Charles Nova — OGILVIE

Charles NovaIF DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .279 / .288

PA65

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	133	118	19	2	0	0	10	31	2	4	3	161	238	178	416	17	211	23	8	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	133	112	25	3	0	0	16	22	2	4	3	223	331	250	581	27	269	17	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	123	111	14	2	0	0	9	27	3	4	2	126	211	144	356	18	167	22	7	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	123	105	18	3	0	0	15	18	3	4	2	171	293	200	493	29	207	15	12	245	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	123	104	17	3	0	1	14	29	2	8	1	163	275	221	496	58	208	24	11	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	123	95	20	4	0	1	23	21	2	8	1	211	375	284	659	74	250	17	19	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	KC	—	65	59	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	203	277	288	565	85	284	26	8	262	59	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	116	105	24	4	1	2	9	30	1	2	0	229	296	343	639	114	286	26	8	273	67	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	252	227	50	9	1	4	20	64	3	4	1	220	292	322	614	101	287	25	8	281	74	-8	+0	+0	+0	+7	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	350	315	70	12	2	6	28	88	4	6	1	222	294	330	624	108	289	25	8	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	410	369	83	14	2	8	33	103	5	7	2	225	297	339	636	114	289	25	8	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+0	+12	0.3
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	448	404	92	16	3	9	36	112	5	7	2	228	299	349	648	121	289	25	8	292	81	-9	+1	+0	+0	+13	0.4
2032	27	MLB	KC	59%	466	420	95	16	3	10	38	117	5	8	2	226	298	350	648	124	289	25	8	292	81	-10	+1	+0	+0	+13	0.4
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	40	37	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	216	275	324	599	108	282	25	8	262	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	122	110	24	4	1	2	10	31	1	2	0	218	289	327	617	109	284	25	8	270	65	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	185	166	36	6	1	3	15	47	2	3	1	217	290	319	609	102	285	25	8	275	69	-7	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	224	201	45	8	1	4	18	56	3	4	1	224	297	333	631	109	286	25	8	278	71	-7	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.1
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	249	224	49	8	1	5	20	62	3	4	1	219	291	330	622	112	285	25	8	280	72	-8	+0	+0	+0	+7	-0.0
2032	27	MLB	KC	59%	276	248	56	9	2	6	23	69	3	4	1	226	299	351	650	125	285	25	8	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+0	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1096	986	218	36	6	21	89	275	12	18	4	221	293	334	627	113	283	25	8	277	70	-37	+2	+0	+0	+31	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	21	4	12	53	163	7	11	2	221	293	332	625	111	283	25	8	277	70	-22	+1	+0	+0	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2486	2232	476	80	12	41	202	618	31	51	14	213	288	315	603	102	274	25	8	273	67	-93	+5	+0	+0	+70	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	125	21	3	11	53	162	8	13	4	214	288	317	605	103	275	25	8	273	67	-24	+1	+0	+0	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	133	112	25	3	0	16	22	2	4	3	223	331	250	581	27	269	17	12	274	68	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	123	105	18	3	0	15	18	3	4	2	171	293	200	493	29	207	15	12	245	45	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	123	95	20	4	1	23	21	2	8	1	211	375	284	659	74	250	17	19	311	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,161	22	19	226	295	340	+0	+0	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	11	226	295	340	+0.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charles Nova (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	209/279/288	80	284	1	1	26%	8%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Stanley Martinez 2018 · A	21	42	41→45	49→50	46	203/276/300	97	261	8	8	25%	7%	61	-1.0	227/289/332	105	321	9	7	30%	7%	74	-0.1	220/280/293	72	342	5	3	34%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	57	-1.2	192/266/288	96	314	7	8	38%	8%	53	-1.5	150/245/272	121	261	13	9	44%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A	21	45	39→45	47→50	42	211/286/293	83	298	6	9	29%	7%	63	-0.8	212/300/319	107	275	8	11	24%	8%	76	+0.1	187/295/308	121	227	11	15	21%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Zack Larson 2015 · A	21	45→35	39→45	52→50	40	217/270/299	82	292	6	11	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/247/252	62	266	2	10	28%	6%	35	-2.8	164/223/206	43	232	0	12	27%	6%	13	-3.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→46	39→55	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	56	-1.3	215/291/294	79	285	6	17	24%	8%	66	-0.6	226/298/350	124	305	12	20	28%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	45	-2.1	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	56	-1.3	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	58	-0.2
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	39→40	53→55	44	205/260/298	92	275	5	6	27%	7%	52	-1.6	224/299/302	78	328	5	17	30%	8%	70	-0.3	213/301/307	94	348	8	27	37%	9%	69	-0.1
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	47	208/281/306	98	256	9	11	22%	7%	64	-0.8	203/257/317	114	247	12	9	23%	6%	56	-1.3	233/276/386	153	263	18	9	19%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Alexis Hernandez 2023 · A	20	40	38→50	47→50	46	191/256/270	79	241	6	11	23%	7%	44	-2.1	209/284/304	95	294	8	17	30%	8%	65	-0.7	196/277/321	126	268	14	17	31%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7