Kaleb Corbett
P
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 116
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%17.8%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%5.1%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 29 | 0 | 41 | 185 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 5.23 | 3.70 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 29 | 0 | 41 | 185 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 1.1% | 5.23 | 2.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 17 | 2 | 39 | 169 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 12% | 2.3 | 13.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 7.4% | 5.54 | 7.42 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.8% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 96 | 410 | 72 | 47 | 17 | — | — | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.30 | 6.07 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.8% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 46 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 47 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 47 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 108 | 454 | 87 | 53 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.52 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 99 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 2 | 80 | 354 | 56 | 41 | 14 | 4% | 1.7 | 15.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 5 | 200 | 881 | 138 | 102 | 36 | 4% | 1.7 | 15.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kaleb Corbett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.90 | 19.2% | 7.5% | 172 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 93 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 90 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.71 | 18.3% | 13.7% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 156 | 89 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 88 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 88 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 88 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 88 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 88 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 88 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 87 |
| Matthew Gorst R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 199 | 87 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 87 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.78 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .316 | 6.43 | 12.6% | -6.5% | 33 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 210 | 87 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 87 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 15.7% | 10.5% | 1.8% | .337 | 4.25 | 19.9% | 9.0% | 44 | +0.18 | 4.07 | 105 | 86 |
| Cade Denton R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.96 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 127 | 86 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.50 | 19.8% | 15.3% | 2.1% | .283 | 4.49 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 139 | -0.01 | 3.34 | 252 | 86 |
| Ryan Moseley R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 16.9% | 11.9% | 1.8% | .282 | 5.24 | 14.1% | 1.1% | 48 | +1.08 | 4.09 | 264 | 86 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 15.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | .351 | 4.21 | 13.6% | 3.0% | 114 | -1.38 | 3.69 | 162 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 1.10 | 4.98 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |