Brendan Summerhill

CF Charleston RiverDogs
Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1062ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202521ATB42.333/.429/.44405109—.289/.357/.395
202622A+/A/ROK/INTL2 orgs395.256/.362/.35752865—.207/.284/.290
2027PROJMLE23MLBTB463.229/.299/.336711800.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBTB88.235/.304/.34822840.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBTB153.236/.307/.35633870.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Whiff%81
Speed80
Z-Con%73
K%66
wRC+31
wOBA30
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 1.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%
CompsTristan Peters (age 23) · Troy Montgomery (age 23) · Brock Stassi (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .297 / .333
PA210
HR3
SB5
K%23
BB%8
ISO107
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202521 ACharleston RiverDogs — 4236 12210 650 51 333429444873 111387 1214 393 109 — — — — — —
202622 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 6760 17001 4142 70 283348333682 50348 216 311 50 — — — — — —
202622 ACharleston RiverDogs — 288245 581034 39393 145 237348351699 114267 1414 321 59 — — — — — —
202622 ROKFCL Rays — 2218 6200 320 30 333429444873 111353 914 376 84 — — — — — —
202622 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 1813 5100 431 40 3855564621.017 77500 1722 468 203 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4238 11210 470 51 289357395752 105353 1710 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 6762 14001 2182 70 226273274547 48292 273 242 50 — — — — — —
202622 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 288257 51833 27533 145 198282288570 89237 189 256 59 — — — — — —
202622 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2219 5200 230 30 263333368702 105269 149 292 84 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4238 11210 470 51 289357395752 105355 1710 329 109 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 4236 12210 650 51 333429444873 111387 1214 393 109 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE4 teams — 395354 731034 32786 285 206283285568 79252 208 256 59 — — — — — —
202622 A RAW4 teams — 395336 861335 50586 285 256362357719 101295 1513 329 59 — — — — — —
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4238 11210 470 51 289357395752 105353 1710 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE4 teams — 395354 731034 32786 285 206283285568 79249 208 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202521 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 4238 11210 470 51 289357395752 105353 1710 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 A MLE4 teams — 395354 731034 32786 285 206283285568 79249 208 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETB 0% 463418 951737 371055 112 229299336635 107286 238 287 80 -11 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETB 30% 291263 611125 23653 71 232302348650 115287 228 293 84 -5 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.3
202925 MLB MLETB 44% 346311 731327 28784 82 234305356660 121288 238 297 87 -5 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.4
203026 MLB MLETB 51% 377339 791428 31844 82 235306361666 125288 228 299 89 -5 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.5
203127 MLB MLETB 52% 390351 821528 32884 82 235305360666 126287 238 299 89 -5 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.5
203228 MLB MLETB 53% 392353 821528 32894 82 233304358662 125287 238 298 88 -6 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.4
203329 MLB MLETB 53% 386348 801428 31894 72 231301352653 121285 238 294 85 -7 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.2
203430 MLB MLETB 52% 376340 771427 30883 62 228298344642 116283 238 289 82 -8 +0 -2 +1 +8 -0.0
202824 MLB CTXTB 30% 8880 19312 7201 20 235304348653 114291 238 294 84 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.1
202925 MLB CTXTB 44% 153138 33613 12342 31 236307356662 119291 228 298 87 -2 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.2
203026 MLB CTXTB 51% 191171 41714 16432 41 237308361668 123291 238 300 89 -3 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.3
203127 MLB CTXTB 52% 204183 42714 17462 41 237307360668 124291 238 300 89 -3 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.3
203228 MLB CTXTB 53% 209188 44814 17482 41 235306358664 123290 238 298 88 -3 +0 -0 +1 +5 0.2
203329 MLB CTXTB 53% 203182 42714 17472 41 233303352655 119289 238 295 85 -4 +0 -1 +1 +4 0.1
203430 MLB CTXTB 52% 196176 41714 16462 31 230300344644 114287 238 290 82 -4 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12441118 26245725 10228413 246 234306354660 120291 238 297 83 -20 +2 -2 +4 +27 1.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 13824413 531487 133 236307358665 122293 238 297 83 -11 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 32052886 6611161958 26071334 9020 229300343643 114283 228 291 83 -47 +6 -4 +10 +60 2.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 13524412 531457 184 231302347649 116285 228 291 83 -11 +1 -1 +2 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 288 PAwOBA .314 → .256 (−58)K% 13.5% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.54%÷1.000×1.360——18.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.54%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9909.25%
HBP% /PA1.04%—×0.780—×0.9900.80%
Singles /BIP19.90%÷1.000×0.920×0.997×0.99018.07%
Doubles /BIP4.85%÷1.000×0.830×0.997×0.9903.98%
Triples /BIP1.46%÷1.000×0.910×0.997×0.9901.31%
Home runs /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9901.54%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .314 → .256; ISO .114 → .094; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 67 PAwOBA .307 → .242 (−65)K% 20.9% → 27.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.90%÷1.000×1.310——27.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.97%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9983.57%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.770—×0.9982.29%
Singles /BIP34.78%÷1.000×0.870×0.969×0.99829.27%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780×0.969×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.969×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9981.91%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .307 → .242; ISO .050 → .043; BABIP .348 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 22 PAwOBA .385 → .292 (−93)K% 9.1% → 13.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.09%÷1.000×1.440——13.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9658.16%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.96519.78%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9658.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9650.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .385 → .292; ISO .111 → .084; BABIP .353 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 42 PAwOBA .384 → .329 (−55)K% 11.9% → 16.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.90%÷1.006×1.360——16.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷0.985×0.690——10.01%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP29.03%÷1.013×0.920——26.37%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷0.850×0.830——6.30%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.121×0.910——2.62%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .384 → .329; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .387 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .