Alejandro Nunez — OGILVIE

Alejandro NunezSS Asheville Tourists

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION295 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .257 / .301

PA196

HR3

SB7

K%26

BB%6

BABIP272

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
Totals		$8M		$11M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	192	44	3	3	2	9	39	10	20	5	229	299	307	606	78	278	18	4	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	181	53	4	4	2	20	26	10	20	5	293	393	392	786	99	333	12	9	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	164	145	29	9	0	0	15	31	4	16	3	200	293	262	555	62	254	19	9	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	164	135	35	10	0	1	25	24	4	16	3	259	390	356	746	96	309	15	15	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	380	352	63	11	3	3	24	146	3	18	3	179	237	253	490	74	294	38	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	380	335	83	18	3	4	40	107	3	18	3	248	332	355	688	107	351	28	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	402	372	76	12	2	4	16	135	4	22	9	204	245	280	524	75	301	34	4	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	402	360	97	19	2	8	26	96	4	22	9	269	324	400	724	131	340	24	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	HOU	—	295	271	58	8	0	8	19	68	2	13	10	214	271	332	603	118	254	23	6	261	58	-14	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
YTD	21	A+	HOU	—	295	261	66	10	0	10	28	51	2	13	10	253	329	406	735	153	277	17	9	326	108	+3	-1	+0	+3	+8	1.3
ROS	21	A+	HOU	0%	196	182	38	6	1	3	11	52	1	7	4	208	257	301	558	93	267	26	6	253	52	-11	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						269	0	0	251	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	HOU	—	296	272	58	8	0	8	19	68	2	13	10	213	270	331	601	118	253	23	6	261	58	-14	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
TOT	21	A+	HOU	—	491	453	96	14	1	11	30	120	3	20	14	212	265	320	585	108	261	24	6	258	56	-25	-2	+0	+5	+14	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	35%	517	476	103	17	2	11	32	132	4	14	8	216	271	330	601	113	270	26	6	268	63	-22	-0	+0	+6	+15	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	HOU	49%	533	489	108	18	2	13	35	133	4	14	8	221	278	346	624	125	272	25	7	277	70	-18	-0	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	561	514	115	19	2	14	38	137	4	15	8	224	282	350	633	126	274	24	7	284	75	-16	-0	+0	+6	+16	0.6
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	576	526	119	20	2	15	40	140	5	15	8	226	287	357	645	131	275	24	7	287	78	-14	-0	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	583	532	121	20	2	16	41	141	5	15	8	227	289	363	652	135	275	24	7	288	79	-14	-0	+0	+6	+17	0.9
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	583	532	121	20	2	16	41	141	5	14	8	227	289	363	652	135	274	24	7	288	79	-14	-0	+0	+6	+17	0.9
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	578	526	118	19	2	15	42	141	5	13	7	224	288	354	642	129	274	24	7	287	78	-14	-0	-1	+6	+16	0.8
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	568	518	116	19	2	15	41	140	4	12	7	224	286	355	641	131	273	25	7	286	77	-15	-0	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2035	30	MLB	HOU	57%	557	508	112	18	2	14	40	138	4	11	6	220	283	346	629	126	273	25	7	283	75	-16	-0	-2	+6	+16	0.4
2036	31	MLB	HOU	60%	543	495	108	18	2	13	39	137	4	10	5	218	281	341	622	123	270	25	7	279	72	-17	+0	-3	+6	+15	0.1
2027	22	MLB	HOU	35%	179	165	36	6	1	4	11	46	1	5	3	218	271	339	611	121	272	26	6	265	61	-8	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	HOU	49%	259	238	53	9	1	6	17	64	2	7	4	223	280	345	625	122	275	25	7	275	68	-9	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	296	272	61	10	1	8	20	72	2	8	4	224	282	357	639	132	277	24	7	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	315	287	66	11	1	9	22	76	3	8	4	230	292	369	661	139	277	24	7	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	325	296	67	11	1	9	23	79	3	8	4	226	289	361	650	135	277	24	7	286	77	-9	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	321	292	67	11	1	9	23	78	3	8	4	229	292	366	659	137	277	24	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	316	287	66	11	1	9	23	77	3	7	4	230	294	369	663	139	277	24	7	285	76	-9	-0	-0	+3	+9	0.3
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	303	276	62	10	1	8	22	75	2	7	4	225	287	355	642	130	276	25	7	283	75	-9	-0	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2035	30	MLB	HOU	57%	318	290	65	11	1	8	23	79	2	6	3	224	286	352	637	128	275	25	7	281	73	-10	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2036	31	MLB	HOU	60%	323	295	65	11	1	8	23	81	2	6	3	220	281	346	627	125	273	25	7	277	70	-11	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2956	2699	608	101	10	78	207	727	23	70	37	225	286	357	643	132	277	25	7	281	73	-90	-1	-4	+32	+84	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	133	22	2	17	46	160	5	15	8	224	286	354	640	130	276	25	7	281	73	-20	-0	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6953	6359	1391	229	29	154	464	1783	66	216	97	219	279	336	615	118	277	26	7	274	68	-253	+4	-7	+75	+197	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	130	21	3	14	43	167	6	20	9	219	278	335	613	116	278	26	7	274	68	-24	+0	-1	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	181	53	4	4	2	20	26	10	20	5	293	393	392	786	99	333	12	9	358	132	+8	+2	—	—	+6	1.6
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	164	135	35	10	0	1	25	24	4	16	3	259	390	356	746	96	309	15	15	348	124	+4	+2	—	—	+5	1.1
2024	19	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	42	38	7	1	1	0	4	15	0	0	0	184	262	263	525	79	304	36	10	243	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	338	297	76	17	2	4	36	92	3	18	3	256	341	367	708	111	356	27	11	322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+10	1.4
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	402	360	97	19	2	8	26	96	4	22	9	269	324	400	724	131	340	24	6	316	100	-0	+1	—	—	+11	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,955	76	70	223	281	351	+32	+15	2.9	2.8
	/162	664	17	16	223	281	351	+7.1	+3.4	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Nunez (OGILVIE)	21	45	40	55	30	212/265/320	108	261	11	20	24%	6%	56	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	43→44	36→45	50→55	39	204/250/268	65	283	3	14	28%	5%	40	-2.4	197/250/267	70	287	3	12	31%	6%	40	-2.4	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Dustin Fowler 2016 · A	21	46→53	42→50	51→55	37	226/252/328	103	290	9	15	26%	3%	56	-1.3	241/266/374	133	297	11	19	22%	3%	74	-0.1	249/273/396	147	300	12	21	21%	3%	78	+0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	39	204/264/292	88	314	7	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/259/315	98	324	6	13	33%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/307	94	313	5	14	32%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Marco Hernández 2014 · A	21	41→51	38→45	50	37	199/226/277	78	254	6	12	24%	3%	31	-3.0	241/268/334	93	321	7	12	26%	3%	63	-0.8	271/296/380	110	350	8	6	24%	3%	85	+0.4
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/262/282	77	274	6	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	235/289/327	92	315	6	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	253/291/359	107	338	9	26	27%	4%	78	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	41→44	38→45	53→60	39	201/254/277	77	281	6	21	30%	6%	44	-2.1	195/265/299	104	268	10	28	29%	8%	55	-1.4	206/277/305	99	268	10	33	25%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	208/259/289	81	284	5	15	28%	6%	49	-1.8	247/279/356	109	314	8	7	23%	4%	75	-0.0	261/290/378	116	326	9	6	22%	3%	81	+0.3
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	45	-2.1	194/240/266	72	292	5	9	33%	5%	35	-2.8	146/176/183	36	218	4	12	34%	3%	-17	-1.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2008 · A	21	43	42→50	51→50	41	211/265/313	102	289	10	13	30%	6%	59	-1.1	227/266/359	132	290	15	10	26%	5%	70	-0.3	251/293/410	160	306	19	8	24%	5%	95	+0.5
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	40→50	38→45	48→50	41	195/258/273	78	261	6	13	27%	6%	46	-2.0	232/296/336	104	307	9	14	26%	7%	78	+0.2	235/302/342	107	308	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	52	-1.6	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	68	-0.5	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2021 · A	21	43→53	35→45	47→50	41	203/259/259	55	288	3	14	29%	6%	41	-2.3	234/284/345	111	293	10	9	23%	5%	75	-0.0	242/294/349	107	300	10	9	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	34	-2.8	241/267/333	92	304	5	7	22%	3%	63	-0.9	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1