Charles Davalan

OF Great Lakes Loons

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP45OGV rank#56ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ALAA	37	.500/.541/.735	1	3	185	—	.429/.459/.629
2026	22	A+/INTL2 orgs	589	.283/.399/.518	26	18	111	—	.249/.344/.445
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBLAD	9	.255/.336/.440	0	0	121	0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	24	MLBLAD	217	.256/.337/.443	8	5	121	1.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	25	MLBLAD	319	.256/.337/.443	12	7	121	1.4

Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$7M2033Arb-3$9M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%98

Z-Con%96

Whiff%95

wOBA91

wRC+90

ISO87

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.7 / P90 16, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 63%

CompsTommy La Stella (age 23) · Dustin Harris (age 23) · Graham Pauley (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†121

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .336 / .440

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP277

ISO188

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$40M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$9M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+1.4	$8M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.1	$6M	+$0.6M
Totals		$24M		$49M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	34	17	3	1	1	3	5	0	3	0	500	541	735	1.276	235	571	14	8	554	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	530	439	128	29	3	24	63	57	22	17	3	292	406	535	942	244	286	11	12	410	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	59	49	10	2	0	2	4	7	5	1	0	204	328	367	695	163	195	12	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	35	15	2	1	1	2	7	0	3	0	429	459	629	1.088	200	501	19	5	441	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	530	458	114	24	3	20	44	73	22	17	3	249	344	445	789	197	243	14	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	35	15	2	1	1	2	7	0	3	0	429	459	629	1.088	200	519	19	5	441	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	34	17	3	1	1	3	5	0	3	0	500	541	735	1.276	235	571	14	8	554	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	506	125	26	3	22	49	81	27	18	3	247	345	441	786	194	251	14	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	589	488	138	31	3	26	67	64	27	18	3	283	399	518	917	236	277	11	11	401	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	35	15	2	1	1	2	7	0	3	0	429	459	629	1.088	200	501	19	5	441	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	508	125	26	3	22	49	81	27	18	3	246	345	439	784	193	243	14	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	37	35	15	2	1	1	2	7	0	3	0	429	459	629	1.088	200	501	19	5	441	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	508	125	26	3	22	49	81	27	18	3	246	345	439	784	193	243	14	8	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	LAD	4%	517	456	119	23	3	19	43	91	13	11	2	259	339	444	783	185	284	18	8	346	121	+13	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	LAD	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	255	336	440	777	185	277	22	11	344	121	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	489	433	113	22	3	18	41	86	12	11	2	260	340	446	787	186	285	18	8	348	121	+12	+1	-0	-3	+11	2.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAD	63%	507	447	117	23	3	18	43	90	12	11	2	260	340	446	786	186	285	18	8	348	121	+13	+1	-0	-3	+11	2.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	513	453	117	23	3	18	43	92	12	11	2	259	339	444	783	185	286	18	8	346	120	+12	+1	-0	-3	+11	2.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	LAD	74%	512	453	117	23	3	18	43	94	11	11	3	257	337	440	777	182	285	18	8	344	119	+11	+1	-0	-3	+11	2.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	LAD	75%	506	447	115	22	3	18	43	95	11	10	2	255	334	433	768	178	285	19	8	340	116	+10	+1	-1	-3	+11	1.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	LAD	74%	498	443	112	22	2	17	42	95	10	9	2	253	332	427	758	174	284	19	8	336	114	+8	+1	-2	-3	+11	1.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	LAD	73%	487	433	108	21	2	16	41	94	10	8	2	249	328	419	747	169	282	19	8	332	111	+6	+1	-2	-3	+11	1.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	476	425	104	20	2	15	39	94	9	7	3	245	323	409	732	163	279	20	8	326	107	+4	+0	-3	-3	+10	0.9
2036	32	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	465	415	100	19	2	14	38	94	9	6	4	240	317	395	712	156	275	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-4	-3	+10	0.4
2037	33	MLB MLE	LAD	72%	376	336	78	14	1	11	30	78	7	4	6	233	309	379	688	147	270	21	8	308	95	-2	-2	-4	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	217	192	49	9	1	8	18	38	5	5	1	256	337	443	780	187	279	18	8	345	121	+6	+1	-0	-1	+5	1.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAD	63%	319	282	72	14	1	12	27	57	7	7	2	256	337	443	780	187	279	18	8	345	121	+8	+1	-0	-2	+7	1.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	368	326	84	16	2	14	31	66	8	8	2	255	336	441	777	185	279	18	8	344	120	+9	+1	-0	-2	+8	1.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	LAD	74%	377	334	85	16	2	14	32	69	8	8	2	254	334	436	770	183	279	18	8	341	119	+8	+1	-0	-2	+8	1.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	LAD	75%	379	336	85	16	2	14	32	71	8	8	2	251	331	430	761	179	278	19	8	337	116	+7	+1	-1	-2	+8	1.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	LAD	74%	366	324	80	15	1	13	31	70	8	7	2	249	328	424	752	175	277	19	8	334	114	+6	+1	-1	-2	+8	1.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	LAD	73%	355	315	77	14	1	12	30	69	7	6	2	246	325	416	741	170	276	19	8	329	111	+5	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.9
2035	31	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	345	307	74	14	1	11	28	68	7	5	2	242	320	406	726	164	273	20	8	323	107	+3	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.6
2036	32	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	336	300	71	13	1	11	27	68	6	4	3	236	314	392	706	156	269	20	8	315	101	+1	-0	-3	-2	+7	0.3
2037	33	MLB CTX	LAD	72%	271	242	56	10	1	8	22	56	5	3	4	230	306	376	683	147	265	21	8	306	95	-2	-1	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3333	2958	733	137	13	117	278	632	69	61	22	248	327	422	748	174	277	19	8	332	114	+50	+3	-11	-20	+72	9.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	144	27	3	23	54	123	13	12	4	250	328	426	754	177	278	19	8	332	114	+10	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5665	5012	1269	246	29	194	471	1037	135	113	32	253	334	430	764	177	282	18	8	336	114	+81	+7	-16	-30	+109	15.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	145	28	3	22	54	119	15	13	4	252	332	426	758	174	281	18	8	336	114	+10	+1	-2	-4	+14	2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 530 PAwOBA .403 → .334 (−69)K% 10.8% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.75%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	13.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.70%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	8.29%
HBP% /PA	4.15%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	3.27%
Singles /BIP	18.85%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.972	×0.998	16.81%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.972	×0.998	5.96%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.972	×0.998	0.65%
Home runs /BIP	6.28%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	5.02%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .403 → .334; ISO .244 → .201; BABIP .286 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 37 PAwOBA .539 → .441 (−98)K% 13.5% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.51%	÷0.987	×1.360	—	—	18.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.11%	÷0.981	×0.690	—	—	5.70%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	—	0.00%
Singles /BIP	41.38%	÷1.004	×0.920	—	—	37.91%
Doubles /BIP	10.34%	÷1.054	×0.830	—	—	8.14%
Triples /BIP	3.45%	÷1.150	×0.910	—	—	2.73%
Home runs /BIP	3.45%	÷1.055	×0.800	—	—	2.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .539 → .441; ISO .235 → .177; BABIP .571 → .501. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Cody Rosslast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA	5.6	3,733	131	33	264	324	449	-13	-12	15.1	15.6
/162	664	23	6	-2.3	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#4Rick Reichardt'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,685 PA	5.5	3,685	116	40	271*	334*	465*	-33	-4	13.2	13.5
/162	664	21	7	-5.9	-0.7	2.4	pk7: 14
#5Mike Davis'80-'89 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,298 PA	5.0	3,298	91	134	256*	313*	432*	-31	+13	11.4	12.4
/162	664	18	27	-6.2	+2.5	2.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,341	112	60	252	328	426	-20	+2	12.5	11.7
/162	664	22	12	-4.0	+0.4	2.5	pk7: 11
#6Mark Whiten'90-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,521 PA	5.3	3,521	105	78	251*	332*	421*	-35	+22	11.8	11.5
/162	664	20	15	-6.6	+4.2	2.2	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charles Davalan (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	257/337/440	183	284	8	4	18%	8%	121	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tommy La Stella 2012 · A	23	53→55	51→55	48→50	48	267/321/437	170	293	18	5	16%	6%	113	+2.3	270/331/393	123	298	9	9	12%	7%	105	+1.7	269/335/437	168	266	21	1	9%	8%	119	+1.2
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	51→58	51→50	55→60	46	258/315/416	158	303	19	16	22%	7%	106	+1.8	233/303/380	147	291	16	24	25%	8%	93	+0.8	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3
●Vinnie Pasquantino 2022 · AA	24	47→51	55→60	52→40	52	246/315/438	191	263	22	6	17%	8%	111	+2.1	254/325/441	187	265	22	4	14%	9%	116	+2.5	258/321/454	196	268	25	2	15%	8%	118	+2.6
★Alex Gordon 2007 · AA	23	53→62	56→55	53→50	50	270/349/470	200	327	24	16	24%	9%	131	+3.6	253/327/422	169	308	17	13	23%	8%	112	+2.2	287/354/463	176	341	18	11	20%	9%	132	+4.2
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	48→54	53→55	48→50	55	248/331/424	176	279	20	12	19%	10%	114	+2.3	245/342/416	171	293	17	14	21%	12%	116	+2.5	247/348/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	118	+2.0
●Gaby Sanchez 2007 · A	23	47→56	54→55	49→45	56	243/328/428	185	255	22	9	16%	10%	114	+2.3	249/318/398	149	285	14	8	17%	8%	103	+1.5	267/340/436	170	290	19	4	15%	9%	120	+2.6
●Gavin Lux 2021 · MLB	23	51→60	53→50	49→50	47	258/317/433	175	318	20	10	25%	8%	110	+2.1	258/327/390	132	325	11	8	22%	9%	103	+1.6	267/342/390	122	340	8	5	22%	10%	110	+1.7
●Travis Shaw 2013 · AA	23	45→52	51→60	49→45	47	229/304/397	169	298	17	9	28%	9%	98	+1.2	227/296/376	149	286	16	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	246/323/457	211	279	27	7	22%	10%	120	+2.6
●Kole Calhoun 2012 · A	24	50→58	51→60	48→50	50	253/321/421	167	308	18	11	24%	9%	109	+2.0	262/324/429	167	315	17	11	21%	8%	112	+2.2	266/328/436	170	312	19	3	20%	8%	116	+2.6
●Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→58	52→40	48→50	51	248/325/415	167	283	19	12	20%	8%	109	+2.0	254/348/353	99	314	9	12	20%	11%	104	+1.6	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	54→55	59→55	49	249/340/438	188	306	20	19	24%	9%	120	+2.8	251/351/417	166	310	16	23	23%	10%	120	+2.8	256/348/440	184	314	21	11	24%	10%	125	+3.4
●Danny Richar 2006 · A	23	49→59	53→55	51→50	44	252/292/437	184	276	20	8	18%	5%	102	+1.5	255/301/400	145	297	13	11	18%	6%	96	+1.0	255/303/395	140	300	12	12	19%	6%	94	+0.8
●Stephen Drew 2006 · AA	23	51→57	56→55	43→45	50	263/328/463	201	308	23	7	22%	8%	122	+2.9	257/308/420	163	296	16	6	18%	7%	103	+1.6	268/323/446	179	301	15	6	16%	7%	116	+2.6
✕Leo Heras 2013 · AAA	23	57→67	48→50	54→55	48	281/331/425	144	313	15	18	16%	6%	114	+2.3	242/308/374	132	298	11	18	21%	8%	93	+0.8	242/316/372	130	313	11	18	24%	9%	93	+0.5
★Gunnar Henderson 2024 · MLB	23	49→56	55→60	55	49	250/326/449	199	320	22	13	28%	10%	117	+2.6	259/334/459	200	307	23	17	23%	9%	123	+3.0	252/331/444	192	295	22	17	22%	9%	119	+3.2
●Kelly Johnson 2006 · MLB	24	50→58	52→55	53→50	56	254/337/433	179	291	19	10	20%	11%	118	+2.6	270/350/443	173	318	16	10	19%	11%	124	+3.1	264/337/440	177	307	17	11	19%	10%	120	+2.6
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Andy LaRoche 2007 · AAA	23	53→57	54→55	45	50	271/333/448	178	304	22	8	19%	8%	120	+2.8	249/326/399	150	278	17	7	17%	10%	106	+1.8	240/324/380	140	265	15	5	15%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	49→50	51→60	55→50	46	248/306/409	161	285	19	19	20%	6%	101	+1.4	236/301/422	186	274	22	15	22%	8%	102	+1.5	227/293/421	194	258	25	15	23%	8%	100	+1.1

Charles Davalan

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps