Casey Steward
P
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 260 lbs
A+
peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 122
ERA5.42
FIP5.42
K%16.0%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%1.7%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.7% | 36.7% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 6.34 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.7% | 36.7% | -20.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 6.93 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 103 | 438 | 101 | 50 | 5 | 91% | 4.7 | 17.4% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 3.42 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 103 | 438 | 101 | 50 | 5 | 91% | 4.7 | 23.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 1.1% | 3.42 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 25 | 19 | 88 | 407 | 80 | 44 | 9 | 76% | 3.5 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.93 | 4.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 25 | 19 | 88 | 407 | 80 | 44 | 9 | 76% | 3.5 | 19.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 5.93 | 4.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 45 | 40 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.0% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.6% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 53 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.6% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.13 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 126 | 533 | 98 | 68 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 4.67 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 155 | 108 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 39 | 197 | 875 | 143 | 120 | 16 | 75% | 3.8 | 16.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.53 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 40 | 200 | 890 | 145 | 122 | 16 | 75% | 3.8 | 16.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.53 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Casey Steward (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 16.0% | 14.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.06 | 18.4% | 5.6% | 203 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 87 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 85 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 85 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 84 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 83 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.05 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 99 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 327 | 82 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 81 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 81 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 81 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 81 |
| Zach Fruit R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 1.8% | .258 | 4.83 | 15.4% | -0.2% | 44 | +0.57 | 4.26 | 151 | 80 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 79 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 79 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 78 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 78 |
| Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 78 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 78 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 17.8% | 13.1% | 1.06 | 5.18 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |