Adley Rutschman — OGILVIE

Adley RutschmanC Baltimore Orioles

Age 28 S/R 6'1" / 230 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 4.9 · 2026

wRC+†vL 147123vR 84

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .339 / .406

PA509

HR14

K%16

BB%11

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$7M	+4.9	$39M	+$32M
2027	Arb-3	$19M	+4.1	$34M	+$14M
Totals		$27M		$73M	+$46M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	2 teams	63	58	8	1	0	3	4	14	0	1	0	.138	.194	.310	.504	.172	.119	22	6	.208	17	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2021	23	AA	2 teams	543	481	115	21	2	18	51	115	7	3	4	.239	.321	.403	.724	.164	.276	21	9	.318	102	+1	-1	+0	+10	+15	2.6
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	540	458	114	37	1	16	71	94	7	4	0	.249	.358	.439	.797	.190	.278	17	13	.350	126	+16	+1	+22	+10	+15	6.4
2023	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	687	588	163	32	1	19	92	101	2	1	2	.277	.377	.432	.809	.155	.304	15	13	.353	128	+22	-1	+17	+12	+19	7.2
2024	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	638	571	145	24	1	18	58	103	2	1	0	.254	.325	.394	.719	.140	.278	16	9	.314	98	-1	+0	+11	+11	+18	4.0
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	399	350	75	16	2	9	45	64	1	0	0	.214	.306	.349	.654	.134	.236	16	11	.299	87	-6	+0	+6	+7	+11	1.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	43	38	12	6	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	.316	.395	.553	.948	.237	.367	16	12	.409	171	+3	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	BAL	466	411	108	24	1	13	51	74	1	1	0	.263	.346	.421	.766	.158	.290	16	11	.341	119	+10	+0	+9	+8	+13	4.2
TOT	28	MLB	BAL	509	449	120	30	1	14	56	81	1	1	0	.267	.350	.432	.782	.165	.298	16	11	.346	123	+13	+0	+10	+9	+14	4.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	BAL	497	439	113	25	1	13	54	72	1	1	0	.257	.340	.408	.748	.150	.283	14	11	.339	117	+10	+0	+9	+9	+14	4.2
2028	30	MLB	BAL	485	428	110	24	1	13	53	72	1	0	0	.257	.340	.409	.749	.152	.281	15	11	.335	115	+8	+0	+8	+9	+14	3.9
2029	31	MLB	BAL	456	402	103	23	1	12	50	70	1	0	0	.256	.340	.408	.748	.152	.280	15	11	.332	112	+6	+0	+6	+8	+13	3.4
2030	32	MLB	BAL	424	374	94	21	1	10	46	67	1	0	0	.251	.335	.393	.728	.142	.279	16	11	.327	108	+4	+0	+5	+8	+12	2.9
2031	33	MLB	BAL	383	337	83	18	1	9	42	63	1	0	0	.246	.332	.386	.717	.139	.277	16	11	.321	104	+2	+0	+3	+7	+11	2.3
2032	34	MLB	BAL	330	290	70	15	1	7	36	57	1	0	0	.241	.327	.372	.700	.131	.275	17	11	.314	99	-1	+0	+2	+6	+9	1.7
2033	35	MLB	BAL	274	243	58	12	1	6	29	50	0	0	0	.239	.320	.370	.690	.132	.273	18	11	.306	92	-2	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.0
2034	36	MLB	BAL	216	191	44	9	1	4	23	42	0	0	0	.230	.313	.351	.664	.120	.269	19	11	.297	85	-4	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.5
2035	37	MLB	BAL	159	141	31	6	0	3	17	32	0	0	0	.220	.304	.326	.630	.106	.265	20	11	.287	78	-4	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6560	5762	1434	308	16	173	722	1090	26	12	6	.249	.335	.398	.733	.149	.278	17	11	.326	107	+54	+0	+92	+117	+186	45.8
/ 162G	—			650	571	143	31	2	17	72	108	3	1	1	.250	.338	.401	.739	.151	.280	17	11	.326	107	+5	-0	+9	+12	+18	4.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	47	39	6	1	0	2	6	9	0	0	0	.154	.261	.333	.594	.179	.138	19	13	.263	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	21	ROK	GCL Orioles	16	14	2	0	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	.143	.250	.357	.607	.214	.091	12	12	.274	68	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2021	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	185	157	49	9	2	5	24	33	2	2	2	.312	.410	.490	.900	.178	.364	18	13	.396	161	+13	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2021	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	358	295	80	16	0	18	55	57	5	1	2	.271	.393	.508	.902	.237	.279	16	15	.396	161	+25	-1	—	—	+10	3.5
2022	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	470	398	101	35	1	13	65	86	4	4	0	.254	.364	.445	.809	.191	.291	18	14	.359	133	+18	+1	+22	+10	+13	6.4
2022	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	53	43	10	0	0	3	7	6	3	0	0	.233	.377	.442	.819	.209	.206	11	13	.371	142	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	17	14	6	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	.429	.500	.643	1.143	.214	.429	6	12	.468	217	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	687	588	163	31	1	20	92	101	2	1	2	.277	.377	.435	.812	.158	.303	15	13	.363	136	+28	-1	+17	+12	+19	7.8
2024	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	638	571	143	21	1	19	58	103	2	1	0	.250	.322	.391	.712	.140	.272	16	9	.317	101	+1	+0	+11	+11	+18	4.2
2025	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	365	322	71	16	2	9	40	57	1	0	0	.220	.309	.366	.675	.146	.240	16	11	.304	91	-4	+0	+6	+7	+10	2.0
2025	27	AAA	Norfolk Tides	34	26	6	2	0	1	7	6	0	0	0	.231	.394	.423	.817	.192	.250	18	21	.360	134	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2160	1879	478	103	5	61	255	347	9	6	2	.254	.346	.412	.758	.158	.280	16	12	.339	117	+42	+0	+56	+40	+61	20.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adley Rutschman (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	45	55	.260/.343/.416	.157	.283	14	2	14%	11%	119	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omar Narváez 2020 · MLB	28	53→55	51→50	39→30	56	.268/.350/.424	.156	.304	20	2	19%	11%	123	+3.3	.249/.331/.395	.146	.296	17	2	21%	10%	108	+2.3	.232/.319/.347	.115	.283	11	0	21%	10%	84	+0.3
●Neil Walker 2014 · MLB	28	53→57	49→55	43→45	53	.266/.338/.422	.156	.301	16	6	17%	9%	118	+3.0	.268/.337/.449	.181	.295	22	4	17%	8%	124	+3.4	.271/.339/.455	.184	.297	23	3	17%	8%	121	+2.9
●Jed Lowrie 2012 · MLB	28	47→57	50→55	45→40	52	.239/.307/.396	.157	.265	17	5	17%	9%	98	+1.6	.261/.328/.419	.158	.290	16	3	16%	9%	113	+2.6	.263/.346/.434	.171	.302	18	0	18%	11%	119	+3.1
✕Ryan Doumit 2009 · MLB	28	56→63	53→55	41→45	48	.285/.343/.468	.183	.316	19	5	17%	6%	132	+4.0	.267/.326/.433	.166	.298	18	5	17%	7%	115	+2.8	.264/.326/.432	.168	.299	19	0	18%	7%	108	+1.6
●Jorge Polanco 2021 · MLB	28	56→59	49→60	45→50	51	.277/.335/.431	.154	.313	16	8	17%	8%	118	+3.0	.260/.331/.457	.197	.292	25	8	20%	9%	124	+3.4	.253/.334/.459	.205	.288	26	7	22%	10%	123	+2.8
✕Willy Aybar 2012 · MLB	29	48→56	48→50	47→40	54	.240/.318/.382	.143	.271	16	4	18%	10%	99	+1.7	.228/.307/.352	.124	.275	13	6	21%	10%	87	+0.8	.248/.297/.380	.131	.278	16	0	17%	6%	89	+0.4
●Jeimer Candelario 2022 · MLB	28	52→55	51→60	46→45	53	.260/.340/.436	.175	.317	17	3	23%	10%	122	+3.3	.244/.313/.425	.181	.292	19	4	23%	8%	108	+2.3	.229/.297/.417	.188	.269	21	5	23%	7%	98	+1.3
●John Jaso 2013 · MLB	29	53→56	49→50	50→45	64	.261/.361/.420	.159	.282	14	7	13%	13%	127	+3.6	.269/.363/.426	.157	.311	15	6	17%	12%	129	+3.7	.269/.352/.428	.159	.313	14	2	18%	10%	122	+1.8
●Keith Ginter 2004 · MLB	28	51	51→55	45	54	.254/.350/.420	.167	.296	18	4	20%	10%	123	+3.3	.241/.320/.414	.173	.279	20	7	21%	9%	109	+2.4	.225/.303/.383	.158	.258	18	5	20%	8%	91	+0.7
●Jorge Cantu 2010 · MLB	28	55→60	51→60	45→40	49	.274/.329/.440	.166	.299	18	4	15%	7%	119	+3.1	.251/.300/.389	.138	.283	15	3	17%	6%	93	+1.3	.259/.314/.473	.213	.273	31	3	18%	6%	122	+2.0
✕Jake Cronenworth 2022 · MLB	28	53→58	51→50	49→50	53	.266/.338/.440	.175	.292	16	8	16%	9%	122	+3.3	.242/.325/.399	.157	.278	14	5	18%	9%	107	+2.2	.234/.322/.378	.144	.274	13	5	19%	10%	97	+1.5
✕Johan Camargo 2022 · MLB	28	50→53	51→55	45	46	.254/.305/.420	.166	.296	19	3	21%	7%	103	+1.9	.233/.293/.357	.124	.277	15	3	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.216/.282/.306	.090	.257	12	0	20%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	51→54	49→50	40→45	50	.256/.322/.403	.148	.284	16	7	16%	7%	107	+2.2	.231/.292/.363	.132	.265	13	8	18%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.301/.343	.104	.271	12	5	16%	7%	81	+0.3
●Geoff Blum 2001 · MLB	28	53→58	50	39→45	50	.267/.324/.429	.162	.295	18	5	16%	7%	113	+2.6	.256/.324/.393	.137	.292	14	6	17%	8%	105	+2.1	.255/.322/.381	.126	.287	13	5	15%	8%	93	+1.0
✕Raul Casanova 2001 · MLB	28	49	49→60	45→30	54	.245/.325/.400	.156	.281	15	6	19%	10%	107	+2.2	.243/.309/.412	.169	.265	20	5	17%	8%	103	+1.9	.258/.315/.394	.135	.300	16	1	19%	7%	97	+0.7
✕Victor Caratini 2022 · MLB	28	48→57	46→50	46→40	52	.239/.320/.362	.124	.291	14	5	22%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.312/.356	.127	.274	15	4	21%	9%	91	+1.1	.252/.323/.388	.136	.286	18	1	18%	7%	100	+0.9
●Gio Urshela 2020 · MLB	28	54→62	48→55	44→40	44	.269/.309/.416	.147	.304	16	3	17%	5%	104	+2.0	.275/.323/.437	.162	.320	18	4	19%	6%	115	+2.8	.271/.323/.415	.145	.319	16	2	20%	7%	106	+1.4
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2014 · MLB	28	51→61	50→55	48→50	49	.257/.318/.417	.160	.292	16	11	18%	7%	108	+2.3	.250/.311/.411	.161	.287	16	9	19%	7%	103	+1.9	.275/.337/.455	.180	.310	20	3	18%	8%	122	+3.1
✕Pablo Sandoval 2015 · MLB	28	55→65	49→60	45→40	52	.276/.332/.426	.150	.297	17	2	14%	7%	116	+2.8	.245/.296/.380	.135	.269	15	2	15%	6%	89	+0.9	.239/.290/.424	.185	.267	24	1	21%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Colin Moran 2021 · MLB	28	53→57	52→55	39→30	48	.268/.328/.434	.166	.318	20	2	22%	8%	117	+2.9	.241/.309/.392	.151	.303	19	3	26%	9%	98	+1.6	.225/.298/.353	.128	.287	17	1	26%	9%	79	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)