Rodolfo De La Cruz prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Rodolfo De La Cruz P FCL Marlins

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 193 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%22.9%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	6	37	165	32	22	1	55%	3.4	13.2%	16.7%	-3.5%	0.8%	4.58	4.56	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	6	37	165	32	22	1	55%	3.4	19.4%	13.3%	6.1%	0.6%	4.58	3.50	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	9	0	13	76	14	22	0	0%	1.4	12.5%	36.2%	-23.7%	0.0%	11.77	6.63	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	9	0	13	76	14	22	0	0%	1.4	12.5%	36.2%	-23.7%	0.0%	11.77	6.63	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	9	0	13	76	14	22	0	0%	1.4	18.4%	28.9%	-10.5%	0.0%	11.77	6.02	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	5	22	3	6	1	0%	1.2	13.6%	27.3%	-13.6%	4.5%	3.60	7.90	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	4	0	5	22	3	6	1	0%	1.2	13.6%	27.3%	-13.6%	4.5%	3.60	7.90	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	4	0	5	22	3	6	1	0%	1.2	13.6%	27.3%	-13.6%	4.5%	3.60	8.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	14.9%	8.0%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	11	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.74	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.0%	10.7%	2.9%	4.84	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		24	6	55	263	34	61	2	25%	2.3	13.0%	23.2%	-10.2%	0.9%	6.18	5.43	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	22	200	951	124	220	9	25%	2.3	13.0%	23.2%	-10.2%	0.9%	6.18	5.43	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rodolfo De La Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	22.9%	14.9%	3.0%	—	4.74	23.7%	10.7%	20	-0.33	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	80
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	79
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	78
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	77
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	77
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	77
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	76
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	76
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	76
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	76
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	76
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	76
Marc Davis R 2022 · 5.26 FIP	22	SU	5.26	20.7%	14.0%	3.9%	.151	4.87	17.1%	-0.3%	88	-0.39	4.02	111	76