Charles DavalanOF Great Lakes Loons
Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 190 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION352 act + 234 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†106
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .327 / .399
PA234
HR7
SB7
K%18
BB%9
BABIP268
ISO160
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -0.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +3.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +16.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +1.60+1.6WAR
0.01.42.70.01.82.02.22.22.22.11.8+$91M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 44
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT58
scouting grade only
POWER44
scouting grade only
EYE58
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
DEFENSE51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$14M+$13M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.2$14M+$13M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.2$13M+$12M
2031Arb-1$4M+2.2$12M+$9M
2032Arb-2$7M+2.1$11M+$7M
2033Arb-3$9M+1.8$8M+$4M
Totals $23M $72M +$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 3735 14211 270 30 4004326001.032 200481 195 428 186
202521 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 3734 17311 350 30 5005417351.276 235571 148 554 282
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+LAD 352303 6815110 335313 151 224327380706 155239 159 308 94 -2 +3 +0 -2 +10 0.8
YTD22 A+LAD 352289 7718112 473913 151 266393460853 194270 1113 380 149 +19 +3 +0 -2 +10 3.0
ROS22 A+LAD 0% 234205 491017 21436 71 238327399725 160269 189 324 106 +2 +1 -0 -1 +7 0.8
ROS22 MLBLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 266 00 301 89 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 0.0
FULL22 A+LAD 353304 6815110 335313 151 224326378704 155238 159 308 94 -2 +3 -0 -2 +10 0.8
TOT22 A+LAD 586508 11725217 549619 222 230327387714 157250 169 314 99 -1 +4 -0 -4 +17 1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBLAD 43% 581511 12325317 5310812 142 241326401728 160270 199 323 105 +4 +2 -1 -3 +16 1.8
202824 MLBLAD 58% 609536 13026318 5511413 142 243328403731 160272 199 326 107 +5 +2 -1 -4 +17 2.0
202925 MLBLAD 65% 627552 13427319 5711813 152 243328406734 163273 199 327 108 +6 +2 -1 -4 +18 2.2
203026 MLBLAD 68% 638562 13727320 5812013 152 244329409738 165274 199 328 109 +6 +2 -1 -4 +18 2.2
203127 MLBLAD 68% 633556 13527319 5912013 152 243330405734 162273 199 328 109 +6 +2 -1 -4 +18 2.2
203228 MLBLAD 68% 625549 13326319 5911912 142 242329404733 162273 199 327 108 +6 +2 -2 -4 +18 2.1
203329 MLBLAD 66% 616541 12926218 5811912 132 238326394719 155272 199 325 107 +5 +2 -2 -4 +17 1.8
203430 MLBLAD 66% 605531 12625218 5711812 132 237325394719 156271 209 322 105 +3 +2 -3 -4 +17 1.6
203531 MLBLAD 65% 594521 12224217 5611812 122 234323386708 152269 209 318 102 +1 +2 -4 -4 +17 1.2
203632 MLBLAD 65% 583512 11823216 5511811 112 230318377695 146266 209 312 97 -2 +1 -4 -3 +17 0.8
203733 MLBLAD 65% 504442 10019213 4710410 91 226315367681 140262 219 305 92 -5 +1 -5 -3 +14 0.3
203834 MLBLAD 60% 425375 8215111 39918 71 219306352658 133256 219 297 85 -7 +1 -6 -3 +12 -0.2
203935 MLBLAD 56% 360317 651118 33807 61 205294322616 117250 229 286 77 -9 +1 -6 -2 +10 -0.7
202723 MLBLAD 43% 252222 521017 23475 61 234320383703 149266 199 303 90 -3 +1 -0 -2 +7 0.3
202824 MLBLAD 58% 353311 7415210 32667 81 238323395718 158268 199 306 93 -3 +1 -1 -2 +10 0.6
202925 MLBLAD 65% 407359 8617212 37768 91 240324398723 159269 199 308 94 -3 +1 -1 -2 +12 0.7
203026 MLBLAD 68% 434382 9118213 40829 101 238325398723 160270 199 309 94 -3 +2 -1 -3 +12 0.8
203127 MLBLAD 68% 430378 9118213 40819 101 241328402730 161270 199 309 94 -3 +2 -1 -3 +12 0.8
203228 MLBLAD 68% 425374 9018213 40818 91 241327404731 163269 199 308 94 -3 +1 -1 -3 +12 0.7
203329 MLBLAD 66% 409359 8617212 39798 91 240328398726 159268 1910 306 92 -4 +1 -2 -2 +12 0.6
203430 MLBLAD 66% 397349 8116111 37778 81 232320378698 146267 199 303 90 -4 +1 -2 -2 +11 0.4
203531 MLBLAD 65% 386339 7815111 36768 81 230319378696 147265 209 300 87 -5 +1 -2 -2 +11 0.2
203632 MLBLAD 65% 377332 7414110 35767 71 223310361672 139262 209 294 83 -7 +1 -3 -2 +11 -0.0
203733 MLBLAD 65% 325286 631218 30676 61 220307353661 133258 219 288 78 -8 +1 -3 -2 +9 -0.3
203834 MLBLAD 60% 255224 48916 24545 41 214304344648 129252 219 279 72 -8 +0 -3 -2 +7 -0.5
203935 MLBLAD 56% 200176 37615 18444 30 210298341639 131246 229 269 64 -8 +1 -3 -1 +6 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 46514092 95118519131 43190692 9712 232319383702 151266 199 301 88 -62 +15 -22 -28 +132 3.5
/ 162G 650572 13326318 6012713 142 233319383702 150267 209 301 88 -9 +2 -3 -4 +18 0.5
Career 76716745 159731332221 7091497154 16824 237323391714 154272 209 320 103 +24 +24 -36 -46 +217 18.7
/ 162G 650572 13627319 6012713 142 238324395719 157273 209 320 103 +2 +2 -3 -4 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 3734 17311 350 30 5005417351.276 235571 148 554 282 +8 +1 +1 0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1José Cruz Jr.last yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA
94,17915381247336445-35-717.417.2
/1626642413-5.6-1.12.8pk7: 17
#2Eric Byrneslast yr '09
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA
83,440106125260321441-21+314.915.2
/1626642024-4.1+0.62.9pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
84,65113598237320392-28+312.311.0
/1626641914-4.0+0.51.8pk7: 10
#3Raul Mondesilast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA
62,60410889251326456-20-610.810.8
/1626642823-5.1-1.52.7pk7: 11
#4Travis Leelast yr '06
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA
63,1478434257336412-36-39.09.0
/162664187-7.6-0.71.9pk7: 9
#5Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA
62,3275593245323394-9+108.18.1
/1626641627-2.5+2.72.3pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Charles Davalan (OGILVIE) 22 41→58 38→44 57→56 58 230/327/387 157250 1722 16% 9% 99 +1.6
Graham Pauley
2023 · A
22 45→52 46→55 48→50 52 224/303/356 132269 1312 22% 9% 86 +0.8 237/303/415 178282 2211 24% 8% 102 +1.8 230/299/411181267231123%8%96+1.1
Andrew Benintendi
2016 · A
22 50→60 50→55 47→50 48 253/309/406 153285 1811 18% 7% 102 +1.8 255/320/406 151290 1315 16% 8% 105 +2.1 268/340/434166315161319%9%119+3.1
LaMonte Wade Jr.
2016 · A
22 46→56 45→55 55→45 54 229/308/356 127264 1310 19% 9% 88 +0.9 237/317/348 111278 118 18% 9% 90 +1.0 247/347/44019227924420%12%124+2.4
Brian Goodwin
2013 · AA
22 47→53 46→60 48→50 49 229/305/362 133299 1313 27% 9% 89 +0.9 214/286/331 117295 1013 29% 9% 72 -0.2 245/312/443198315231128%8%108+1.4
Drew Gilbert
2023 · A
22 48 47→50 53→45 48 239/298/376 137272 1516 19% 7% 89 +1.0 226/295/379 153275 189 24% 8% 89 +1.0 216/291/37616025519823%8%84+0.5
Domonic Brown
2010 · AA
22 51→54 46→55 53→55 47 251/308/386 136311 1317 23% 7% 95 +1.4 251/312/396 145310 1416 23% 8% 100 +1.7 252/316/413162285181118%8%101+1.4
Matt Duffy
2014 · A
23 51→61 46→45 53→50 50 253/313/385 132289 1416 18% 8% 97 +1.5 278/324/394 116330 915 18% 6% 103 +1.9 283/337/38910632891216%6%105+1.8
Brandon Jones
2006 · A
22 52→53 47→55 47→50 51 253/324/398 145304 137 21% 9% 105 +2.1 243/293/390 147308 1511 25% 6% 90 +1.0 249/305/383134313121023%7%91+1.0
Dustin Harris
2022 · A
23 50→51 52→55 55→60 46 256/312/420 164298 2016 22% 7% 107 +2.2 230/299/387 157287 1824 26% 8% 92 +1.2 236/306/357121292133322%8%85+0.6
Colt Keith
2023 · A
21 49→54 49→55 53→45 44 238/301/393 155334 168 32% 8% 95 +1.4 255/311/423 168318 205 25% 7% 106 +2.2 260/320/42516531620423%8%108+2.0
Justin Yurchak
2018 · A
21 51→61 44→45 49→40 53 251/319/370 119297 124 19% 9% 95 +1.4 229/292/323 94289 73 22% 8% 72 -0.2 283/345/39311035111221%8%110+1.4
Chris Coghlan
2008 · A
23 48→58 46→50 55 50 237/300/377 140271 1215 18% 8% 90 +1.0 274/341/402 128319 918 16% 8% 113 +2.6 289/358/41612733791916%9%119+2.8
Nicky Lopez
2017 · A
22 47→57 42→40 57→55 51 229/304/337 108264 1017 17% 8% 82 +0.5 248/300/333 85280 513 13% 6% 77 +0.1 266/326/3508430641413%8%90+0.8
Brett Baty
2022 · AA
22 53→58 49→55 46→45 44 254/319/405 152356 168 32% 8% 105 +2.1 251/316/422 171330 235 29% 8% 109 +2.4 240/310/40916930424328%8%99+1.3
Drew Avans
2019 · A
23 46→55 48→50 56→60 50 230/303/374 143281 1518 24% 9% 90 +1.0 227/285/354 127322 1222 31% 7% 78 +0.2 229/293/35212333593332%7%76+0.0
Ryan Wheeler
2010 · A
22 49→54 45 48→40 47 241/312/368 127299 128 23% 8% 93 +1.3 248/290/367 119318 124 25% 5% 82 +0.5 252/294/37612431912324%5%85+0.6
Daulton Varsho
2019 · A
23 47→49 47→60 55→50 42 237/293/366 130303 1518 27% 6% 85 +0.7 242/305/419 177281 2117 21% 7% 103 +1.9 227/294/419192260251523%8%96+1.3
Miguel Vargas
2022 · AA
22 50→53 52→55 51→50 44 256/304/419 164299 209 22% 6% 103 +1.9 229/306/389 160271 1712 22% 9% 96 +1.5 221/322/407185244211119%12%106+1.7
Gavin Lux
2020 · MLB
22 50→60 50 49→50 45 251/305/411 160314 1811 26% 7% 101 +1.8 254/319/403 149320 159 24% 9% 105 +2.1 267/342/3891223389522%10%108+1.8
Adam Eaton
2011 · A
22 55→65 44→45 51→55 45 263/341/384 121337 1015 24% 7% 110 +2.4 276/353/388 112334 823 18% 8% 115 +2.7 285/357/41212733991517%8%119+3.3