Marc Davis — OGILVIE

Marc Davis P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA5.99

FIP5.99

K%16.9%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%-1.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	5	1	10	48	12	9	0	20%	1.9	25.0%	18.8%	6.2%	0.0%	3.72	3.36	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	5	1	10	48	12	9	0	20%	1.9	25.0%	18.8%	6.2%	0.0%	3.72	3.41	—
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	9	0	23	93	26	11	3	0%	2.5	20.7%	14.0%	6.7%	3.9%	3.97	5.26	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	9	0	23	93	26	11	3	0%	2.5	28.0%	11.8%	16.1%	3.2%	3.97	3.98	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	19.2%	14.4%	4.7%	1.3%	2.96	4.02	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	19.2%	14.4%	4.7%	1.3%	2.96	4.02	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	19	76	312	79	40	4	90%	3.6	25.3%	12.8%	12.5%	1.3%	2.96	3.28	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	9.6%	27.6%	-18.0%	3.7%	10.07	7.83	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	9.6%	27.6%	-18.0%	3.7%	10.07	7.83	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	0	20	104	13	25	3	0%	1.4	12.5%	24.0%	-11.5%	2.9%	10.07	7.57	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	WSH	2	0	2	8	1	2	0	0%	1.0	16.9%	18.3%	-1.4%	2.9%	5.99	5.99	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	64	0	67	285	50	50	9	0%	1.1	17.5%	17.5%	0.1%	3.0%	5.84	5.86	-0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	62	0	65	276	49	47	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.0%	0.9%	3.1%	5.78	5.83	-0.9
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	60	0	62	264	47	44	9	0%	1.0	17.9%	16.8%	1.0%	3.2%	5.81	5.88	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	24	0	25	106	18	18	3	0%	1.0	17.5%	17.5%	0.1%	3.0%	5.84	5.86	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	37	0	39	165	29	28	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.0%	0.9%	3.1%	5.78	5.83	-0.5
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	42	0	44	186	33	31	6	0%	1.0	17.9%	16.8%	1.0%	3.2%	5.81	5.88	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		102	0	107	453	80	77	14	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.0%	0.7%	3.1%	5.81	5.48	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	144	26	0%	1.1	17.8%	17.0%	0.7%	3.1%	5.81	5.48	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		49	20	128	557	101	96	12	41%	2.6	18.1%	17.2%	0.9%	2.1%	4.29	4.89	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	31	200	870	158	150	18	41%	2.6	18.1%	17.2%	0.9%	2.1%	4.29	4.89	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marc Davis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.99	16.9%	18.3%	2.9%	—	5.86	17.7%	0.6%	195	-0.13	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	80
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	77
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.91	14.2%	5.1%	266	-0.75	4.32	277	77
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	74
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	74
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	73
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	73
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	72
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	71
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.37	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.24	2.10	346	71
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	70
Brad Case R 2023 · 5.46 FIP	26	SW	5.46	15.4%	17.4%	2.6%	.341	3.96	10.6%	4.5%	37	-1.50	3.78	393	70
Jesús Reyes R 2019 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	15.9%	15.7%	3.6%	.283	5.11	17.5%	5.6%	118	-0.60	3.85	554	70
Holt Jones R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	16.1%	17.9%	1.9%	.285	4.01	21.7%	7.0%	161	-1.05	3.37	241	70
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	70
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	70
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	70
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	69
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	68
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	54	17.7%	17.2%	1.20	5.83
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77