Benny Thompson

P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 223 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	15	20	4.87	3.79	31.6%	16.8%	—	K 26.1% · BB 15.0% · FIP 3.93
2025	23	ASEA	44	61	1.91	2.11	39.1%	16.4%	—	K 28.9% · BB 19.4% · FIP 3.38
2026	24	A+LAA	40	58	6.05	5.05	27.6%	19.4%	—	K 21.2% · BB 22.3% · FIP 6.08
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAA	67	70	5.51	5.51	25.1%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBLAA	29	30	5.34	5.30	26.0%	18.9%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAA	41	43	5.26	5.26	25.8%	18.2%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff65Control20Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCaleb Simpson (age 25) · Kyle Wilcox (age 25) · Dennis Sarfate (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%25.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL2020

CMD5555

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	13	51	21	13	1	0%	1.4	41.2%	25.5%	15.7%	2.0%	5.54	3.93	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	13	51	21	13	1	0%	1.4	41.2%	25.5%	15.7%	2.0%	5.54	3.87	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	2.1%	4.87	3.93	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	2.1%	4.87	3.93	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	31.6%	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	4.87	3.79	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	19.4%	9.5%	0.5%	1.91	3.38	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	19.4%	9.5%	0.5%	1.91	3.38	—
2025	23	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	39.1%	16.4%	22.7%	0.4%	1.91	2.11	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	21.2%	22.3%	-1.1%	3.5%	6.05	6.08	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	21.2%	22.3%	-1.1%	3.5%	6.05	6.08	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	27.6%	19.4%	8.1%	2.8%	6.05	5.05	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAA	67	0	70	296	74	59	9	0%	1.0	25.1%	20.0%	5.1%	2.9%	5.51	5.51	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	67	0	70	296	77	56	9	0%	1.0	26.0%	18.9%	7.1%	3.0%	5.34	5.30	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	66	0	69	291	75	53	9	0%	1.0	25.8%	18.2%	7.5%	3.0%	5.26	5.26	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	64	0	67	282	72	51	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	17.9%	7.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.30	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	61	0	64	270	68	48	9	0%	1.0	25.2%	17.9%	7.3%	3.3%	5.34	5.41	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	29	0	30	127	33	24	4	0%	1.0	26.0%	18.9%	7.1%	3.0%	5.34	5.30	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	41	0	43	182	47	33	5	0%	1.0	25.8%	18.2%	7.5%	3.0%	5.26	5.26	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	48	0	50	211	54	38	7	0%	1.0	25.5%	17.9%	7.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.30	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	50	0	52	220	55	39	7	0%	1.0	25.2%	17.9%	7.3%	3.3%	5.34	5.41	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	190	135	23	0%	1.1	25.6%	18.2%	7.4%	3.1%	5.30	4.94	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	216	154	26	0%	1.1	25.6%	18.2%	7.4%	3.1%	5.30	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		108	0	153	685	180	140	14	0%	1.4	26.3%	20.4%	5.8%	2.1%	4.19	4.61	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	897	236	183	19	0%	1.4	26.3%	20.4%	5.8%	2.1%	4.19	4.61	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Benny Thompson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	25.1%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.29	25.8%	7.4%	206	-0.22	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	90
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	86
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	86
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Christopher Troye R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	25	SU	5.46	24.2%	17.0%	4.1%	.282	5.61	19.1%	-3.8%	30	+0.15	3.42	158	84
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	84
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	81
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	81
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	81
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	81
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	80
Antonio Knowles R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	20.9%	15.1%	2.4%	.250	3.28	20.9%	11.7%	66	-1.30	3.24	223	79
Yunior Montero R 2017 · 5.21 FIP	24	SU	5.21	21.3%	17.6%	3.1%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	127	79
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	24	SU	4.59	24.1%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	79
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	25.5%	18.6%	1.18	5.34
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*