Adley Rutschman

C Boston Red Sox
Age 29 S/R 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202426MLBBAL638.250/.322/.391191963.4
202527AAABAL34.231/.394/.4231090—.214/.333/.393
202527MLBBAL365.220/.309/.36690891.6
202628MLBBOS410.242/.319/.4261301021.8
2027PROJ29MLBBOS348.254/.331/.4221011072.0
2028PROJ30MLBBOS334.250/.327/.414901031.6
2029PROJ31MLBBOS300.245/.321/.40380991.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 6.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028
2027Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA63
Avg EV45
Bat Spd45
Barrel%39
Speed32
Form.249/.308/.441 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .245/.321/.410
CompsGeorge Kottaras (age 29) · Dioner Navarro (age 31) · J.P. Crawford (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 107107vR 107
AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .331 / .422
PA348
HR10
K%16
BB%10
BABIP280
ISO168
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: +6.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +7.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +2.20+2.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
2.21.61.10.70.327283031
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
490.251
POWER45
Barrel%
396.7
Avg EV
4588.7
Bat Spd
4570.8
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
Sprint
3226.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%18%▼19% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 17%
BB%8%▼▼4% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.191▲.250 over 72 AB (60d) · proj .165
HR/BB5.0%▲6.9% over 58 BBE (60d) · proj 4.0%
BABIP.271·.296 over 54 BIP (60d) · proj .269
SLASH.249/.308/.441▲proj .245/.321/.410
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1036 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
292
744
—
wRC+
133
87
◀◀L
wOBA
365
296
◀◀L
ISO
153
148
—
BABIP
333
239
◀◀L
K%
14.0%
16.7%
◀◀L
BB%
9.6%
9.5%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2022
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$10M+2.2$18M+$8M
Totals $10M $18M +$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201921 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 4739 6102 690 00 154261333594 179138 1913 263 34 — — — — — —
201921 ROKGCL Orioles — 1614 2001 220 10 143250357607 21491 1212 274 11 — — — — — —
202123 AAANorfolk Tides — 185157 49925 24332 22 312410490900 178364 1813 396 110 — — — — — —
202123 AABowie Baysox — 358295 8016018 55575 12 271393508902 237279 1615 396 96 — — — — — —
202224 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 470398 10135113 65864 40 254364445809 191291 1814 359 125 +14 +1 +22 +10 +10 5.7
202224 AAANorfolk Tides — 5343 10003 763 00 233377442819 209206 1113 371 99 — — — — — —
202224 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 1714 6300 210 00 4295006431.143 214429 612 468 172 — — — — — —
202325 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 687588 16331120 921012 12 277377435812 158303 1513 363 124 +20 -1 +17 +12 +15 6.5
202426 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 638571 14321119 581032 10 250322391712 140272 169 317 96 -3 +0 +11 +11 +14 3.4
202527 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 365322 711629 40571 00 220309366675 146240 1611 304 89 -5 +0 +6 +7 +8 1.6
202527 AAANorfolk Tides — 3426 6201 760 00 231394423817 192250 1821 360 90 — — — — — —
202628 MLBBoston Red Sox — 410364 8826113 39682 01 242319426744 184260 1710 327 102 +1 -0 +1 +7 +9 1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 25702243 566129674 29441511 63 252342414756 162277 1611 337 114 +43 +0 +57 +48 +56 20.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201921 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 4742 6102 4120 00 143217310527 167123 269 218 34 — — — — — —
201921 ROK MLEGCL Orioles — 1615 2001 130 10 133188333521 20072 196 184 11 — — — — — —
202123 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 185164 46824 17402 22 280355427782 146331 229 331 110 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 358316 7214012 35715 12 228315386701 158254 2010 310 96 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 470398 9833113 65864 40 246358432790 186291 1814 353 125 +14 +1 +22 +10 +10 5.7
202224 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 5345 9002 573 00 200321333654 133206 139 314 99 — — — — — —
202224 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 1715 6300 110 00 4004386001.038 200364 66 423 172 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 687594 16029120 861012 12 269364423786 153303 1513 352 124 +20 -1 +17 +12 +15 6.5
202426 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 638574 14120119 551032 10 246314383697 138272 169 310 96 -3 +0 +11 +11 +14 3.4
202527 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 365322 711629 40571 00 220309366675 146240 1611 299 89 -5 +0 +6 +7 +8 1.6
202527 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 3428 6201 570 00 214333393726 179229 2115 301 90 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 410364 8423113 39682 01 231309407715 176260 1710 319 102 +1 -0 +1 +7 +9 1.8
201921 A MLE2 teams — 6357 8103 5150 10 140210316525 175125 248 209 28 — — — — — —
201921 A RAW2 teams — 6353 8103 8110 10 151258340598 189125 1713 266 28 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 543480 11722216 521117 34 244327398724 154283 2010 317 101 — — — — — —
202123 AA RAW2 teams — 543452 12925223 79907 34 285399502901 217309 1715 396 101 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLE3 teams — 540458 11436115 71947 40 249358430788 181280 1713 352 124 +15 +1 +22 +10 +12 6.0
202224 MLB RAW3 teams — 540455 11738116 74937 40 257369451820 193289 1714 364 124 +15 +1 +22 +10 +12 6.0
202325 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 687594 16029120 861012 12 269364423786 153293 1513 352 124 +20 -1 +17 +12 +15 6.5
202325 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 687588 16331120 921012 12 277377435812 158303 1513 363 124 +20 -1 +17 +12 +15 6.5
202426 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 638574 14120119 551032 10 246314383697 138266 169 310 96 -3 +0 +11 +11 +14 3.4
202426 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 638571 14321119 581032 10 250322391712 140272 169 317 96 -3 +0 +11 +11 +14 3.4
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 399350 751729 45641 00 214306351657 137236 1611 299 89 -5 +0 +6 +7 +9 1.7
202527 MLB RAW2 teams — 399348 7718210 47631 00 221316371686 149241 1612 309 89 -5 +0 +6 +7 +9 1.7
202628 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 410364 8423113 39682 01 231309407715 176247 1710 319 102 +1 -0 +1 +7 +9 1.8
202628 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 410364 8826113 39682 01 242319426744 184260 1710 327 102 +1 -0 +1 +7 +9 1.8
201921 A MLE2 teams — 6358 8103 5150 10 138210310520 172110 248 209 28 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 543479 11722216 521117 34 244327399725 154280 2010 317 101 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLE3 teams — 540457 11436115 71947 40 249358431789 182285 1713 352 124 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 687594 16029120 861012 12 269364423786 153303 1513 352 124 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 638576 14120119 551032 10 245314382696 137272 169 310 96 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 399350 751729 45641 00 214306351657 137239 1611 299 89 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 410366 8423113 39682 01 230309404713 175260 1710 319 102 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 638576 14120119 551032 10 245314382696 137272 169 310 96 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 399350 751729 45641 00 214306351657 137239 1611 299 89 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 410366 8423113 39682 01 230309404713 175260 1710 319 102 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEBOS 100% 440392 9622213 43732 10 246323410734 165269 1710 326 107 +3 +0 +4 +8 +10 2.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXBOS 100% 348309 7920110 34572 10 254331422753 168280 1610 334 107 +3 +0 +3 +6 +8 2.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEBOS 100% 334298 721719 32561 00 242320402721 160267 1710 321 103 +1 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.6
202931 MLB MLEBOS 100% 300267 641518 29521 00 237314391705 154263 1710 314 99 -0 +0 -0 +5 +6 1.1
203032 MLB MLEBOS 100% 262234 541217 25461 00 231307376683 145258 1810 305 93 -2 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.7
203133 MLB MLEBOS 100% 222198 451015 21411 00 223298358656 135252 189 295 85 -4 +0 -2 +4 +5 0.3
202830 MLB CTXBOS 100% 334298 741919 32561 00 250327414741 164278 1710 329 103 +1 +0 +1 +6 +7 1.6
202931 MLB CTXBOS 100% 300267 661718 29521 00 245321403724 158274 1710 322 99 -0 +0 -0 +5 +6 1.1
203032 MLB CTXBOS 100% 262234 571417 25461 00 239314388702 149269 1810 313 93 -2 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.7
203133 MLB CTXBOS 100% 222198 451105 21411 00 230305369674 139262 189 302 85 -4 +0 -2 +4 +5 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 36883240 8081909103 40161015 63 249335409744 160276 1711 331 104 +38 +0 +54 +68 +80 24.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 14233218 711083 11 249335408743 159276 1711 331 104 +7 +0 +9 +12 +14 4.3
Career— MLE — 47464183 101022013134 49480827 117 241325396722 155267 1710 321 104 +41 +0 +57 +74 +87 26.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650573 13830218 681114 21 241326394721 154267 1710 321 104 +7 +0 +9 +12 +14 4.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 34 PAwOBA .363 → .301 (−61)K% 17.6% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.967×1.200——21.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.59%÷1.063×0.690—×1.00313.41%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP15.00%÷0.959×0.930—×1.00314.58%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.978×0.830—×1.0038.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷0.945×0.700—×1.0033.71%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .363 → .301; ISO .192 → .166; BABIP .250 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANorfolk Tides · 53 PAwOBA .362 → .314 (−48)K% 11.3% → 13.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.32%÷1.017×1.200——13.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.21%÷1.048×0.690—×1.0489.11%
HBP% /PA5.66%—×0.940—×1.0485.58%
Singles /BIP18.92%÷0.952×0.930—×1.04819.36%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0480.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.130×0.970—×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP8.11%÷0.970×0.700—×1.0486.13%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 126, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .362 → .314; ISO .209 → .163; BABIP .206 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 17 PAwOBA .485 → .423 (−61)K% 5.9% → 7.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.88%÷0.991×1.310——7.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.966×0.600—×0.9887.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷0.980×0.870—×0.98820.25%
Doubles /BIP23.08%÷0.955×0.780—×0.98818.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.029×0.880—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .485 → .423; ISO .214 → .192; BABIP .429 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AABowie Baysox · 358 PAwOBA .386 → .310 (−76)K% 15.9% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.92%÷0.983×1.220——19.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.80%÷1.065×0.690—×1.0279.85%
HBP% /PA1.40%—×0.850—×1.0271.22%
Singles /BIP19.33%÷0.978×0.940×0.969×1.02718.49%
Doubles /BIP6.72%÷0.995×0.870×0.969×1.0275.85%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.920×0.969×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP7.56%÷1.258×0.780—×1.0274.82%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .386 → .310; ISO .237 → .170; BABIP .279 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAANorfolk Tides · 185 PAwOBA .390 → .331 (−59)K% 17.8% → 21.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.84%÷0.982×1.200——21.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.97%÷1.030×0.690—×1.0509.12%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.940—×1.0501.07%
Singles /BIP26.61%÷0.981×0.930×0.950×1.05025.18%
Doubles /BIP7.26%÷0.977×0.830×0.950×1.0506.15%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷1.150×0.920×0.950×1.0501.29%
Home runs /BIP4.03%÷1.009×0.700—×1.0502.94%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .390 → .331; ISO .178 → .141; BABIP .364 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 47 PAwOBA .262 → .218 (−44)K% 19.1% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷1.013×1.340——25.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.77%÷1.033×0.660—×1.0158.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP10.00%÷1.009×0.920—×1.0159.26%
Doubles /BIP3.33%÷1.013×0.820—×1.0152.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.973×0.940—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷0.931×0.820—×1.0155.96%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .218; ISO .179 → .165; BABIP .138 → .123. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKGCL Orioles · 16 PAwOBA .238 → .184 (−54)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷1.000×1.440——18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9853.82%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.9856.73%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9856.40%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .238 → .184; ISO .214 → .172; BABIP .091 → .072. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).