Alejandro Nunez — OGILVIE

Alejandro NunezSS Asheville Tourists

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION463 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	181	53	4	4	2	20	26	10	20	5	293	393	392	786	99	333	12	9	358	129	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	164	135	35	10	0	1	25	24	4	16	3	259	390	356	746	96	309	15	15	348	121	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	19	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	42	38	7	1	1	0	4	15	0	0	0	184	262	263	525	79	304	36	10	243	51	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	338	297	76	17	2	4	36	92	3	18	3	256	341	367	708	111	356	27	11	322	104	+1	+2	—	—	+7	1.1
2025	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	402	360	97	19	2	8	26	96	4	22	9	269	324	400	724	131	340	24	6	316	100	-0	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	191	43	3	3	2	10	38	10	20	5	225	299	304	602	79	263	18	5	258	61	-10	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	164	145	29	8	0	1	15	33	4	16	3	200	293	276	569	76	249	20	9	252	57	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	19	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	42	39	6	1	1	0	3	20	0	0	0	154	214	231	445	77	276	48	7	173	3	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	338	312	59	11	2	3	22	128	3	18	3	189	249	266	515	77	301	38	7	228	40	-24	+2	—	—	+7	-1.5
2025	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	402	371	78	13	2	5	17	132	4	22	9	210	253	296	549	86	291	33	4	237	47	-26	+1	—	—	+9	-1.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	191	43	3	3	2	10	38	10	20	5	225	299	304	602	79	272	18	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	181	53	4	4	2	20	26	10	20	5	293	393	392	786	99	333	12	9	358	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	164	145	29	8	0	1	15	33	4	16	3	200	293	276	569	76	252	20	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	164	135	35	10	0	1	25	24	4	16	3	259	390	356	746	96	309	15	15	348	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	380	351	63	12	2	3	25	148	3	18	3	179	240	251	491	71	299	39	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	380	335	83	18	3	4	40	107	3	18	3	248	332	355	688	107	351	28	11	313	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	402	371	78	13	2	5	17	132	4	22	9	210	253	296	549	86	304	33	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	402	360	97	19	2	8	26	96	4	22	9	269	324	400	724	131	340	24	6	316	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	212	190	43	3	3	2	10	38	10	20	5	226	299	305	604	79	263	18	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	164	144	29	8	0	1	15	33	4	16	3	201	293	278	570	76	249	20	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	380	349	63	12	2	3	25	148	3	18	3	181	240	252	492	72	298	39	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	402	378	78	13	2	5	17	132	4	22	9	206	253	291	544	85	291	33	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	164	144	29	8	0	1	15	33	4	16	3	201	293	278	570	76	249	20	9	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	380	349	63	12	2	3	25	148	3	18	3	181	240	252	492	72	298	39	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	402	378	78	13	2	5	17	132	4	22	9	206	253	291	544	85	291	33	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	HOU	—	463	428	89	12	0	10	27	118	3	21	12	208	260	306	566	98	262	25	6	247	53	-26	-1	+0	+5	+10	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	HOU	—	331	293	72	10	0	11	32	59	2	16	10	246	323	392	716	147	271	18	10	319	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	HOU	—	132	121	28	4	0	2	8	32	1	5	2	231	285	314	599	83	299	24	6	269	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		268	22	11	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	HOU	—	472	436	90	12	0	10	28	120	3	21	12	206	259	303	562	96	260	25	6	247	53	-26	-1	+0	+5	+10	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	35%	488	452	97	15	1	11	30	127	3	14	7	215	268	325	593	111	270	26	6	265	66	-20	+0	+0	+5	+11	-0.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	533	490	107	17	1	13	34	135	4	15	7	218	275	337	611	118	273	25	6	275	72	-18	+0	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	561	515	114	18	2	14	37	139	4	16	7	221	279	346	624	124	274	25	7	282	77	-16	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	576	528	119	19	2	15	39	141	4	16	8	225	284	354	638	129	275	24	7	285	79	-14	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	583	533	120	19	2	16	40	143	5	16	7	225	285	358	644	133	275	25	7	286	80	-14	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	583	532	120	19	2	16	41	143	5	15	7	226	287	359	646	133	275	25	7	286	80	-14	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	578	527	118	19	2	15	41	143	5	14	7	224	286	353	639	129	274	25	7	286	79	-14	+0	-1	+6	+13	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	568	518	115	18	1	15	41	142	4	13	6	222	284	347	632	125	274	25	7	284	78	-15	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	557	508	112	18	1	14	40	140	4	12	6	220	283	343	625	122	273	25	7	281	77	-16	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	543	495	108	17	1	14	39	139	4	10	5	218	281	341	622	123	271	26	7	277	74	-17	+0	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	35%	169	156	33	5	0	4	10	44	1	5	2	212	263	321	584	109	272	26	6	261	66	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	259	238	52	8	1	6	17	65	2	7	4	218	276	336	612	118	275	25	7	270	72	-9	-0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	296	272	61	10	1	7	20	73	2	8	4	224	282	346	628	121	276	25	7	276	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	315	289	65	11	1	8	21	77	2	9	4	225	282	353	635	128	277	24	7	279	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	325	297	68	11	1	9	22	80	3	9	4	229	289	364	652	135	277	25	7	281	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	321	293	66	11	1	8	22	79	3	8	4	225	286	352	638	126	277	25	7	281	80	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	316	289	65	11	1	8	22	78	2	8	4	225	284	353	637	128	276	25	7	280	79	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	303	276	62	10	1	8	22	76	2	7	3	225	287	355	642	130	276	25	7	278	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	318	290	64	10	1	8	23	80	2	7	3	221	283	345	627	124	275	25	7	276	77	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	323	295	65	10	1	8	23	82	2	6	3	220	281	342	624	122	273	25	7	272	74	-10	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2945	2695	601	97	9	74	202	734	21	74	35	223	282	348	630	125	277	25	7	276	71	-81	+1	-4	+32	+64	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	132	21	2	16	45	162	5	16	8	222	283	345	627	123	276	25	7	276	71	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6737	6164	1344	215	22	154	450	1745	63	217	87	218	278	335	613	117	277	26	7	274	71	-157	+1	-7	+60	+121	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	130	21	2	15	43	168	6	21	8	218	278	336	614	118	277	26	7	274	71	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.4	2,945	76	74	223	279	349	+32	+15	3.1	3.0
/162	664	17	17	+7.1	+3.4	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Nunez (OGILVIE)	21	45	40	55	30	204/255/296	92	268	6	12	27%	6%	56	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dustin Fowler 2016 · A	21	47→52	41→50	51→55	37	229/255/328	100	294	8	15	25%	3%	61	-1.5	240/265/370	130	295	10	19	22%	3%	76	-0.4	245/270/390	145	295	12	21	21%	3%	79	-0.2
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	44→45	36→45	50→55	40	207/255/274	67	284	3	14	28%	5%	49	-2.4	200/255/273	73	290	3	12	30%	6%	50	-2.3	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Marco Hernández 2014 · A	21	42→52	38→45	50	37	206/233/283	77	263	5	12	24%	3%	43	-2.8	241/269/331	90	318	6	12	25%	4%	68	-1.0	265/291/368	103	340	7	6	24%	3%	82	+0.0
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/262/282	77	274	6	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	232/287/320	88	313	5	16	26%	6%	72	-0.7	250/289/355	105	331	8	26	26%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Mount 2008 · A	21	43	42→50	51→50	41	211/265/313	102	289	10	13	30%	6%	63	-1.3	226/266/352	126	289	14	10	26%	5%	72	-0.7	249/293/390	141	308	15	8	23%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→40	53→60	40	205/260/281	76	283	6	21	29%	6%	53	-2.1	198/268/295	97	271	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.5	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Marcus Lee Sang 2022 · A	21	40→50	43→45	51→50	35	197/244/306	110	308	11	14	38%	6%	54	-2.0	205/268/319	114	330	11	14	38%	7%	66	-1.1	221/280/341	119	326	12	15	34%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Luis Barrera 2018 · A	22	44→54	40→45	52→50	38	214/249/308	94	286	7	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	240/281/346	106	316	5	16	24%	5%	76	-0.4	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	40	47→60	36	184/239/270	86	284	8	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	212/279/303	91	297	8	18	29%	7%	66	-1.1	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	51	-2.2	195/240/267	72	293	5	9	33%	5%	42	-2.9	148/177/184	36	220	4	12	34%	3%	-3	-1.3
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	42	-2.9	244/270/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Omar Carrizales 2016 · A	21	49→53	38→40	51→55	42	233/270/312	79	294	5	18	22%	5%	63	-1.3	232/273/325	93	301	7	14	24%	5%	68	-1.0	227/270/320	94	294	6	14	24%	5%	63	-1.0
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	211/269/283	72	288	6	16	28%	7%	57	-1.8	224/284/319	95	288	9	18	24%	7%	72	-0.7	227/292/316	89	272	11	27	20%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	43→53	38→45	54→60	43	209/260/285	76	280	5	15	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/275/314	84	317	5	23	27%	6%	66	-1.1	238/283/324	86	324	4	28	27%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2021 · AAA	21	43→46	40→45	53→50	40	210/252/301	90	269	7	12	24%	4%	55	-1.9	217/271/317	100	299	10	11	29%	6%	67	-1.1	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps