Brendan Summerhill

Brendan SummerhillOF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION253 act + 168 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .294 / .336

PA168

HR3

SB5

K%23

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	42	38	11	2	1	0	4	7	0	5	1	289	357	395	752	105	355	17	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	42	36	12	2	1	0	6	5	0	5	1	333	429	444	873	111	387	12	14	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	TB	—	253	229	47	8	2	4	21	50	1	12	5	205	275	310	585	105	244	20	8	260	57	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
YTD	22	A	TB	—	253	217	53	10	3	4	33	35	1	12	5	244	347	373	720	129	274	14	13	325	107	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.8
ROS	22	A	TB	0%	168	151	34	6	1	3	14	38	1	5	2	224	294	336	630	112	275	23	8	286	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
ROS	22	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	TB	—	253	230	47	8	2	4	21	50	1	12	5	204	275	309	584	104	243	20	8	260	57	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
TOT	22	A	TB	—	421	380	81	14	3	7	35	88	2	17	7	213	283	320	603	108	257	21	8	270	65	-17	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TB	34%	321	290	67	12	3	7	26	71	2	7	2	231	299	366	664	134	279	22	8	293	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	399	360	84	15	3	9	33	88	3	9	3	233	303	367	670	133	281	22	8	298	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	433	391	91	16	3	10	36	96	3	10	3	233	302	366	668	133	282	22	8	300	88	-6	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.5
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	453	409	94	17	3	10	38	100	3	10	3	230	300	359	659	130	282	22	8	301	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	457	412	95	17	3	10	39	101	3	10	3	231	302	359	661	129	282	22	9	301	89	-6	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	456	411	94	17	3	10	39	102	3	10	3	229	300	358	658	129	281	22	9	300	88	-6	+1	-1	-3	+13	0.4
2027	23	MLB	TB	34%	110	99	23	4	1	2	9	24	1	2	1	232	303	354	656	121	283	22	8	290	80	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	184	166	40	7	2	4	15	41	1	4	1	241	308	380	687	139	285	22	8	294	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	224	201	47	8	2	5	19	50	2	5	2	234	306	368	674	134	286	22	8	296	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	246	221	52	9	2	5	21	54	2	5	2	235	307	362	669	127	286	22	9	297	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	248	223	53	9	2	6	21	55	2	5	2	238	309	377	686	139	286	22	8	297	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.2
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	247	222	52	9	2	5	21	55	2	5	2	234	306	360	666	126	285	22	9	296	85	-4	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1259	1133	267	46	11	27	106	279	10	26	10	236	307	367	674	132	288	22	8	295	84	-22	+1	-0	-8	+36	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	138	24	6	14	55	144	5	13	5	236	307	369	677	133	288	22	8	295	84	-12	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2729	2462	570	102	20	59	229	603	18	66	20	231	302	361	663	130	282	22	8	299	87	-40	+5	-0	-16	+77	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	136	24	5	14	55	144	4	16	5	232	302	362	664	130	283	22	8	299	87	-10	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	42	36	12	2	1	0	6	5	0	5	1	333	429	444	873	111	387	12	14	393	159	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,388	31	30	234	301	367	-8	+0	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	15	14	234	301	367	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brendan Summerhill (OGILVIE)	22	57	45	55	55	213/283/320	108	257	7	17	21%	8%	65	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	45→50	52→55	47	239/299/361	122	305	12	14	25%	8%	85	+0.7	235/292/364	129	293	13	23	23%	7%	83	+0.6	228/280/351	122	287	13	26	24%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→54	45	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	93	+1.3	248/290/367	119	318	12	4	25%	5%	82	+0.5	252/294/376	124	319	12	3	24%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	49→55	45→50	48→50	47	239/299/368	128	301	12	10	24%	8%	87	+0.8	240/297/369	129	298	12	7	22%	7%	86	+0.8	238/296/373	135	295	13	4	23%	7%	83	+0.5
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Raimel Tapia 2016 · A	22	53→63	45	50→55	39	263/293/391	128	320	12	16	22%	3%	90	+1.0	269/298/385	116	328	8	19	20%	4%	89	+1.0	272/302/388	116	333	6	21	20%	4%	88	+0.8
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Jordan Schafer 2009 · AA	22	49→54	47→50	51→65	42	236/289/383	147	323	12	14	30%	7%	86	+0.8	215/279/313	98	298	8	18	28%	8%	64	-0.8	214/293/291	78	289	5	53	26%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Dario Pizzano 2013 · A	22	52→57	41→50	51→40	47	247/313/352	104	316	8	5	23%	7%	89	+0.9	248/308/379	131	283	10	4	15%	7%	93	+1.3	251/311/394	143	278	11	3	14%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Josh Fellhauer 2010 · A	22	48→53	45→40	47→45	45	237/290/368	131	276	12	9	19%	5%	84	+0.6	233/283/317	84	294	6	7	21%	6%	66	-0.6	267/331/347	80	352	3	5	23%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Michael Gigliotti 2018 · A	22	53	40	51→55	50	252/319/352	100	313	7	17	21%	8%	91	+1.1	234/297/320	86	306	5	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	49→53	46→45	52→50	43	244/293/376	132	292	14	9	21%	5%	86	+0.8	225/273/330	105	280	11	11	23%	5%	66	-0.6	213/260/310	97	265	11	11	23%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	50→51	43→50	48→50	42	239/289/356	118	318	10	10	27%	6%	79	+0.3	241/295/386	145	303	13	11	24%	6%	90	+1.0	240/293/384	145	293	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Brent Morel 2009 · A	22	51→57	43→50	54→50	45	251/298/360	109	298	11	12	20%	6%	84	+0.6	251/287/381	130	292	13	12	18%	5%	85	+0.7	254/289/385	131	290	13	11	17%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0