Eliseo Mota — OGILVIE

Eliseo Mota P Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%16.9%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%4.7%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	8	3	16	85	14	9	3	38%	2.0	11.2%	13.2%	-2.0%	5.3%	7.16	6.74	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	8	3	16	85	14	9	3	38%	2.0	16.5%	10.6%	5.9%	3.5%	7.16	5.43	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	44	184	37	12	1	100%	4.0	13.7%	8.2%	5.5%	0.8%	2.66	3.39	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	44	184	37	12	1	100%	4.0	13.7%	8.2%	5.5%	0.8%	2.66	3.39	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	11	11	44	184	37	12	1	100%	4.0	20.1%	6.5%	13.6%	0.5%	2.66	2.53	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	11	5	32	144	23	20	1	45%	2.9	10.9%	17.4%	-6.5%	1.0%	3.38	4.94	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	11	5	32	144	23	20	1	45%	2.9	10.9%	17.4%	-6.5%	1.0%	3.38	4.94	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	11	5	32	144	23	20	1	45%	2.9	16.0%	13.9%	2.1%	0.7%	3.38	3.94	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	45	198	33	19	0	0%	1.8	11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.22	3.59	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	45	198	33	19	0	0%	1.8	11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	0.0%	3.22	3.59	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	45	198	33	19	0	0%	1.8	16.7%	9.6%	7.1%	0.0%	3.22	2.90	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	56	252	60	35	6	0%	1.4	17.8%	16.2%	1.7%	3.0%	4.34	5.30	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	39	0	56	252	60	35	6	0%	1.4	17.8%	16.2%	1.7%	3.0%	4.34	5.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	DET	21	0	33	137	43	16	2	0%	1.6	31.4%	11.7%	19.7%	1.5%	3.00	2.73	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	DET	18	0	23	115	17	19	4	0%	1.3	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	3.5%	6.26	5.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	56	237	44	26	7	0%	1.0	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.90	4.81	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	57	240	48	25	7	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	2.7%	4.72	4.63	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	23	0	24	101	19	11	3	0%	1.0	18.7%	11.1%	7.6%	2.7%	4.90	4.81	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	36	0	38	160	32	17	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	2.7%	4.72	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	50	28	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.6%	8.7%	2.7%	4.79	4.32	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	91	23	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.6%	8.7%	2.7%	4.79	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		94	19	193	863	118	115	15	20%	2.1	13.7%	13.3%	0.4%	1.7%	3.78	4.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	20	200	894	123	119	16	20%	2.1	13.7%	13.3%	0.4%	1.7%	3.78	4.58	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eliseo Mota (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	16.9%	12.2%	2.7%	—	4.72	19.3%	8.5%	113	-0.39	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	93
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	89
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Tayler Scott R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SU	4.48	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.39	3.22	528	87
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	87
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	86
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	86
Bubba Hall R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SU	4.30	15.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.237	3.19	20.2%	13.9%	68	-1.11	3.19	101	86
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	86
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	85
Stephen Perakslis R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	14.6%	9.9%	2.6%	.254	3.99	16.9%	9.9%	190	-0.55	3.07	211	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	84
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	84
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	18.8%	11.0%	1.06	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99