
| Alec Barger R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 84 |
| Zac Ryan R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 84 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| William Kempner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 82 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Kyle Marman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 82 |
| Todd Peterson R 2027 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 81 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 81 |
| Justin Lasko R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.78 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 152 | +1.06 | 3.72 | 173 | 81 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 81 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 81 |