Tyler Howard — OGILVIE

Tyler HowardC Hill City Howlers

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION237 act + 158 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .318 / .324

PA158

HR2

K%27

BB%9

BABIP316

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$39M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	38	33	8	1	0	0	3	10	2	0	0	242	342	273	615	30	348	26	8	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	38	32	10	1	0	0	4	7	2	0	0	312	421	344	765	31	400	18	11	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CLE	—	237	200	48	7	0	2	27	69	6	6	0	240	348	305	653	65	346	29	11	297	86	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
YTD	22	A	CLE	—	237	185	53	9	0	2	42	49	6	6	0	286	433	368	801	81	370	21	18	369	140	+11	+1	+0	+4	+7	2.3
ROS	22	A	CLE	0%	158	139	32	5	1	2	15	43	3	3	0	230	318	324	642	94	310	27	9	290	80	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		310	—	—	277	71	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CLE	—	237	201	48	7	0	2	27	69	6	6	0	239	348	303	651	65	343	29	11	297	86	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
TOT	22	A	CLE	—	395	339	80	12	1	4	42	112	9	9	0	236	336	313	649	77	333	28	11	295	84	-7	+2	+0	+7	+11	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	310	273	63	11	1	5	29	84	5	5	1	231	316	333	649	103	310	27	9	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	391	346	81	14	2	7	36	104	6	7	1	234	317	347	664	113	310	27	9	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	428	378	90	15	2	9	40	112	7	8	1	238	322	360	682	122	309	26	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.7
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	449	397	95	16	2	10	42	117	7	8	1	239	323	365	688	126	309	26	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.9
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	455	402	95	16	2	10	43	119	7	8	1	236	321	361	681	124	309	26	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.9
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	454	401	95	16	2	10	43	120	7	8	1	237	322	362	683	125	308	26	9	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.8
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	446	393	93	16	2	9	43	118	7	8	1	237	323	356	679	120	307	26	10	305	91	-4	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.6
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	437	385	89	15	1	9	42	117	7	7	1	231	318	345	663	114	306	27	10	302	89	-5	+1	-2	+8	+12	1.4
2035	31	MLB	CLE	56%	411	363	83	14	1	8	39	111	6	7	1	229	314	339	653	110	304	27	9	298	86	-7	+1	-3	+7	+12	1.1
2036	32	MLB	CLE	59%	381	336	75	12	1	7	36	105	6	6	1	223	310	327	637	104	300	28	9	292	82	-8	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.7
2037	33	MLB	CLE	61%	342	302	66	10	1	6	32	96	5	6	1	219	304	318	622	99	296	28	9	286	77	-9	+1	-4	+6	+10	0.3
2038	34	MLB	CLE	56%	291	258	55	8	1	5	27	83	4	5	1	213	298	310	608	97	291	29	9	277	70	-10	+1	-5	+5	+8	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	CLE	52%	237	210	44	6	1	4	22	70	3	4	1	210	294	305	598	95	284	30	9	268	63	-10	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	107	94	22	4	0	2	10	29	2	2	0	234	321	340	661	106	311	27	9	284	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	180	158	37	6	1	3	17	48	3	3	1	234	320	342	662	108	311	27	9	290	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	221	196	47	8	1	5	20	58	3	4	1	240	320	367	687	128	310	26	9	294	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	243	214	51	9	1	5	23	64	4	4	1	238	324	360	683	121	310	26	9	296	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	247	218	52	9	1	5	23	65	4	4	1	239	322	358	680	119	309	26	9	296	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	246	217	51	9	1	5	23	65	4	4	1	235	320	355	675	120	309	26	9	295	84	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	29	MLB	CLE	53%	237	208	49	8	1	5	23	63	4	4	1	236	323	356	679	120	308	27	10	294	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2034	30	MLB	CLE	52%	229	201	48	8	1	5	22	61	4	4	1	239	326	363	689	124	307	27	10	291	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.5
2035	31	MLB	CLE	56%	232	204	48	8	1	5	22	63	4	4	1	235	322	358	680	123	304	27	9	287	78	-6	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2036	32	MLB	CLE	59%	225	199	44	7	1	4	21	62	3	4	1	221	305	327	632	106	301	28	9	282	74	-7	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.2
2037	33	MLB	CLE	61%	208	183	41	6	1	4	20	58	3	3	1	224	311	333	644	109	297	28	10	275	69	-7	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.0
2038	34	MLB	CLE	56%	164	146	31	5	0	3	15	47	2	3	0	212	294	308	603	96	291	29	9	267	63	-7	+1	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
2039	35	MLB	CLE	52%	123	109	22	3	0	2	11	36	2	2	0	202	287	284	571	83	285	29	9	258	56	-6	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2662	2348	543	90	10	53	250	719	42	45	10	231	316	346	662	115	308	27	9	287	78	-66	+5	-14	+48	+75	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	132	22	2	13	61	176	10	11	2	230	315	344	659	113	307	27	9	287	78	-16	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5228	4616	1064	175	20	101	492	1409	82	90	13	231	316	343	658	112	308	27	9	298	86	-82	+13	-25	+93	+148	15.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	132	22	2	13	61	175	10	11	2	230	315	343	658	113	306	27	9	298	86	-10	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	38	32	10	1	0	0	4	7	2	0	0	312	421	344	765	31	400	18	11	360	134	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,784	54	48	230	311	342	+45	+32	8.5	7.4
	/162	664	13	11	230	311	342	+10.8	+7.6	2.0	pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Howard (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	236/336/313	77	333	4	9	28%	11%	84	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→44	42→60	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	302	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	208/261/404	196	274	26	4	34%	5%	82	+0.5	224/280/438	214	267	30	4	29%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Connor Norby 2022 · A	22	48→49	42→55	48→50	45	228/302/336	108	326	10	11	31%	8%	80	+0.4	236/297/399	163	309	19	11	29%	7%	95	+1.4	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Tyler Rahmatulla 2012 · A	22	46	45→55	47→45	46	225/283/361	136	278	10	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	205/265/321	116	263	9	5	25%	7%	61	-1.0	187/250/302	115	237	10	4	25%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	43→52	43→45	48→45	45	211/291/328	116	288	10	7	29%	8%	75	-0.0	211/275/320	109	321	9	8	35%	6%	65	-0.7	207/271/316	109	321	8	4	35%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Steve Tolleson 2006 · A	22	42→52	44→45	50	51	209/292/329	120	248	12	8	20%	9%	75	-0.0	236/309/339	103	302	8	12	23%	9%	84	+0.6	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→47	41→55	46→30	49	214/288/307	93	266	9	6	22%	8%	67	-0.5	214/267/310	96	270	8	3	23%	6%	58	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→45	45→50	49→40	44	227/279/348	122	288	12	8	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/284/369	152	276	20	4	28%	8%	82	+0.5	213/284/361	148	267	20	2	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A	22	45→47	42→55	47→50	39	220/275/323	103	285	9	13	26%	5%	66	-0.6	212/258/353	141	267	15	6	26%	5%	66	-0.6	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	78	+0.2	219/274/328	109	275	10	5	24%	5%	66	-0.6	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
●Eduardo Valencia 2023 · A	23	43→53	42→55	49→30	45	213/279/312	99	276	10	5	26%	7%	65	-0.7	223/280/351	128	282	15	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	246/304/423	177	292	24	1	24%	6%	102	+1.1
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3