Brendan SummerhillOF
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 22
L/R
6'3" / 200 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.7 · 2030
wRC+†29
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .281 / .349
PA65
HR2
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
57→57
PWR
45→45
SPD
55→55
FLD
50→50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $10M | +$5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 42 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | .289 | .357 | .395 | .752 | .105 | .355 | 17 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 51 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .143 | .176 | .265 | .442 | .122 | .167 | 33 | 2 | .209 | 18 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TB | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .214 | .154 | .368 | .000 | .282 | 29 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | TB | 65 | 62 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .145 | .185 | .242 | .427 | .097 | .179 | 32 | 3 | .223 | 29 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | TB | 161 | 146 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .226 | .294 | .377 | .670 | .151 | .274 | 25 | 7 | .293 | 83 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | TB | 278 | 252 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 68 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .226 | .293 | .373 | .666 | .147 | .277 | 24 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | TB | 351 | 317 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .233 | .302 | .388 | .690 | .155 | .278 | 24 | 8 | .305 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | TB | 399 | 360 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .231 | .301 | .381 | .681 | .150 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | TB | 422 | 381 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 101 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .231 | .301 | .386 | .687 | .155 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | TB | 433 | 389 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 105 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .234 | .307 | .388 | .695 | .154 | .279 | 24 | 8 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | TB | 432 | 389 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 106 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .229 | .301 | .380 | .681 | .152 | .279 | 25 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | TB | 429 | 387 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 107 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .225 | .296 | .372 | .668 | .147 | .278 | 25 | 8 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | TB | 418 | 377 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 106 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .223 | .294 | .363 | .657 | .141 | .277 | 25 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | TB | 402 | 362 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 104 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .221 | .293 | .359 | .652 | .138 | .275 | 26 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | TB | 374 | 336 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 99 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .217 | .291 | .351 | .642 | .134 | .274 | 26 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | TB | 330 | 297 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 90 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .215 | .287 | .343 | .631 | .128 | .273 | 27 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -10 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4485 | 4044 | 916 | 146 | 27 | 129 | 363 | 1117 | 45 | 95 | 26 | .227 | .297 | .372 | .669 | .145 | .279 | 25 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -63 | +9 | -19 | -27 | +127 | 2.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 586 | 133 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 162 | 7 | 14 | 4 | .227 | .299 | .374 | .673 | .147 | .279 | 25 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 42 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | .333 | .429 | .444 | .873 | .111 | .387 | 12 | 14 | .393 | 159 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Brendan Summerhill (OGILVIE) | 22 | 57 | 45 | 55 | — | .220/.281/.349 | .130 | .295 | 2 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●David Lough 2008 · A |
22 | 47→57 | 41→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .230/.276/.327 | .098 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .243/.285/.376 | .133 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 18% | 4% | 83 | +0.6 | .268/.308/.394 | .126 | .308 | 11 | 14 | 16% | 4% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Sam Hilliard 2016 · A |
22 | 46→48 | 44→55 | 53→55 | 44 | .221/.283/.347 | .127 | .309 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.260/.321 | .112 | .328 | 11 | 18 | 37% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.279/.381 | .178 | .280 | 21 | 18 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2018 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 40→45 | 51→70 | 43 | .218/.268/.312 | .094 | .281 | 8 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .218/.277/.327 | .109 | .305 | 10 | 19 | 30% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Xavier Paul 2007 · A |
22 | 48→58 | 44→50 | 44→55 | 39 | .230/.279/.347 | .117 | .328 | 11 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .251/.300/.369 | .118 | .345 | 11 | 15 | 29% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .264/.314/.384 | .120 | .352 | 10 | 18 | 27% | 6% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
✕Drew Vettleson 2013 · A |
22 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 50 | 43 | .225/.277/.337 | .112 | .300 | 11 | 13 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.263/.326 | .107 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .206/.247/.310 | .104 | .288 | 8 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 47 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jordan Schafer 2008 · A |
21 | 46→53 | 45→50 | 49→65 | 38 | .224/.262/.355 | .131 | .303 | 11 | 13 | 29% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.282/.349 | .127 | .311 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .212/.291/.289 | .077 | .286 | 5 | 53 | 26% | 10% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 45 | 51→60 | 39 | .218/.254/.344 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 13 | 25% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .244/.274/.342 | .098 | .325 | 4 | 28 | 25% | 3% | 69 | -0.4 | .277/.314/.424 | .147 | .340 | 13 | 14 | 22% | 4% | 102 | +0.9 |
|
✕Kyle Waldrop 2014 · A |
22 | 43→53 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .217/.252/.348 | .130 | .280 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .233/.267/.352 | .119 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 27% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .236/.268/.343 | .107 | .306 | 10 | 6 | 26% | 4% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A |
22 | 45→54 | 41→45 | 52→50 | 39 | .217/.265/.319 | .102 | .282 | 8 | 10 | 25% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .236/.287/.347 | .111 | .288 | 11 | 10 | 21% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .230/.283/.333 | .103 | .277 | 11 | 12 | 21% | 5% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tom Belza 2012 · A |
23 | 46→56 | 43→45 | 54→45 | 40 | .225/.267/.341 | .116 | .304 | 10 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.282/.335 | .101 | .301 | 8 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .243/.295/.335 | .092 | .311 | 7 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Dalton Kelly 2017 · A |
22 | 50→56 | 40→50 | 51→50 | 45 | .235/.303/.341 | .106 | .326 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.311/.350 | .112 | .332 | 8 | 13 | 28% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .234/.315/.341 | .107 | .326 | 9 | 13 | 28% | 9% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Kevin Kramer 2016 · A |
22 | 45→54 | 40→50 | 54→50 | 44 | .218/.273/.314 | .096 | .278 | 7 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .243/.299/.351 | .108 | .307 | 7 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .251/.306/.371 | .119 | .326 | 9 | 8 | 24% | 6% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
●Shane Peterson 2011 · AA |
23 | 49→58 | 41→50 | 53→50 | 43 | .233/.292/.330 | .097 | .306 | 8 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.306/.347 | .113 | .310 | 10 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .247/.322/.364 | .117 | .346 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
●Alex Presley 2008 · A |
23 | 47→57 | 43→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .231/.269/.345 | .113 | .298 | 11 | 11 | 26% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .236/.274/.347 | .111 | .301 | 9 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .281/.324/.430 | .149 | .328 | 13 | 19 | 18% | 5% | 109 | +2.3 |
|
●Zoilo Almonte 2011 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .218/.259/.337 | .119 | .303 | 13 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .241/.285/.384 | .143 | .322 | 16 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .256/.295/.398 | .142 | .314 | 18 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Luis Liberato 2018 · A |
22 | 43→51 | 44→50 | 50 | 40 | .209/.260/.333 | .124 | .300 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .216/.262/.350 | .134 | .285 | 15 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.278/.360 | .150 | .290 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Ty Wright 2008 · A |
23 | 47→55 | 43→45 | 51→45 | 42 | .229/.275/.335 | .106 | .297 | 11 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .250/.296/.354 | .104 | .300 | 10 | 7 | 19% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.296/.373 | .118 | .291 | 12 | 5 | 16% | 4% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Juan Silva 2013 · A |
22 | 45→47 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .215/.287/.318 | .103 | .305 | 9 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.304/.329 | .102 | .305 | 8 | 23 | 26% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .224/.305/.319 | .095 | .293 | 7 | 29 | 24% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕KD Kang 2010 · A |
22 | 48→51 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .229/.281/.350 | .122 | .309 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.286/.331 | .115 | .318 | 9 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.286/.369 | .139 | .320 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 |