Ethan Anderson — OGILVIE

Ethan AndersonC Chesapeake Baysox

Age 22 S/R 6'1" / 215 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO117

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$56M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$11M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.8	$10M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$8M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$11M	+1.5	$7M	+$2M
Totals		$28M		$55M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	17	6	1	0	0	3	6	0	3	2	353	450	412	862	59	545	30	15	395	154	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	63	56	15	3	2	1	6	9	0	3	0	268	339	446	785	179	298	14	10	341	117	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	21	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	80	65	14	1	0	1	12	13	1	0	0	215	346	277	623	62	245	16	15	292	84	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	283	245	63	13	1	3	31	51	1	15	3	257	341	355	696	98	308	18	11	313	98	-1	+2	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	83	70	21	7	0	1	12	20	0	2	2	300	402	443	845	143	400	24	14	376	141	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	18	5	1	0	0	2	8	0	3	2	278	350	333	683	56	475	40	10	291	83	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	63	58	13	2	2	1	4	12	0	3	0	224	274	379	654	155	254	19	6	272	70	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	21	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	80	69	15	1	0	1	8	15	1	0	0	217	308	275	583	58	244	19	10	260	62	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	283	256	54	10	1	2	22	67	1	15	3	211	276	281	557	70	267	24	8	250	55	-15	+2	—	—	+6	-0.7
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	83	76	18	3	2	1	6	20	0	6	2	237	293	368	661	132	304	24	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	83	73	21	4	2	1	9	15	0	6	2	288	366	438	804	151	345	18	11	354	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	400	84	14	1	3	37	101	2	17	5	210	280	273	553	63	267	23	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	446	380	98	21	1	5	55	84	2	17	5	258	353	358	711	100	312	19	12	321	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	83	77	18	3	2	1	6	20	0	6	2	234	293	364	656	130	307	24	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	404	84	14	1	3	37	101	2	17	5	208	280	270	550	62	262	23	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	83	77	18	3	2	1	6	20	0	6	2	234	293	364	656	130	307	24	7	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	446	404	84	14	1	3	37	101	2	17	5	208	280	270	550	62	262	23	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	BAL	—	376	343	82	12	0	17	29	90	3	6	1	239	304	423	727	184	275	24	8	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	BAL	—	25	23	10	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	435	440	652	1.092	217	500	16	4	467	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	BAL	—	351	303	82	12	0	21	41	69	3	6	1	271	360	518	878	248	286	20	12	383	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	BAL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		278	22	11	304	92	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	BAL	—	385	351	83	12	0	17	30	92	3	6	1	236	302	416	718	179	273	24	8	316	100	+0	+1	-0	+7	+8	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	440	398	95	15	1	14	36	99	3	7	2	239	307	387	694	148	281	22	8	311	96	-2	+1	-0	+8	+10	1.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	485	439	105	17	1	16	40	107	3	8	2	239	307	392	699	153	282	22	8	316	100	-0	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	73%	508	456	111	18	1	18	43	112	4	9	2	243	314	406	720	162	283	22	8	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	519	466	114	19	1	18	44	114	4	9	2	245	315	406	721	161	283	22	8	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	520	466	114	19	1	18	45	115	4	9	2	245	317	406	722	161	283	22	9	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	518	464	112	18	1	18	45	115	4	9	2	241	314	401	715	159	282	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	74%	509	456	110	18	1	17	44	114	4	8	2	241	313	397	710	156	281	22	9	317	101	+0	+1	-2	+9	+11	2.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	BAL	73%	499	448	107	17	1	17	44	113	4	8	2	239	312	395	708	156	280	23	9	314	99	-1	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	BAL	73%	470	423	99	16	1	15	41	108	3	7	1	234	306	383	689	149	278	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	-3	+8	+10	1.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	BAL	72%	439	395	91	14	1	14	38	103	3	6	1	230	303	377	680	147	275	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	-4	+8	+10	1.0
2037	33	MLB MLE	BAL	72%	398	358	81	12	1	12	34	95	3	5	1	226	299	366	665	140	271	24	9	297	87	-6	+1	-4	+7	+9	0.6
2038	34	MLB MLE	BAL	68%	345	310	68	10	0	10	30	85	2	4	1	219	292	348	641	129	265	25	9	289	81	-8	+0	-5	+6	+7	0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	216	196	47	8	0	7	17	49	1	4	1	240	304	388	691	148	285	23	8	312	96	-1	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	316	285	71	12	1	11	26	70	2	5	1	249	316	414	730	165	287	22	8	316	100	-0	+1	-0	+6	+7	1.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	73%	369	332	83	14	1	13	31	81	3	6	1	250	320	416	735	166	287	22	8	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+7	+8	1.6
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	396	357	88	15	1	14	33	87	3	7	1	246	316	412	727	165	288	22	8	320	103	+1	+1	-0	+7	+9	1.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	396	356	88	15	1	14	34	87	3	7	1	247	318	413	731	166	287	22	9	320	103	+1	+1	-0	+7	+9	1.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	394	354	88	15	1	14	34	87	3	7	1	249	320	415	735	167	287	22	9	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+7	+9	1.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	74%	378	339	83	14	1	13	33	85	3	6	1	245	317	407	724	162	286	22	9	317	101	+0	+1	-1	+7	+8	1.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	BAL	73%	366	328	80	13	1	13	32	83	3	6	1	244	317	409	725	165	285	23	9	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+7	+8	1.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	BAL	73%	342	307	74	12	1	12	30	79	2	5	1	241	313	404	717	163	282	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	BAL	72%	317	284	66	11	0	10	28	74	2	4	1	232	306	377	682	144	279	23	9	305	92	-3	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.7
2037	33	MLB CTX	BAL	72%	287	258	59	9	0	9	25	68	2	4	1	229	302	368	670	140	275	24	9	298	87	-4	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.4
2038	34	MLB CTX	BAL	68%	233	210	46	7	0	7	20	57	1	3	1	219	290	352	642	133	269	24	9	289	81	-5	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4010	3606	873	145	8	137	343	907	28	64	12	242	313	401	714	159	285	23	9	313	94	-11	+8	-16	+72	+87	14.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	142	24	1	22	56	147	5	10	2	243	315	400	715	157	286	23	9	313	94	-2	+1	-3	+12	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6188	5563	1310	210	14	191	528	1403	43	112	27	235	307	381	688	146	279	23	9	307	94	-17	+10	-23	+101	+123	19.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	137	22	1	20	55	147	5	12	3	235	306	378	684	144	278	23	8	307	94	-2	+1	-3	+12	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	4,017	134	63	239	307	394	+72	-8	17.6	15.3
/162	664	22	10	+11.9	-1.3	2.9	pk7: 13
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Anderson (OGILVIE)	22	50	42	47	54	233/300/377	144	278	10	6	23%	8%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Mejía 2018 · AA	22	52→61	46→55	47→40	42	256/294/384	128	299	13	6	20%	4%	90	+0.6	240/285/389	149	289	16	4	22%	5%	88	+0.5	256/302/422	166	302	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Brayan Rocchio 2023 · AAA	22	44→53	46→45	46→50	43	223/281/352	130	275	14	13	24%	6%	79	-0.2	228/296/344	116	276	9	16	20%	8%	82	-0.0	222/294/342	121	256	12	16	18%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Brooks Lee 2023 · A	22	49→50	45→50	41→45	50	241/307/365	124	288	13	6	21%	8%	91	+0.6	240/292/372	132	280	13	6	19%	7%	86	+0.3	241/290/392	151	261	20	6	17%	6%	89	+0.4
●Jemile Weeks 2010 · AA	23	49→59	44→45	52→55	48	241/304/359	118	290	12	12	21%	8%	88	+0.5	250/309/356	106	296	6	19	17%	7%	88	+0.5	253/323/345	92	306	3	20	17%	8%	88	+0.5
✕Luis Juarez 2012 · AAA	22	48→57	47→45	46→40	44	241/282/371	130	269	15	9	17%	5%	83	+0.1	241/282/355	114	278	11	7	17%	5%	79	-0.2	262/309/380	118	281	13	3	12%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	45→55	45	43→50	47	223/293/345	122	251	13	10	17%	6%	82	-0.0	236/287/316	80	290	5	9	19%	5%	72	-0.7	266/322/370	104	333	7	11	21%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	230/304/365	135	294	13	13	26%	9%	90	+0.6	213/284/325	112	292	9	13	28%	8%	73	-0.6	243/310/437	193	313	22	11	28%	8%	105	+1.0
✕Ruben Gotay 2005 · MLB	22	52→50	43→45	46→50	46	249/304/365	117	308	9	6	22%	6%	89	+0.5	232/287/350	118	274	10	7	19%	6%	80	-0.2	242/337/372	130	294	11	4	20%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Andrés Blanco 2005 · MLB	21	53→47	44→50	47→50	53	256/324/382	125	282	10	11	13%	8%	101	+1.4	219/269/300	81	258	6	7	17%	5%	61	-1.5	249/316/405	157	295	13	4	19%	7%	102	+0.5
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	45→50	48→50	47	218/285/345	126	278	11	11	25%	8%	78	-0.3	223/280/346	123	279	12	10	24%	6%	76	-0.4	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2007 · AA	22	46→55	47→60	43→40	46	229/294/367	138	285	15	3	25%	7%	86	+0.3	243/308/387	144	316	16	3	27%	8%	97	+1.1	239/302/451	213	309	26	2	30%	8%	107	+1.3
●Christian Vázquez 2014 · AA	23	49→55	42→50	42→45	48	238/298/345	107	288	10	6	20%	7%	83	+0.1	241/295/326	85	301	5	4	20%	7%	77	-0.3	262/314/414	151	300	18	8	19%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Victor Castillo 2007 · A	22	47	47→50	42→40	57	235/333/368	134	274	14	5	19%	11%	103	+1.5	229/283/304	75	292	7	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	240/288/298	58	301	6	3	21%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	48→50	44→45	42→50	47	236/296/352	116	299	11	10	24%	8%	83	+0.1	210/269/331	121	284	12	6	29%	7%	69	-0.9	205/272/316	111	274	13	9	29%	8%	65	-0.7
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
●Drew Sutton 2006 · A	23	45→55	49→50	46→50	48	228/303/380	152	288	16	7	26%	9%	93	+0.8	236/298/367	131	286	13	14	21%	8%	88	+0.4	250/324/384	135	314	11	10	23%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Omar Mendoza 2006 · AAA	23	50→54	43→45	44→45	50	243/303/364	121	286	8	7	18%	8%	89	+0.5	245/296/355	110	295	10	8	20%	7%	84	+0.1	244/293/346	102	291	10	9	19%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps