David Landeta

P FCL Astros

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 244 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	13	2	27	5.93	3.76	21.4%	12.2%	—	K 14.5% · BB 15.3% · FIP 5.04
2024	21	ROKHOU	8	2	21	5.23	3.15	24.5%	16.7%	—	K 16.7% · BB 20.8% · FIP 4.33
2025	22	MIX2 levels	16	6	43	2.72	2.68	24.1%	12.8%	—	K 16.8% · BB 15.4% · FIP 3.64
2027PROJ	24	MLBHOU	21	0	22	5.13	5.13	20.3%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBHOU	16	0	17	4.94	4.87	21.1%	12.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJarret Whorff (age 24) · Trent Fennell (age 23) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	10	1	20	93	26	6	3	10%	2.0	19.0%	8.1%	10.9%	5.0%	6.64	5.23	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	10	1	20	93	26	6	3	10%	2.0	28.0%	6.5%	21.5%	3.2%	6.64	3.35	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	2	27	131	28	16	2	15%	2.1	14.5%	15.3%	-0.7%	2.3%	5.93	5.04	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	13	2	27	131	28	16	2	15%	2.1	21.4%	12.2%	9.2%	1.5%	5.93	3.76	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	8	2	21	102	25	17	0	25%	2.6	16.7%	20.8%	-4.2%	0.0%	5.23	4.33	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	8	2	21	102	25	17	0	25%	2.6	16.7%	20.8%	-4.2%	0.0%	5.23	4.33	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	8	2	21	102	25	17	0	25%	2.6	24.5%	16.7%	7.8%	0.0%	5.23	3.15	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	6	43	187	45	24	0	38%	2.7	16.8%	15.4%	1.4%	0.0%	2.72	3.64	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	6	43	187	45	24	0	38%	2.7	16.8%	15.4%	1.4%	0.0%	2.72	3.64	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	6	43	187	45	24	0	38%	2.7	24.1%	12.8%	11.2%	0.0%	2.72	2.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	HOU	21	0	22	93	19	13	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.9%	5.13	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	37	0	39	166	35	21	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.87	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	16	0	17	72	15	9	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	15	9	2	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	107	24	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.6%	8.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		47	11	111	513	85	78	8	23%	2.4	16.6%	15.1%	1.5%	1.5%	4.69	4.42	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	20	200	922	153	139	14	23%	2.4	16.6%	15.1%	1.5%	1.5%	4.69	4.42	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Landeta (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.3%	14.1%	2.9%	—	4.87	21.1%	8.5%	39	-0.26	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	84
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	79
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	79
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	78
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	78
Ryan Zeferjahn R 2022 · 4.45 FIP	24	SW	4.45	21.0%	12.4%	2.8%	.325	4.36	27.3%	13.8%	163	-0.09	3.05	349	78
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	78
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	77
Dylan Heid R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	21.6%	16.9%	2.4%	.287	3.33	22.6%	9.0%	103	-1.37	2.66	135	77
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	77
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	77
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	77
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	77
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	77
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	20.8%	13.2%	1.11	5.01
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12