Rafael Flores Jr.

C Indianapolis Indians

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 232 lbs AAA HR -15%K -5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AANYY	273	.274/.359/.519	15	6	93	—	.229/.297/.414
2025	24	MLBPIT	17	.200/.294/.333	0	0	76	-1.0
2026	25	MLBPIT	163	.264/.331/.527	11	0	143	2.0
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBPIT	112	.226/.305/.375	3	1	95	0.4
2028PROJ60% MLB	27	MLBPIT	311	.225/.305/.374	9	1	94	0.9
2029PROJ67% MLB	28	MLBPIT	351	.225/.303/.371	10	1	93	1.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$1M2028Arb-2$3M2029Arb-3$6M2030Arb-4$7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Barrel%90

Whiff%90

Chase%90

xwOBA87

Avg EV79

Bat Spd69

Form.242/.308/.418 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .227/.304/.383

CompsJosmil Pinto (age 26) · Luis Urías (age 26) · Luis Torrens (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .305 / .375

PA112

HR3

K%29

BB%10

BABIP298

ISO131

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

902.4%

xAVG

460.248

POWER55

Barrel%

9014.4

Avg EV

7991.1

Bat Spd

6973.4

EYE80

Chase%

904.3%

SPEED35

Sprint

2726.4

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%27%▲▲26% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 29%

BB%8%▼7% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.176▲.214 over 84 AB (60d) · proj .156

HR/BB6.3%▲8.2% over 61 BBE (60d) · proj 5.2%

BABIP.298·.304 over 56 BIP (60d) · proj .297

SLASH.242/.308/.418▲proj .227/.304/.383

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.5M
2028	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-3	$6M	+1.0	$7M	+$2M
2030	Arb-4	$7M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$15M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	382	99	15	1	8	49	108	2	3	1	259	346	366	713	107	341	25	11	325	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	273	241	66	14	0	15	28	73	4	6	0	274	359	519	878	245	333	27	10	385	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	233	193	55	17	0	6	38	55	1	2	1	285	405	466	871	181	368	24	16	389	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	375	41	12	286	76	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	206	173	46	4	1	7	26	54	4	0	0	266	374	422	796	156	339	26	13	355	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	370	335	96	23	1	15	30	94	2	6	0	287	349	496	844	209	354	25	8	369	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	163	148	39	6	0	11	15	45	0	0	0	264	331	527	858	264	304	28	9	374	143	+8	+0	+0	+8	+4	2.0
2026	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	276	228	52	10	2	4	46	69	2	0	0	228	362	342	704	114	310	25	17	328	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	180	163	42	8	0	11	17	52	0	0	0	258	328	509	837	252	310	29	9	366	134	+7	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	405	83	11	1	7	26	141	2	3	1	205	256	289	545	84	294	32	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	273	249	57	13	0	11	20	87	4	6	0	229	297	414	710	185	303	32	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	233	211	46	13	0	5	20	76	1	2	1	218	289	351	640	133	306	33	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	375	41	12	280	76	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
2025	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	206	182	41	3	1	6	17	67	4	0	0	225	305	352	657	126	308	33	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	370	344	86	20	1	11	21	118	2	6	0	250	297	410	707	160	335	32	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	163	149	40	6	0	12	14	45	0	0	0	268	331	550	882	282	304	28	9	380	143	+8	+0	+0	+8	+4	2.0
2026	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	276	242	49	9	2	3	32	83	2	0	0	202	301	293	594	91	295	30	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	405	83	11	1	7	26	141	2	3	1	205	256	289	545	84	295	32	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	382	99	15	1	8	49	108	2	3	1	259	346	366	713	107	341	25	11	325	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	459	102	25	0	16	41	164	5	8	1	222	293	381	674	159	307	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	506	434	121	31	0	21	66	128	5	8	1	279	380	495	876	217	350	25	13	387	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	541	129	25	2	16	40	192	6	6	0	238	298	381	679	142	333	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	593	523	145	29	2	22	58	155	6	6	0	277	356	467	823	189	349	26	10	362	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	439	391	88	14	2	15	46	128	2	0	0	225	310	386	696	161	294	29	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	439	376	91	16	2	15	61	114	2	0	0	242	351	415	766	173	308	26	14	345	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	403	83	11	1	7	26	141	2	3	1	206	256	290	547	84	294	32	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	455	102	25	0	16	41	164	5	8	1	224	293	385	678	160	304	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	542	129	25	2	16	40	192	6	6	0	238	298	380	678	142	327	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	439	388	88	14	2	15	46	128	2	0	0	227	310	389	699	162	298	29	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	455	102	25	0	16	41	164	5	8	1	224	293	385	678	160	304	32	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	542	129	25	2	16	40	192	6	6	0	238	298	380	678	142	327	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	439	388	88	14	2	15	46	128	2	0	0	227	310	389	699	162	298	29	10	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	45%	380	338	78	14	2	12	36	111	3	2	1	227	306	383	690	156	297	29	9	308	95	-2	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	45%	112	99	22	4	0	3	11	33	1	1	0	226	305	375	680	150	298	29	10	304	95	-1	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	520	462	105	19	2	16	49	151	4	2	1	227	306	382	688	155	296	29	9	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	67%	520	463	105	19	2	16	48	150	4	1	1	226	305	378	683	152	295	29	9	305	93	-4	-0	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	69%	520	463	104	19	2	15	48	150	4	1	0	225	303	373	676	149	293	29	9	303	91	-6	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	70%	394	352	78	14	1	11	36	114	3	1	0	223	300	367	667	145	291	29	9	299	88	-5	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.7
2032	31	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	368	329	72	13	1	10	33	106	3	1	0	220	296	359	655	140	288	29	9	294	85	-6	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.5
2033	32	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	338	303	65	11	1	9	30	99	2	0	0	214	290	347	636	132	283	29	9	286	80	-8	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.1
2034	33	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	300	269	56	10	1	7	26	90	2	0	0	208	282	331	613	124	278	30	9	277	74	-9	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	311	277	63	12	1	9	29	90	2	1	1	225	305	374	679	148	297	29	9	304	94	-2	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.9
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	67%	351	312	70	13	1	10	33	101	3	1	0	225	303	371	674	146	295	29	9	302	93	-3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	69%	360	321	71	13	1	10	33	104	3	1	0	223	301	366	667	143	294	29	9	299	91	-4	+0	-2	+6	+8	0.9
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	70%	277	248	54	10	1	7	25	80	2	0	0	221	299	360	659	139	292	29	9	296	88	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2032	31	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	261	233	52	10	1	7	24	75	2	0	0	218	295	353	647	134	288	29	9	291	85	-5	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.3
2033	32	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	241	216	46	8	1	6	21	71	2	0	0	213	289	340	629	127	284	29	9	284	80	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.1
2034	33	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	215	193	40	7	1	5	19	64	1	0	0	206	281	325	607	119	279	30	9	274	74	-7	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2196	1963	438	81	7	65	201	637	15	3	1	223	300	371	671	148	293	29	9	300	85	-23	+0	-15	+33	+48	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	129	24	2	19	59	189	4	1	0	222	298	368	666	146	293	29	9	300	85	-7	+0	-5	+10	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5182	4660	1038	189	16	146	446	1558	39	24	4	223	296	364	660	141	299	30	9	294	85	-37	+1	-23	+55	+73	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	130	24	2	18	56	195	5	3	1	222	296	362	658	140	299	30	9	294	85	-7	+0	-4	+10	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Bo Diaz'77-'89 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,537 PA	5.3	3,537	87	9	251*	296*	414*	+63	+0	11.6	12.0
/162	664	16	2	+11.8	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	2.8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
/162	664	25	0	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12
#4Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Elrod Hendricks'68-'79 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,155 PA	3.2	2,155	62	1	224*	308*	401*	+37	-0	8.7	8.7
/162	664	19	0	+11.4	-0.1	2.7	pk7: 9
#6Admiral Schlei'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,169 PA	3.3	2,169	6	38	241*	316*	378*	+35	+0	7.6	7.6
/162	664	2	12	+10.6	+0.2	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,291	73	5	226	299	380	+41	+2	7.9	7.6
/162	664	21	1	+11.9	+0.4	2.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Flores Jr. (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	35	80	225/304/380	154	297	8	1	29%	9%	95	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josmil Pinto 2015 · MLB	26	51→60	50	36→40	51	256/324/413	157	304	17	2	21%	9%	108	+1.9	232/288/371	139	291	16	3	25%	7%	85	+0.2	219/269/349	130	277	15	0	26%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	51→55	43→45	54	241/331/406	165	280	19	4	21%	10%	110	+2.1	220/316/353	133	263	15	6	22%	10%	93	+0.8	227/309/349	122	257	14	6	17%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	53→50	45→40	46	238/296/411	173	288	21	3	25%	8%	98	+1.2	233/287/378	145	304	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.4	235/293/375	140	282	15	2	22%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Nick Hundley 2011 · MLB	27	47→45	50→55	39→40	48	236/298/397	161	286	17	5	24%	8%	95	+1.0	234/291/381	147	294	15	4	24%	7%	88	+0.5	259/299/420	161	312	16	3	22%	5%	102	+0.8
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	51→50	43→40	48	227/330/389	162	308	20	3	31%	10%	107	+1.8	204/290/339	135	275	14	5	29%	9%	80	-0.2	160/246/269	109	216	9	0	29%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	43→42	49→50	44→40	52	211/307/361	149	295	16	4	32%	12%	91	+0.7	198/284/337	139	295	15	6	35%	10%	77	-0.3	182/269/315	133	275	15	5	37%	10%	66	-0.7
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	41→38	53→55	45→40	48	212/303/389	177	276	20	3	30%	9%	96	+1.0	198/288/359	161	255	18	6	28%	10%	84	+0.1	180/274/332	152	226	17	6	28%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	47→50	56→60	35→40	48	249/316/438	189	281	24	3	21%	8%	112	+2.2	231/311/393	162	270	19	6	22%	9%	100	+1.3	208/295/367	159	233	21	1	21%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Welington Castillo 2013 · MLB	26	46→56	53→55	43→30	45	238/308/407	169	299	22	2	28%	8%	102	+1.5	247/314/400	153	306	18	3	24%	7%	102	+1.5	251/305/431	180	305	25	1	26%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	46→49	52→55	41→45	42	238/290/411	174	296	19	6	26%	6%	96	+1.0	207/262/346	139	274	15	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	183/242/307	124	247	13	4	30%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	43→45	49→50	43→45	48	218/301/370	152	273	16	5	26%	9%	91	+0.6	216/296/354	138	291	14	5	29%	9%	85	+0.2	206/289/333	127	280	13	4	29%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	45→53	55→60	43→30	45	239/302/421	182	287	24	3	26%	7%	103	+1.5	237/305/431	194	289	26	3	27%	7%	106	+1.8	225/298/430	204	275	28	1	29%	7%	103	+0.8
✕Chris Gimenez 2009 · AAA	26	49→59	49→50	42→45	49	244/323/396	151	306	17	4	25%	9%	104	+1.6	223/296/355	132	285	15	4	26%	9%	85	+0.2	240/301/356	117	296	14	1	23%	8%	86	+0.1
●Tyler Stephenson 2024 · MLB	27	53→58	47→55	43→30	48	257/325/394	138	327	15	2	25%	8%	105	+1.7	242/319/406	164	311	19	2	27%	9%	105	+1.7	236/319/404	169	302	20	0	27%	10%	104	+1.2
✕Joey Bart 2023 · MLB	26	49	50→55	45→40	40	237/304/384	146	348	19	5	35%	7%	95	+0.9	239/317/374	135	326	16	4	29%	8%	97	+1.1	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
●Jhonny Peralta 2008 · MLB	26	53→63	50→55	39→40	51	266/334/425	159	323	18	3	23%	9%	114	+2.4	261/322/419	158	308	16	3	20%	8%	109	+2.0	275/337/435	160	317	18	2	19%	8%	119	+2.6
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2019 · MLB	26	48→56	49→50	42→45	48	242/300/388	145	282	17	4	21%	7%	94	+0.9	229/285/376	147	277	17	4	23%	6%	86	+0.3	216/275/360	144	259	17	1	24%	6%	77	-0.3
●Jonathan India 2023 · MLB	26	52→54	49→50	45→50	51	254/343/405	151	309	16	8	22%	9%	114	+2.4	244/339/386	142	292	15	10	20%	10%	109	+2.0	238/339/373	135	284	14	9	20%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2020 · AAA	26	44→54	50	44→40	46	224/316/383	158	285	18	5	27%	8%	100	+1.3	203/298/357	154	274	18	4	31%	9%	88	+0.4	153/251/274	121	211	15	0	34%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Carson Kelly 2020 · MLB	26	45→52	52→55	43→40	53	234/313/399	165	262	21	2	20%	10%	102	+1.5	231/310/401	170	263	22	3	21%	9%	101	+1.4	248/328/392	144	277	19	1	18%	9%	106	+1.1

Rafael Flores Jr.

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps