Bryce Archie
P
Daytona Tortugas
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 212 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 14 | 0 | 38 | 170 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 14.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.05 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 65 | 283 | 69 | 32 | 7 | — | — | 24.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 3.59 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 26 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 73 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 38 | 170 | 32 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 14.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.05 | 5.04 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 0 | 200 | 887 | 166 | 129 | 27 | 0% | 2.7 | 18.7% | 14.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.05 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Archie (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 28 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 85 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 3.15 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.03 | 3.11 | 194 | 84 |
| Ian Koenig R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.55 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .310 | 5.84 | 14.4% | 5.9% | 225 | +2.29 | 3.55 | 244 | 84 |
| J.T. Hintzen R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.20 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 4.45 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 123 | +1.25 | 3.20 | 205 | 83 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 83 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 82 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 82 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 81 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 81 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 81 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 81 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 80 |
| Bryan Bonnell R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.28 | 21.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .338 | 4.61 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 179 | +0.33 | 3.59 | 333 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 80 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.86 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | .295 | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.73 | 3.86 | 130 | 80 |
| Grant Dyer R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.72 | 26.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | .236 | 3.51 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.86 | 118 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.15 | 4.31 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |