Kaleb Corbett — OGILVIE

Kaleb Corbett P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%17.8%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%4.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	1.2%	5.23	3.78	—
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	1.2%	5.23	3.78	—
2025	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	41	185	45	19	2	0%	1.4	24.3%	10.3%	14.1%	1.1%	5.23	2.93	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	12.8%	12.6%	0.2%	6.2%	5.65	7.01	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	12.8%	12.6%	0.2%	6.2%	5.65	7.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	TB	29	5	64	283	47	31	14	17%	2.2	16.6%	11.0%	5.7%	4.9%	5.65	5.80	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	TB	5	0	5	22	4	3	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	13.3%	4.5%	2.8%	5.21	5.21	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	69	305	51	34	15	—	—	16.7%	11.1%	5.6%	4.8%	5.62	6.87	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	60	0	63	267	50	33	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.2%	6.5%	2.8%	5.05	5.00	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	60	0	63	267	51	32	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.8%	4.96	4.93	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	26	0	27	114	21	14	3	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.2%	6.5%	2.8%	5.05	5.00	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	40	0	42	177	34	21	5	0%	1.1	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	2.8%	4.96	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	292	56	35	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.1%	7.0%	2.8%	5.00	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	101	23	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.1%	7.0%	2.8%	5.00	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		58	5	105	468	69	58	20	9%	1.8	14.8%	12.4%	2.4%	4.2%	5.49	5.73	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	10	200	891	132	111	38	9%	1.8	14.8%	12.4%	2.4%	4.2%	5.49	5.73	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kaleb Corbett (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	17.8%	13.3%	2.8%	—	4.96	19.0%	6.9%	126	-0.25	—	—	—
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	91
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	88
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	87
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	87
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	87
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	86
Matt Lollis R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	18.5%	12.2%	2.7%	.237	4.95	19.2%	4.7%	56	+0.39	4.56	120	86
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	86
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	86
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	86
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	86
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	86
Matthew Gorst R 2019 · 4.66 FIP	24	SU	4.66	16.2%	11.3%	2.7%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	199	85
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	85
John Matthews R 2022 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	16.5%	13.0%	2.1%	.264	5.00	14.5%	-0.5%	70	+0.49	4.51	213	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	18.6%	12.5%	1.10	5.07
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04