Ethan AndersonC
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 22
S/R
6'1" / 215 lbs
AA
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 2.6 · 2030
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .299 / .346
PA320
HR6
SB6
K%23
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
42→42
SPD
47→47
FLD
47→47
EYE
49↗54
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.7peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +2.4 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.6 | $23M | +$23M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.6 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.5 | $24M | +$19M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.3 | $23M | +$15M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +2.0 | $20M | +$10M |
| Totals | $25M | $135M | +$110M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 83 | 76 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 2 | .224 | .280 | .342 | .623 | .118 | .286 | 24 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | 3 teams | 446 | 403 | 83 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 101 | 2 | 17 | 5 | .206 | .271 | .273 | .544 | .067 | .259 | 23 | 8 | .246 | 46 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 56 | 48 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .292 | .393 | .396 | .789 | .104 | .382 | 23 | 12 | .347 | 124 | +2 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BAL | 264 | 236 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 2 | .237 | .313 | .352 | .665 | .114 | .298 | 23 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +7 | 0.9 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 284 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 74 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .246 | .327 | .359 | .686 | .113 | .312 | 23 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +9 | 1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 12% | BAL | 430 | 384 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 93 | 4 | 8 | 3 | .242 | .319 | .365 | .683 | .122 | .295 | 22 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 27% | BAL | 478 | 426 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 102 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .244 | .322 | .373 | .695 | .129 | .295 | 21 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +9 | +14 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | BAL | 503 | 445 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 107 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .245 | .325 | .378 | .703 | .133 | .296 | 21 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -0 | +9 | +14 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | BAL | 516 | 456 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 110 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .248 | .329 | .386 | .715 | .138 | .296 | 21 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -0 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 77% | BAL | 519 | 458 | 113 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 111 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .247 | .329 | .384 | .713 | .138 | .296 | 21 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -0 | +9 | +15 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | BAL | 516 | 455 | 111 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 112 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .244 | .327 | .376 | .703 | .132 | .296 | 22 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 91% | BAL | 508 | 448 | 109 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 111 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .243 | .326 | .375 | .701 | .132 | .295 | 22 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +14 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 498 | 441 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 111 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .240 | .323 | .367 | .691 | .127 | .294 | 22 | 10 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +14 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 470 | 416 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 106 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .236 | .319 | .358 | .677 | .123 | .292 | 23 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +8 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 438 | 388 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 102 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .235 | .317 | .356 | .673 | .121 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -4 | +8 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 398 | 353 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 95 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .229 | .311 | .343 | .654 | .113 | .289 | 24 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 344 | 304 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 85 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .224 | .308 | .329 | .637 | .105 | .288 | 25 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 287 | 255 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .220 | .302 | .322 | .623 | .102 | .286 | 26 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 229 | 203 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .217 | .300 | .320 | .620 | .103 | .283 | 27 | 10 | .276 | 70 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2041 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 171 | 152 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .284 | .289 | .573 | .086 | .279 | 27 | 9 | .267 | 62 | -7 | +0 | -7 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7098 | 6299 | 1483 | 256 | 29 | 147 | 676 | 1609 | 61 | 125 | 32 | .235 | .316 | .355 | .671 | .120 | .291 | 23 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -78 | +12 | -42 | +127 | +201 | 22.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 135 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 147 | 6 | 11 | 3 | .234 | .315 | .352 | .667 | .118 | .290 | 23 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 20 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | .353 | .450 | .412 | .862 | .059 | .545 | 30 | 15 | .395 | 160 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 63 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .268 | .339 | .446 | .785 | .179 | .298 | 14 | 10 | .341 | 119 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 80 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .215 | .346 | .277 | .623 | .062 | .245 | 16 | 15 | .292 | 81 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 283 | 245 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 51 | 1 | 15 | 3 | .257 | .341 | .355 | .696 | .098 | .308 | 18 | 11 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 83 | 70 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .300 | .402 | .443 | .845 | .143 | .400 | 24 | 14 | .376 | 146 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Anderson (OGILVIE) | 22 | 50 | 42 | 47 | 54 | .229/.299/.346 | .117 | .287 | 6 | 6 | 23% | 8% | 82 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A |
21 | 47→48 | 46→50 | 47→45 | 53 | .232/.316/.369 | .138 | .282 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .228/.308/.369 | .141 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .219/.301/.361 | .142 | .260 | 15 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA |
22 | 44→54 | 47→50 | 47→50 | 43 | .225/.283/.363 | .138 | .279 | 15 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .232/.298/.354 | .122 | .281 | 10 | 16 | 20% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .229/.300/.346 | .118 | .273 | 9 | 17 | 19% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ruben Gotay 2005 · MLB |
22 | 51→49 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 46 | .248/.304/.367 | .119 | .307 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .233/.288/.355 | .122 | .274 | 11 | 7 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .242/.337/.372 | .130 | .294 | 11 | 4 | 20% | 12% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Francisco Mejía 2018 · AA |
22 | 51→61 | 46→55 | 47→40 | 43 | .255/.295/.381 | .126 | .299 | 13 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .242/.286/.391 | .149 | .291 | 16 | 4 | 22% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .258/.304/.423 | .165 | .305 | 16 | 1 | 21% | 5% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
✕Brooks Lee 2023 · A |
22 | 49→48 | 45→50 | 42→45 | 50 | .241/.306/.362 | .121 | .287 | 12 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .238/.290/.375 | .137 | .278 | 14 | 6 | 19% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .236/.287/.374 | .138 | .267 | 16 | 5 | 18% | 6% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Omar Mendoza 2006 · AAA |
23 | 50→54 | 44→45 | 45 | 50 | .244/.302/.371 | .127 | .285 | 10 | 7 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .247/.297/.367 | .120 | .295 | 12 | 8 | 20% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .248/.297/.361 | .113 | .293 | 12 | 9 | 19% | 6% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Jemile Weeks 2010 · AA |
23 | 49→59 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 48 | .240/.305/.358 | .118 | .289 | 12 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .247/.307/.353 | .106 | .293 | 7 | 18 | 17% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .253/.322/.344 | .091 | .305 | 3 | 20 | 17% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 |
|
●Luis Rengifo 2020 · MLB |
23 | 49→55 | 44→50 | 50→55 | 49 | .236/.302/.359 | .123 | .287 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .233/.293/.362 | .129 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 20% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .267/.318/.414 | .147 | .301 | 17 | 16 | 17% | 6% | 105 | +1.6 |
|
●Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2007 · AA |
22 | 46→54 | 48→60 | 43→40 | 45 | .231/.294/.376 | .145 | .290 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .243/.307/.392 | .149 | .314 | 17 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .234/.298/.435 | .201 | .302 | 25 | 2 | 30% | 8% | 101 | +1.3 |
|
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA |
21 | 44→48 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 46 | .219/.283/.344 | .126 | .277 | 12 | 11 | 25% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .225/.282/.353 | .128 | .282 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .224/.278/.351 | .127 | .277 | 13 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2021 · AA |
22 | 51 | 39→45 | 47→50 | 49 | .240/.311/.329 | .088 | .285 | 7 | 8 | 18% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.270/.330 | .118 | .280 | 12 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.267/.344 | .132 | .272 | 16 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Andrés Blanco 2005 · MLB |
21 | 52→47 | 45→50 | 47→50 | 53 | .255/.323/.383 | .129 | .281 | 11 | 11 | 14% | 8% | 101 | +1.8 | .220/.271/.304 | .084 | .260 | 6 | 7 | 17% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .263/.324/.410 | .148 | .309 | 10 | 5 | 18% | 6% | 104 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A |
22 | 44 | 42→45 | 43→30 | 47 | .212/.290/.319 | .108 | .298 | 9 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.282/.343 | .126 | .297 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .241/.325/.370 | .129 | .305 | 12 | 0 | 23% | 11% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA |
22 | 46→52 | 47→60 | 48→50 | 48 | .228/.298/.366 | .138 | .291 | 14 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .216/.287/.334 | .118 | .296 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .243/.309/.437 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 105 | +1.3 |
|
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA |
22 | 48→52 | 44→45 | 42→50 | 46 | .236/.294/.356 | .120 | .303 | 12 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.275/.345 | .129 | .292 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .205/.272/.325 | .121 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2017 · AAA |
22 | 49→58 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 53 | .236/.302/.329 | .092 | .275 | 8 | 12 | 17% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .215/.295/.331 | .116 | .268 | 10 | 8 | 22% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |
|
✕John Aiello 2019 · A |
22 | 47 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .219/.299/.315 | .095 | .320 | 7 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .205/.278/.311 | .106 | .340 | 9 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .226/.306/.342 | .115 | .345 | 12 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A |
22 | 47→49 | 40→45 | 48→45 | 51 | .222/.330/.318 | .096 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 24% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .229/.317/.341 | .112 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .230/.322/.343 | .112 | .289 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
●Christian Vázquez 2014 · AA |
23 | 48→54 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 47 | .236/.295/.352 | .116 | .286 | 12 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .242/.297/.329 | .087 | .301 | 6 | 4 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .263/.314/.411 | .148 | .301 | 18 | 8 | 19% | 7% | 101 | +1.2 |
|
✕Greg Garcia 2013 · AA |
23 | 51→53 | 40 | 46→50 | 50 | .240/.315/.339 | .099 | .299 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.313/.331 | .092 | .309 | 6 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .241/.350/.334 | .093 | .308 | 6 | 3 | 21% | 13% | 99 | +0.8 |