Brendan Summerhill
CF Charleston RiverDogs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | ATB | 42 | .333/.429/.444 | 0 | 5 | 109 | — | .289/.357/.395 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+/A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 395 | .256/.362/.357 | 5 | 28 | 65 | — | .207/.284/.290 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBTB | 463 | .229/.299/.336 | 7 | 11 | 80 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBTB | 88 | .235/.304/.348 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 153 | .236/.307/.356 | 3 | 3 | 87 | 0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 333 | 429 | 444 | 873 | 111 | 387 | 12 | 14 | 393 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 67 | 60 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 283 | 348 | 333 | 682 | 50 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 311 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 288 | 245 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 39 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 237 | 348 | 351 | 699 | 114 | 267 | 14 | 14 | 321 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 22 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 333 | 429 | 444 | 873 | 111 | 353 | 9 | 14 | 376 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 385 | 556 | 462 | 1.017 | 77 | 500 | 17 | 22 | 468 | 203 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 395 | 752 | 105 | 353 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 67 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 273 | 274 | 547 | 48 | 292 | 27 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 288 | 257 | 51 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 53 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 198 | 282 | 288 | 570 | 89 | 237 | 18 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 22 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 333 | 368 | 702 | 105 | 269 | 14 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 395 | 752 | 105 | 355 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 333 | 429 | 444 | 873 | 111 | 387 | 12 | 14 | 393 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 395 | 354 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 78 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 79 | 252 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 395 | 336 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 58 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 256 | 362 | 357 | 719 | 101 | 295 | 15 | 13 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 395 | 752 | 105 | 353 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 395 | 354 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 78 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 79 | 249 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 42 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 395 | 752 | 105 | 353 | 17 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 395 | 354 | 73 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 78 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 79 | 249 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 463 | 418 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 105 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 229 | 299 | 336 | 635 | 107 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 30% | 291 | 263 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 65 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 232 | 302 | 348 | 650 | 115 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 44% | 346 | 311 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 78 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 234 | 305 | 356 | 660 | 121 | 288 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 51% | 377 | 339 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 235 | 306 | 361 | 666 | 125 | 288 | 22 | 8 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 52% | 390 | 351 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 235 | 305 | 360 | 666 | 126 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 299 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 392 | 353 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 89 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 233 | 304 | 358 | 662 | 125 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 386 | 348 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 301 | 352 | 653 | 121 | 285 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 52% | 376 | 340 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 298 | 344 | 642 | 116 | 283 | 23 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 30% | 88 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 304 | 348 | 653 | 114 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 84 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 44% | 153 | 138 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 356 | 662 | 119 | 291 | 22 | 8 | 298 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 51% | 191 | 171 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 308 | 361 | 668 | 123 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 52% | 204 | 183 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 307 | 360 | 668 | 124 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 209 | 188 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 306 | 358 | 664 | 123 | 290 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 203 | 182 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 303 | 352 | 655 | 119 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 52% | 196 | 176 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 300 | 344 | 644 | 114 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1244 | 1118 | 262 | 45 | 7 | 25 | 102 | 284 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 234 | 306 | 354 | 660 | 120 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -20 | +2 | -2 | +4 | +27 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 148 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 236 | 307 | 358 | 665 | 122 | 293 | 23 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3205 | 2886 | 661 | 116 | 19 | 58 | 260 | 713 | 34 | 90 | 20 | 229 | 300 | 343 | 643 | 114 | 283 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -47 | +6 | -4 | +10 | +60 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 135 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 145 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 231 | 302 | 347 | 649 | 116 | 285 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 288 PAwOBA .314 → .256 (−58)K% 13.5% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.990 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .314 → .256; ISO .114 → .094; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 67 PAwOBA .307 → .242 (−65)K% 20.9% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.90% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 29.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .307 → .242; ISO .050 → .043; BABIP .348 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 22 PAwOBA .385 → .292 (−93)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 19.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .385 → .292; ISO .111 → .084; BABIP .353 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 42 PAwOBA .384 → .329 (−55)K% 11.9% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 16.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | — | — | 26.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.850 | ×0.830 | — | — | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.121 | ×0.910 | — | — | 2.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.159 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .329; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .387 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .