Casey Steward — OGILVIE

Casey Steward P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 260 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%16.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%2.2%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF3550

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	6	30	5	11	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	36.7%	-20.0%	0.0%	3.00	6.34	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	6	30	5	11	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	36.7%	-20.0%	0.0%	3.00	6.93	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	103	438	101	50	5	91%	4.7	17.4%	13.3%	4.1%	1.4%	3.42	4.06	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	103	438	101	50	5	91%	4.7	17.4%	13.3%	4.1%	1.4%	3.42	4.06	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	20	103	438	101	50	5	91%	4.7	23.1%	11.4%	11.6%	1.1%	3.42	3.23	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	25	19	88	407	80	44	9	76%	3.5	15.1%	12.4%	2.7%	2.6%	5.93	4.85	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	25	19	88	407	80	44	9	76%	3.5	15.1%	12.4%	2.7%	2.6%	5.93	4.85	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	25	19	88	407	80	44	9	76%	3.5	19.7%	10.8%	8.8%	2.2%	5.93	4.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	PHI	12	12	70	296	48	42	8	100%	5.8	16.3%	14.1%	2.2%	2.9%	5.46	5.46	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	79	334	59	45	10	100%	6.1	17.7%	13.5%	4.2%	2.9%	5.31	5.28	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	78	329	60	44	10	100%	6.0	18.1%	13.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.24	5.25	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	76	320	58	42	10	100%	5.8	18.3%	13.2%	5.0%	3.0%	5.25	5.29	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	PHI	12	12	72	305	55	41	10	100%	6.0	18.1%	13.4%	4.8%	3.2%	5.33	5.39	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	68	287	51	39	10	100%	6.2	17.8%	13.7%	4.1%	3.4%	5.47	5.57	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	34	144	25	19	4	100%	5.7	17.7%	13.5%	4.2%	2.9%	5.31	5.28	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	49	207	37	27	6	100%	6.1	18.1%	13.3%	4.8%	2.9%	5.24	5.25	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	57	241	44	32	7	100%	5.7	18.3%	13.2%	5.0%	3.0%	5.25	5.29	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	59	249	45	33	8	100%	5.9	18.1%	13.4%	4.8%	3.2%	5.33	5.39	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	58	245	44	33	8	100%	5.8	17.8%	13.7%	4.1%	3.4%	5.47	5.57	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	43	257	1086	196	146	34	100%	6.0	18.0%	13.4%	4.6%	3.1%	5.32	4.99	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	152	114	26	100%	6.0	18.0%	13.4%	4.6%	3.1%	5.32	4.99	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		52	39	197	875	143	120	17	75%	3.8	16.3%	13.7%	2.6%	1.9%	4.53	4.51	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	40	200	890	145	122	17	75%	3.8	16.3%	13.7%	2.6%	1.9%	4.53	4.51	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Casey Steward (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	16.3%	14.1%	2.9%	—	5.27	18.0%	4.7%	233	-0.19	—	—	—
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	87
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	87
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	86
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	86
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	85
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	85
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	82
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	82
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	81
Zach Fruit R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	19.3%	14.1%	1.9%	.258	5.03	15.4%	-0.2%	44	+0.74	4.29	151	81
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	80
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	80
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	79
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	79
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	79
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	79
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	78
Tyler Schlaffer R 2024 · 5.08 FIP	23	SP-	5.08	14.5%	13.3%	2.8%	.298	4.13	20.3%	7.7%	190	-0.95	3.79	399	78
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	78
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	74	17.7%	13.5%	1.18	5.34
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99